Coke Market Outlook: Stable but Weak Trend with Potential for 11th Price Cut

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Mar 7, 2025 07:40
In terms of supply, coking enterprises maintain stable production, and coke supply remains relatively loose. On the demand side, most steel mills in Tangshan have planned maintenance recently, and if these plans are implemented, the enthusiasm for purchasing coke from steel mills is expected to further decline. Macro-wise, a major conference indicated the need to continue promoting the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries, continuously implementing crude steel production control, and driving the restructuring of the steel industry. In summary, there is an expectation of weakening demand, coupled with the fact that the policies announced during the Two Sessions did not exceed market expectations. In the short term, the coke market is expected to operate with a stable but weak trend, and there is a possibility of an eleventh round of price cuts for coke.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
9์›” ์ดˆ ๋ชฐ๋ฆฌ๋ธŒ๋ด ์‹œ์žฅ ์ค„๋‹ค๋ฆฌ๊ธฐ ์‹ฌํ™”, ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ์ œ์•ฝ ๊ฐ•ํ™” ใ€SMM ๋ชฐ๋ฆฌ๋ธŒ๋ด ๋ถ„์„ใ€‘
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9์›” ์ดˆ ๋ชฐ๋ฆฌ๋ธŒ๋ด ์‹œ์žฅ ์ค„๋‹ค๋ฆฌ๊ธฐ ์‹ฌํ™”, ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ์ œ์•ฝ ๊ฐ•ํ™” ใ€SMM ๋ชฐ๋ฆฌ๋ธŒ๋ด ๋ถ„์„ใ€‘
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
9์›” ์ดˆ ๋ชฐ๋ฆฌ๋ธŒ๋ด ์‹œ์žฅ ์ค„๋‹ค๋ฆฌ๊ธฐ ์‹ฌํ™”, ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ์ œ์•ฝ ๊ฐ•ํ™” ใ€SMM ๋ชฐ๋ฆฌ๋ธŒ๋ด ๋ถ„์„ใ€‘
9์›” ์ดˆ ๋ชฐ๋ฆฌ๋ธŒ๋ด ์‹œ์žฅ ์ค„๋‹ค๋ฆฌ๊ธฐ ์‹ฌํ™”, ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ์ œ์•ฝ ๊ฐ•ํ™” ใ€SMM ๋ชฐ๋ฆฌ๋ธŒ๋ด ๋ถ„์„ใ€‘
ใ€SMM ๋ชฐ๋ฆฌ๋ธŒ๋ด ๋ถ„์„ใ€‘ SMM 9์›” 3์ผ ๋‰ด์Šค: 8์›” ์ค‘๊ตญ ๋ชฐ๋ฆฌ๋ธŒ๋ด ์‹œ์žฅ์€ ๋น„๊ต์  ํƒ€์ดํŠธํ•œ ๊ณต๊ธ‰๊ณผ ๊ฐ•์„ฑ ์ˆ˜์š”์˜ ์ง€์ง€ ์†์— ๊ธด์ถ• ๊ท ํ˜•์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ „์ฒด ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ์ƒ์Šน ํ›„ ์•ˆ์ •์„ธ๋ฅผ ๋ณด์ด๋ฉฐ ๊ณ ์ ์—์„œ ๊ณต๊ณ ํžˆ ๋‹ค์ ธ์กŒ๋‹ค. 45% ๋ชฐ๋ฆฌ๋ธŒ๋ด ์ •๊ด‘์€ 8์›” 19์ผ~25์ผ ์‚ฌ์ด 5,455์œ„์•ˆ/mtu๊นŒ์ง€ ๊ธ‰๋“ฑํ•˜๋ฉฐ 3๋…„๋ž˜ ์ตœ๊ณ ๊ฐ€ ๋ฒ”์œ„๋ฅผ ํ™•๊ณ ํžˆ ์œ ์ง€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด์™€ ๋™์‹œ์— ํ˜„๋ฌผ 60% ํŽ˜๋กœ๋ชฐ๋ฆฌ๋ธŒ๋ด ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ๋„ ์ƒ์Šน์„ ์ด๋Œ์–ด 8์›” 24์ผ~25์ผ 344,000์œ„์•ˆ/t์˜ ๋‹จ๊ณ„์  ๊ณ ์ ์„ ๊ธฐ๋กํ–ˆ๋‹ค.
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33๋ถ„ ์ „
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๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
[SMM ๋ถ„์„] ์ค‘๊ตญ์€ ๋” ์ด์ƒ ๋™๋‚จ์•„์— ์ฒ ๊ฐ•๋งŒ ์ˆ˜์ถœํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š๋Š”๋‹ค
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[๊ตญ๋‚ด ์ฒ ๊ด‘์„ ๋‹จํ‰] ๋žด์˜ค๋‹ ์„œ๋ถ€ ์ง€์—ญ ์ฒ ์ •๊ด‘ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์†Œํญ ์ƒ์Šน ์ „๋ง
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[๊ตญ๋‚ด ์ฒ ๊ด‘์„ ๋‹จํ‰] ๋žด์˜ค๋‹ ์„œ๋ถ€ ์ง€์—ญ ์ฒ ์ •๊ด‘ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์†Œํญ ์ƒ์Šน ์ „๋ง
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
[๊ตญ๋‚ด ์ฒ ๊ด‘์„ ๋‹จํ‰] ๋žด์˜ค๋‹ ์„œ๋ถ€ ์ง€์—ญ ์ฒ ์ •๊ด‘ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์†Œํญ ์ƒ์Šน ์ „๋ง
[๊ตญ๋‚ด ์ฒ ๊ด‘์„ ๋‹จํ‰] ๋žด์˜ค๋‹ ์„œ๋ถ€ ์ง€์—ญ ์ฒ ์ •๊ด‘ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์†Œํญ ์ƒ์Šน ์ „๋ง
๋žด์˜ค๋‹์„ฑ ์„œ๋ถ€ ์ง€์—ญ์˜ ์ฒ ๊ด‘์„ ์ •๊ด‘ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด ์†Œํญ ์ƒ์Šนํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, 66% ํ’ˆ์œ„ ์ฒ ๊ด‘์„ ์ •๊ด‘์˜ ๊ฑด์กฐ ๊ธฐ์ค€ ๊ณต์žฅ ์ธ๋„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ์„ธ๊ธˆ ํฌํ•จ ํ†ค๋‹น 700~710์œ„์•ˆ์ด๋‹ค. ํ˜„์žฌ ์•ˆ์ „ ์ ๊ฒ€์œผ๋กœ ์ธํ•ด ์„ ๊ด‘ ์ž‘์—…์ด ๋Œ€๋ถ€๋ถ„ ์ค‘๋‹จ๋œ ์ƒํƒœ์—ฌ์„œ ์ฒ ๊ด‘์„ ์ •๊ด‘์˜ ์ „๋ฐ˜์ ์ธ ๊ณต๊ธ‰์ด ๋น„๊ต์  ํƒ€์ดํŠธํ•œ ์ƒํ™ฉ์ด๋‹ค.
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In terms of supply, coking enterprises maintain stable production, and - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)