Macro Data Aligns with Expectations; Steel Demand Outlook Mixed Amid Policy Shifts and Export Challenges

게시됨: Mar 5, 2025 16:40
Overall, the current macro data released by the government is generally in line with previous market expectations, with no significant surprises. Demand side, the real estate sector mainly shows signs of stabilizing after a decline, making it difficult to reverse the sluggish state of the market or drive incremental steel demand. However, in terms of the "implementation of major national strategies and the development of security capabilities in key areas" and the "program of large-scale equipment upgrades and consumer goods trade-ins," fiscal policies show some incremental strength, which may create additional space for steel demand in the future. Supply side, the intensity of supply-side adjustments this year is slightly higher than in 2024. Currently, domestic steel faces increasing anti-dumping frictions, and export resistance has risen sharply. Against this backdrop, annual supply reductions may be expected!......

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Overall, the current macro data released by the government is generall - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)