SMM Analysis: PV-Grade EVA Prices Rise Amid Tight Supply and High Demand Outlook

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Feb 28, 2025 16:12

[SMM Analysis] This week, the mainstream transaction prices of PV-grade EVA were 11,300-11,650 yuan/mt. Meanwhile, the prices of foam-grade and cable-grade EVA also rose slightly, with active market trading sentiment. Due to policy factors, downstream module manufacturers may experience a rush for installations, leading to tight supply and increased demand. The overall market still showed an undersupply situation. In the short term, the supply-demand imbalance is unlikely to be alleviated, and prices are expected to remain high in the future.

For EVA film, the prices of major enterprises temporarily remained stable, with mainstream transaction prices at 12,600-12,800 yuan/mt. The continuous rise in raw material prices, coupled with the strong demand driven by the PV "rush for installations," is expected to create dual benefits on both the supply and demand sides, likely pushing film prices upward in the future.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
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๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
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์˜ค๋Š˜ SMM ์ „์ง€๊ธ‰ ํƒ„์‚ฐ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ์ง์ „ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์ผ ๋Œ€๋น„ ์†Œํญ ํ•˜๋ฝํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ํƒ„์‚ฐ๋ฆฌํŠฌ 2701 ๊ณ„์•ฝ์€ ์˜ค๋Š˜ 156,000์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค์— ๋†’๊ฒŒ ๊ฐœ์žฅํ•œ ๋’ค ์žฅ ์ดˆ๋ฐ˜ ํ‰๊ท ๊ฐ€์„  ์œ„์—์„œ ํšก๋ณดํ•˜๋ฉฐ ์žฅ์ค‘ ์ตœ๊ณ  158,000์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค๊นŒ์ง€ ์˜ฌ๋ž๋‹ค. ์ •์˜ค ๋ฌด๋ ต ๋งค๋„ ์„ธ๋ ฅ์ด ๋งค๋„ ์••๋ ฅ์„ ๊ฐ•ํ™”ํ•˜๋ฉด์„œ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด ๊ธ‰๋ฝํ•ด ํ‰๊ท ๊ฐ€์„  ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฐ€๋ ธ๋‹ค. ์˜คํ›„์—๋Š” ์ €์ ์—์„œ ์•ฝ์„ธ ํšก๋ณดํ–ˆ๊ณ , ์ผ์‹œ์ ์ธ ๋ฐ˜๋“ฑ์—๋„ ๋ถˆ๊ตฌํ•˜๊ณ  ํ‰๊ท ๊ฐ€์„ ์„ ๋ŒํŒŒํ•˜์ง€ ๋ชปํ•œ ์ฑ„ 149,500์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค๊นŒ์ง€ ์ €์ ์„ ๋‚ฎ์ท„๋‹ค. ์žฅ ๋งˆ๊ฐ ์ง์ „ 149,800~150,000์œ„์•ˆ ๊ตฌ๊ฐ„์—์„œ ์ €์  ํšก๋ณดํ•˜๋‹ค๊ฐ€ ๊ฒฐ๊ตญ 3.71% ํ•˜๋ฝํ•œ 149,900์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค์— ๋งˆ๊ฐํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋ฏธ๊ฒฐ์ œ์•ฝ์ •์€ 1,517๊ณ„์•ฝ ๊ฐ์†Œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด๋ฒˆ ์ฃผ ์ค‘๊ตญ ํƒ„์‚ฐ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ๊ณต๊ธ‰์€ ํšŒ๋ณต์„ธ๋ฅผ ์ด์–ด๊ฐ”๋‹ค. ์ด๋Š” ์ฃผ๋กœ ์ผ๋ถ€ ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ํ™”ํ•™ ๊ณต์žฅ์˜ ์ •๊ธฐ ๋ณด์ˆ˜ ์™„๋ฃŒ์™€ ๋ฆฌํŠฌํœ˜์„, ๋ ˆํ”ผ๋Œ๋ผ์ดํŠธ, ์—ผํ˜ธ ์ž์› ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜ ๊ณต์žฅ๋“ค์˜ ์ ์ง„์ ์ธ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์žฌ๊ฐœ์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ๊ฒƒ์ด๋ฉฐ, ์žฌํ™œ์šฉ ๋ถ€๋ฌธ์€ ์ •์ƒ์ ์ธ ์ƒ์‚ฐ์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์‹œ์žฅ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ๋ฐ ์žฌ๊ณ  ๋ณ€ํ™” ์ธก๋ฉด์—์„œ๋Š” ์›”์ดˆ์— ์ ‘์–ด๋“ค๋ฉด์„œ ์ƒ๋ฅ˜ ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ํ™”ํ•™ ๊ณต์žฅ๋“ค์ด ์žฅ๊ธฐ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ๋ฌผ๋Ÿ‰์„ ์ˆœ์ฐจ์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ถœํ•˜ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด๋ฒˆ ์ฃผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด 160,000์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค ์ด์ƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ค๋ฅด์ž ์ผ๋ถ€ ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ํ™”ํ•™ ๊ณต์žฅ์€ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ์ฃผ๋ฌธ ํŒ๋งค ์˜ํ–ฅ์ด ๋†’์•„์ ธ ์žฌ๊ณ ๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ์†Œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ํ•˜๋ฅ˜ ์†Œ์žฌ ๊ณต์žฅ๋“ค์€ ์†Œ๋น„๊ฐ€ ์ง€์†์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ์Œ์—๋„ ๋ถˆ๊ตฌํ•˜๊ณ  ์žฅ๊ธฐ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ๋ฌผ๋Ÿ‰๊ณผ ๊ณ ๊ฐ ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ์›๋ฃŒ๊ฐ€ ์ˆœ์ฐจ์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ธ๋„๋˜๋ฉด์„œ ์žฌ๊ณ ๊ฐ€ ๋Œ€์ฒด๋กœ ์•ˆ์ •์ ์œผ๋กœ ์œ ์ง€๋˜์—ˆ๊ณ , ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด 155,000์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋–จ์–ด์ง€์ž ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ตฌ๋งค ์˜ํ–ฅ์ด ์ ์ฐจ ๊ฐ•ํ™”๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค. ํŠธ๋ ˆ์ด๋”๋“ค์€ ์ƒ๋ฅ˜์˜ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ์ถœํ•˜๊ฐ€ ์†Œํญ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ•˜๊ณ  ํ•˜๋ฅ˜์˜ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ตฌ๋งค๊ฐ€ ์ •์ƒ ์ˆ˜์ค€์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๋ฉด์„œ ์žฌ๊ณ ๊ฐ€ ์†Œํญ ๊ฐ์†Œํ–ˆ๋‹ค.
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[SMM Analysis] This week, the mainstream transaction prices of PV-grad - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)