[SMM Analysis] Lithium Hydroxide 2.24-2.27 Weekly Market Trends

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Feb 27, 2025 17:29
This week, lithium hydroxide prices continued the downward trend from last week, and are expected to decline further in the short term.

This week, spot lithium hydroxide prices edged down slightly WoW. Some upstream lithium chemical plants maintained low production this month due to weaker-than-expected demand and losses, showing a slight softening in their stance to stand firm on quotes. Most ternary cathode material manufacturers experienced a lackluster recovery in demand after the holiday. With relatively high inventory levels, they showed a clear willingness to sell lithium hydroxide, accompanied by price reductions. Coupled with limited recovery in the expected production schedule of ternary cathode materials, the increase in demand for lithium hydroxide fell short of expectations. Overall, market sentiment for lithium hydroxide remained pessimistic, with a clear downward trend in prices in the short term.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
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์˜ค๋Š˜ SMM ์ „์ง€๊ธ‰ ํƒ„์‚ฐ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ์ „ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์ผ ๋Œ€๋น„ ์†Œํญ ํ•˜๋ฝํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ํƒ„์‚ฐ๋ฆฌํŠฌ 2701 ๊ณ„์•ฝ์€ ์˜ค๋Š˜ 157,000์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค์— ๋‚ฎ๊ฒŒ ๊ฐœ์žฅํ•œ ํ›„ ํ•˜๋ฝ์„ธ๋ฅผ ๋ณด์˜€๋‹ค. ์˜ค์ „ ์žฅ์ค‘ 156,000~157,000์œ„์•ˆ ๊ตฌ๊ฐ„์—์„œ ์•ฝ์„ธ ํ๋ฆ„์„ ๋ณด์˜€์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์žฅ์ค‘ ๊ณ ์ ์€ 157,800์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค์ด์—ˆ๋‹ค. ์ •์˜ค ๋ฌด๋ ต 153,200์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค๊นŒ์ง€ ๊ธ‰๋ฝํ•˜๋ฉฐ ์žฅ์ค‘ ์‹ ์ €๊ฐ€๋ฅผ ๊ธฐ๋กํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ •์˜ค ์ „ํ›„๋กœ 154,000~156,000์œ„์•ˆ ๊ตฌ๊ฐ„์—์„œ ๋“ฑ๋ฝ์„ ๋ฐ˜๋ณตํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์˜คํ›„ ์žฅ์—์„œ๋Š” ๋งค์ˆ˜ ์„ธ๋ ฅ์ด ์ผ์‹œ์ ์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์„ ๋Œ์–ด์˜ฌ๋ ธ์œผ๋‚˜ ํ‰๊ท  ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์„ ์„ ๋ŒํŒŒํ•˜์ง€ ๋ชปํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์žฅ ํ›„๋ฐ˜ ๋‹ค์‹œ ์•ฝ์„ธ๋ฅผ ๋ณด์ด๋ฉฐ ๊ฒฐ๊ตญ 3.2% ํ•˜๋ฝํ•œ 154,800์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค์— ๋งˆ๊ฐํ–ˆ๊ณ , ๋ฏธ๊ฒฐ์ œ์•ฝ์ •์€ 9,123๊ณ„์•ฝ ๊ฐ์†Œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ํ˜„๋ฌผ ์‹œ์žฅ์—์„œ๋Š” ํ•˜๋ฅ˜ ์—…์ฒด๋“ค์ด ํ•„์š”์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ์ €๊ฐ€ ๋งค์ˆ˜์— ๋‚˜์„ฐ๋‹ค. 155,000์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค ์ดํ•˜์—์„œ๋Š” ํ•˜๋ฅ˜์˜ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ์ฃผ๋ฌธ ๋งค์ˆ˜ ์˜ํ–ฅ์ด ๊ณ„์† ํšŒ๋ณต๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ์ธก๋ฉด์—์„œ๋Š” ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด ํ•˜๋ฝํ•จ์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ์ฃผ๋ฌธ ํŒ๋งค ์˜ํ–ฅ์ด ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ์•ฝํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ผ๋ถ€ ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ํ™”ํ•™ ๊ณต์žฅ์€ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์„ ๊ณ ์ˆ˜ํ•˜๋ฉฐ ํŒ๋งค๋ฅผ ๋ณด๋ฅ˜ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ „๋ฐ˜์ ์œผ๋กœ ์‹œ์žฅ ๋ฌธ์˜์™€ ์‹ค์ œ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Š” ๋น„๊ต์  ํ™œ๋ฐœํ–ˆ๋‹ค.
13์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
8์›” ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ๊ธ‰ ํ™ฉํ™”๋ฆฌํŠฌ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ถ„์„: 4๋ถ„๊ธฐ์— ๊ธ‰์ฆํ• ๊นŒ? [SMM ๋ถ„์„]
14์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
8์›” ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ๊ธ‰ ํ™ฉํ™”๋ฆฌํŠฌ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ถ„์„: 4๋ถ„๊ธฐ์— ๊ธ‰์ฆํ• ๊นŒ? [SMM ๋ถ„์„]
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
8์›” ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ๊ธ‰ ํ™ฉํ™”๋ฆฌํŠฌ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ถ„์„: 4๋ถ„๊ธฐ์— ๊ธ‰์ฆํ• ๊นŒ? [SMM ๋ถ„์„]
8์›” ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ๊ธ‰ ํ™ฉํ™”๋ฆฌํŠฌ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ถ„์„: 4๋ถ„๊ธฐ์— ๊ธ‰์ฆํ• ๊นŒ? [SMM ๋ถ„์„]
[SMM ๋ถ„์„: 8์›” ์ „์ง€๊ธ‰ ํ™ฉํ™”๋ฆฌํŠฌ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ถ„์„, 4๋ถ„๊ธฐ ๊ธ‰์ฆํ• ๊นŒ?] 8์›” ์ค‘๊ตญ ํ™ฉํ™”๋ฆฌํŠฌ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์€ 7.79mt์œผ๋กœ ์ „์›” ๋Œ€๋น„ 3.6%, ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 143% ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. 4๋ถ„๊ธฐ ํ™ฉํ™”๋ฆฌํŠฌ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์ด ๊ธ‰์ฆํ• ๊นŒ? ํ•˜๋ฅ˜ ์ˆ˜์š”๋กœ ๋ณผ ๋•Œ ํ˜„์žฌ๋กœ์„œ๋Š” ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ์ด ๋น„๊ต์  ๋‚ฎ์ง€๋งŒ ์™„๋งŒํ•œ ๋ฌผ๋Ÿ‰ ํ™•๋Œ€๋Š” ์ง€์†๋  ๊ฒƒ์ด๋‹ค. ์›”ํ‰๊ท  ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์€ 9~10mt ์ˆ˜์ค€์— ๋„๋‹ฌํ•  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋˜๋ฉฐ, 3๋ถ„๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ ์†Œํญ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ•˜๋Š” ์ˆ˜์ค€์ด์ง€ ํญ๋ฐœ์ ์œผ๋กœ ๊ธ‰์ฆํ•˜์ง€๋Š” ์•Š์„ ๊ฒƒ์ด๋‹ค.
14์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
[SMM ๋‹จ์‹ ] Albemarle, Wodgina ์Šคํฌ๋“€๋ฏผ ์ •๊ด‘ ๊ฒฝ๋งค ์™„๋ฃŒ... CIF ์ค‘๊ตญ ๊ธฐ์ค€ US$2,307/dmt
16์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
[SMM ๋‹จ์‹ ] Albemarle, Wodgina ์Šคํฌ๋“€๋ฏผ ์ •๊ด‘ ๊ฒฝ๋งค ์™„๋ฃŒ... CIF ์ค‘๊ตญ ๊ธฐ์ค€ US$2,307/dmt
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
[SMM ๋‹จ์‹ ] Albemarle, Wodgina ์Šคํฌ๋“€๋ฏผ ์ •๊ด‘ ๊ฒฝ๋งค ์™„๋ฃŒ... CIF ์ค‘๊ตญ ๊ธฐ์ค€ US$2,307/dmt
[SMM ๋‹จ์‹ ] Albemarle, Wodgina ์Šคํฌ๋“€๋ฏผ ์ •๊ด‘ ๊ฒฝ๋งค ์™„๋ฃŒ... CIF ์ค‘๊ตญ ๊ธฐ์ค€ US$2,307/dmt
SMM 9์›” 2์ผ: Albemarle๋Š” ์˜ค๋Š˜ ์ž์‚ฌ Wodgina ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์˜ ์Šคํฌ๋“€๋ฏผ ์ •๊ด‘์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ์ž…์ฐฐ์„ ์™„๋ฃŒํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ž…์ฐฐ ๋ฌผ๋Ÿ‰์€ 15,840๊ฑด์กฐํ†ค์ด๋ฉฐ, ยฑ10%์˜ ์ˆ˜๋Ÿ‰ ํ—ˆ์šฉ ์˜ค์ฐจ๊ฐ€ ์ ์šฉ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ตœ์ข… ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ US$2,307/dmt CIF ์ค‘๊ตญ์œผ๋กœ ๋ณด๊ณ ๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, Liโ‚‚O 6% ๊ธฐ์ค€์œผ๋กœ ํ‘œ์ค€ํ™”๋˜์—ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํ™”๋ฌผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ์ค‘๊ตญ ์ „์žฅํ•ญ CIF ๊ธฐ์ค€์ด๋ฉฐ, VAT๋Š” ์ œ์™ธ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ฒฐ์ œ ์กฐ๊ฑด์€ ์„ ๋ถˆ ํ˜„๊ธˆ ๊ฒฐ์ œ๋กœ, 9์›” 8์ผ๊นŒ์ง€ ๋Œ€๊ธˆ ์ˆ˜๋ น์ด ์™„๋ฃŒ๋˜์–ด์•ผ ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
16์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
[SMM Analysis] Lithium Hydroxide 2.24-2.27 Weekly Market Trends - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)