Myanmar Ore Supply Disruption Continues: What Is the Impact on the Rare Earth Market? [SMM Analysis]

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Feb 13, 2025 15:12
[SMM Analysis: How Does the Continued "Supply Disruption" of Myanmar Ore Impact the Rare Earth Market?]
After the Chinese New Year holiday, the rare earth market has shown an overall strengthening trend. Separation enterprises have indicated that the issue of tight ore supply is becoming increasingly prominent, with some raw ore separation enterprises experiencing production cuts or shutdowns due to difficulties in procuring raw materials.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
๋ฏธ๊ตญ ํ•˜์›, ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ์•ˆ๋ณด ๋ฐ ๊ณต๊ธ‰๋ง ํšŒ๋ณต๋ ฅ ๊ฐ•ํ™” ๋ฒ•์•ˆ ํ†ต๊ณผ
2026๋…„ 6์›” 12์ผ 09:16
๋ฏธ๊ตญ ํ•˜์›, ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ์•ˆ๋ณด ๋ฐ ๊ณต๊ธ‰๋ง ํšŒ๋ณต๋ ฅ ๊ฐ•ํ™” ๋ฒ•์•ˆ ํ†ต๊ณผ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๋ฏธ๊ตญ ํ•˜์›, ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ์•ˆ๋ณด ๋ฐ ๊ณต๊ธ‰๋ง ํšŒ๋ณต๋ ฅ ๊ฐ•ํ™” ๋ฒ•์•ˆ ํ†ต๊ณผ
๋ฏธ๊ตญ ํ•˜์›, ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ์•ˆ๋ณด ๋ฐ ๊ณต๊ธ‰๋ง ํšŒ๋ณต๋ ฅ ๊ฐ•ํ™” ๋ฒ•์•ˆ ํ†ต๊ณผ
์ตœ๊ทผ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ํ•˜์›์€ H.R.7037 ๋ฒ•์•ˆ, ์ด๋ฅธ๋ฐ” 'ํ•ด์™ธ ๊ด‘๋ฌผ ํˆฌ์ž ๋ฐ ํ•ต์‹ฌ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€๋ฅผ ์œ„ํ•œ ์‹ ๊ทœ ๋™๋งน ๋„คํŠธ์›Œํฌ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ๋ฒ•(DOMINANCE ACT, ํ†ต์นญ '์ง€๋ฐฐ๋ฒ•')'์„ ํ†ต๊ณผ์‹œ์ผฐ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด ๋ฒ•์•ˆ์€ ์บ˜๋ฆฌํฌ๋‹ˆ์•„์ฃผ ํ•˜์›์˜์› ์•„๋ฏธ ๋ฒ ๋ผ์™€ ์˜ ๊น€ ๊ณต๋™ ๋ฐœ์˜๋กœ, ์‹ ๋ขฐํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋Š” ๋™๋งน ๋ฐ ํŒŒํŠธ๋„ˆ์™€ ํ•จ๊ป˜ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์˜ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ์•ˆ๋ณด๋ฅผ ๊ฐ•ํ™”ํ•˜๊ณ  ๋ณด๋‹ค ํšŒ๋ณต๋ ฅ ์žˆ๋Š” ๊ณต๊ธ‰๋ง์„ ๊ตฌ์ถ•ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
2026๋…„ 6์›” 12์ผ 09:16
Aldoro Resources, ์นด๋ฉœ๋ฒ„๊ทธ ๋‹ˆ์˜ค๋ธ€ยทํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ๋งค์žฅ์ง€ ์‹œํ—˜์—์„œ ์œ ๋งํ•œ ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ ๋ฐœํ‘œ
2026๋…„ 6์›” 12์ผ 09:13
Aldoro Resources, ์นด๋ฉœ๋ฒ„๊ทธ ๋‹ˆ์˜ค๋ธ€ยทํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ๋งค์žฅ์ง€ ์‹œํ—˜์—์„œ ์œ ๋งํ•œ ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ ๋ฐœํ‘œ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
Aldoro Resources, ์นด๋ฉœ๋ฒ„๊ทธ ๋‹ˆ์˜ค๋ธ€ยทํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ๋งค์žฅ์ง€ ์‹œํ—˜์—์„œ ์œ ๋งํ•œ ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ ๋ฐœํ‘œ
Aldoro Resources, ์นด๋ฉœ๋ฒ„๊ทธ ๋‹ˆ์˜ค๋ธ€ยทํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ๋งค์žฅ์ง€ ์‹œํ—˜์—์„œ ์œ ๋งํ•œ ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ ๋ฐœํ‘œ
Aldoro Resources๋Š” ๋‚˜๋ฏธ๋น„์•„ ์นด๋ฉœ๋ฒ„๊ทธ ๋‹ˆ์˜ค๋ธ€ยทํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ๊ด‘์ƒ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์Šต์‹์ œ๋ จ ์‹œํ—˜ ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ, ๋‹จ์ˆœํ•œ ๊ณต์ •์œผ๋กœ๋„ ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜์™€ ์ŠคํŠธ๋ก ํŠฌ์˜ ํšŒ์ˆ˜์œจ์ด ๋น„๊ต์  ๋†’๊ฒŒ ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋‚˜๋Š” ๋“ฑ ๊ณ ๋ฌด์ ์ธ ์„ฑ๊ณผ๋ฅผ ๊ฑฐ๋‘์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์‹œ์ถ”์—์„œ๋„ ๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ ๋‹ˆ์˜ค๋ธ€ ๊ด‘์ฒด๋ฅผ ํ™•์ธํ–ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐํ˜”๋‹ค. ์„œํ˜ธ์ฃผ์˜ ALS Metallurgy Services๊ฐ€ ํšŒ์‚ฌ ์˜๋ขฐ๋กœ ์ˆ˜ํ–‰ํ•œ ์‹œํ—˜์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด, ์นด๋ฉœ๋ฒ„๊ทธ ๊ด‘์„์€ ์ง์ ‘ ์‚ฐ ์นจ์ถœ๋ฒ•์œผ๋กœ ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์–ด ๋ฏธ๊ตญ MP Materials์˜ ๋งˆ์šดํ‹ด ํŒจ์Šค ๊ด‘์‚ฐ๊ณผ ์„œํ˜ธ์ฃผ Lynas Rare Earth์˜ ๋งˆ์šดํŠธ ์›ฐ๋“œ ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์—์„œ ์‚ฌ์šฉํ•˜๋Š” ๋ถ€์œ ์„ ๋ณ„์ด๋‚˜ ์ž๋ ฅ ์„ ๋ณ„ ๊ณต์ •์ด ํ•„์š” ์—†๋‹ค. ์—ผ์‚ฐ ์นจ์ถœ ๊ณต์ •์€ ์ƒ์˜จยท์ƒ์••์—์„œ ์ด๋ฃจ์–ด์ง€๋ฉฐ, ์ƒ์šฉํ™”๋  ๊ฒฝ์šฐ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ ๋น„์šฉ์ด ํฌ๊ฒŒ ์ ˆ๊ฐ๋  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€๋œ๋‹ค.
2026๋…„ 6์›” 12์ผ 09:13
ํŽœ์‚ฌ๋‚˜, ์•™๊ณจ๋ผ 2์–ต 5์ฒœ๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ ์ง„์ „โ€ฆ 2027๋…„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
2026๋…„ 6์›” 12์ผ 09:12
ํŽœ์‚ฌ๋‚˜, ์•™๊ณจ๋ผ 2์–ต 5์ฒœ๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ ์ง„์ „โ€ฆ 2027๋…„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
ํŽœ์‚ฌ๋‚˜, ์•™๊ณจ๋ผ 2์–ต 5์ฒœ๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ ์ง„์ „โ€ฆ 2027๋…„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
ํŽœ์‚ฌ๋‚˜, ์•™๊ณจ๋ผ 2์–ต 5์ฒœ๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ ์ง„์ „โ€ฆ 2027๋…„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
ํ•ด์™ธ ์–ธ๋ก  ๋ณด๋„์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด, ๋Ÿฐ๋˜ ์ƒ์žฅ์‚ฌ Pensana๋Š” ์•™๊ณจ๋ผ Longonjo ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ๊ฑด์„ค์ด ๊ณ„ํš๋Œ€๋กœ ์ง„ํ–‰ ์ค‘์ด๋ฉฐ, ์ด ํˆฌ์ž์•ก 2์–ต 5,000๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋กœ 2027๋…„ ํ˜ผํ•ฉ ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ํƒ„์‚ฐ์—ผ(MREC) ์ฒซ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ฐ ๊ฐ€๋™์„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ํ•œ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐœํ‘œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ˆ˜๋ช…์€ 20๋…„์ด๋ฉฐ, ์ดˆ๊ธฐ ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ MREC ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์€ 2๋งŒ ํ†ค์—์„œ 4๋…„์ฐจ์— 4๋งŒ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ํ™•๋Œ€๋œ๋‹ค. ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ๋ฐ ์„ ๊ด‘ ๊ณต์žฅ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ์— 3,600๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๊ฐ€ ํˆฌ์ž๋˜์—ˆ๊ณ , ์ฃผ์š” ๊ฑด์„ค ์ž‘์—…์€ 22% ์™„๋ฃŒ๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค. ์žฅ๊ธฐ ๋‚ฉ๊ธฐ ์žฅ๋น„ ์ œ์กฐ๋Š” ์ˆœ์กฐ๋กœ์šฐ๋ฉฐ, ์•ฝ 1์–ต 3,500๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์˜ ์กฐ๋‹ฌ ์ž๋ณธ ์ง€์ถœ์ด ํ™•์ •๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค. ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” ์ค‘ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ํšŒ์ˆ˜ ๊ณต์ •์„ ์ตœ์ ํ™”ํ•˜์—ฌ ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ 122ํ†ค ์ด์ƒ์˜ ๋””์Šคํ”„๋กœ์Š˜ ๋ฐ ํ…Œ๋ฅด๋ธ€ ์ƒ์‚ฐ์„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ํ•˜๋ฉฐ, Longonjo๋ฅผ ์„œ๋ฐฉ ์„ธ๊ณ„ ์ตœ๋Œ€ ์ค‘ํฌํ† ๋ฅ˜ ์ƒ์‚ฐ์ง€ ์ค‘ ํ•˜๋‚˜๋กœ ์ž๋ฆฌ๋งค๊น€ํ•  ๊ณ„ํš์ด๋‹ค. ๋ชจ๋“ˆ์‹ ๋ถ„๋ฆฌ ์‹œ์„ค์€ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ํ™•์žฅ์— ๋งž์ถฐ ํ™•์žฅ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ๊ธˆ์†ํ™” ๊ณต์ •์„ ํฌํ•จํ•œ๋‹ค. Pensana๋Š” Toyota Tsusho์™€ ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ ์ตœ๋Œ€ 2๋งŒ ํ†ค์˜ Longonjo MREC ์˜คํ”„ํ…Œ์ดํฌ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ 5๋…„ ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„์˜ ๋น„๊ตฌ์† ์–‘ํ•ด๊ฐ์„œ๋ฅผ ์ฒด๊ฒฐํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” ์ผ๋ณธ Toyota Tsusho, ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์†Œ์žฌ ReElement Technologies, ๋ฏธ๊ตญ/๋…์ผ ์†Œ์žฌ VAC/eVAC Magnetics ๋“ฑ์„ ํฌํ•จํ•˜๋Š” ๋‹ค์ž๊ฐ„ ์˜คํ”„ํ…Œ์ดํฌ ์ฒด๊ณ„๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์ถ•ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ์—๋Š” Cascade Natural Resources์˜ 1์–ต 6,500๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ์ „๋žต์  ํˆฌ์ž์™€ ABSA์˜ ๋ถ€์ฑ„ ๊ธˆ์œต์ด ์ด๋ฃจ์–ด์กŒ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์ž…์€ํ–‰์ด ์ •์น˜ยท์ƒ์—…์  ์œ„ํ—˜ ๋ณดํ—˜์„ ์ œ๊ณตํ–ˆ๋‹ค.
2026๋…„ 6์›” 12์ผ 09:12
[SMM Analysis: How Does the Continued "Supply Disruption" of Myanmar O - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)