Transaction Follow-Up Slows Down, EMM Faces Upward Pressure [SMM Daily EMM Review]

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Feb 13, 2025 14:28
[SMM Daily Review on EMM: Slow Transaction Follow-Up, EMM Faces Upward Pressure] The average spot price of EMM in major production areas was 13,300-13,500 yuan/mt, up 100 yuan/mt MoM; the average FOB price was $1,840-1,860/mt, up $20/mt MoM. Supply side, EMM plant quotations remained firm, with a strong tendency to hold back goods, making low-priced sources hard to find in the market. Demand side, downstream steel mills mostly adopted a wait-and-see attitude, showing low acceptance of high-priced EMM. Actual transaction follow-up was slow, and EMM faced upward pressure. Attention should be paid to changes in actual demand from downstream steel mills in the future.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
[H1 ์ƒ๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ์ „๊ตญ ์ฒ ๋„ ์„ํƒ„ ์ˆ˜์†ก๋Ÿ‰ 10์–ต 5,100๋งŒ ํ†ค ๊ธฐ๋ก]
43๋ถ„ ์ „
[H1 ์ƒ๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ์ „๊ตญ ์ฒ ๋„ ์„ํƒ„ ์ˆ˜์†ก๋Ÿ‰ 10์–ต 5,100๋งŒ ํ†ค ๊ธฐ๋ก]
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
[H1 ์ƒ๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ์ „๊ตญ ์ฒ ๋„ ์„ํƒ„ ์ˆ˜์†ก๋Ÿ‰ 10์–ต 5,100๋งŒ ํ†ค ๊ธฐ๋ก]
[H1 ์ƒ๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ์ „๊ตญ ์ฒ ๋„ ์„ํƒ„ ์ˆ˜์†ก๋Ÿ‰ 10์–ต 5,100๋งŒ ํ†ค ๊ธฐ๋ก]
์ค‘๊ตญ ๊ตญ๊ฐ€์ฒ ๋กœ๊ทธ๋ฃน ์œ ํ•œ๊ณต์‚ฌ(์ดํ•˜ ์ค‘๊ตญ์ฒ ๋„)์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด ์ƒ๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ์ „๊ตญ ์ฒ ๋„ ํ™”๋ฌผ ๋ฐœ์†ก๋Ÿ‰์€ 20์–ต 1,500๋งŒ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 1.8% ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ฒ ๋„ ๋ถ€์„œ๋Š” ํ™”๋ฌผ ์šด์†ก ํšจ์œจ๊ณผ ์ •์‹œ์„ฑ์„ ๋†’์ด๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•ด ์—ฌ๊ฐ ์—ด์ฐจ ์ˆ˜์ค€์˜ ๊ธฐ์ค€์œผ๋กœ ํ™”๋ฌผ ์—ด์ฐจ๋ฅผ ์šดํ–‰ํ•˜๋Š” '์—ฌ๊ฐ ์—ด์ฐจํ˜•' ๊ณ ์† ํ™”๋ฌผ ์—ด์ฐจ๋ฅผ ์„ธ์‹ฌํ•˜๊ฒŒ ์„ค๊ณ„ํ•˜์˜€๋‹ค๊ณ  ํ•œ๋‹ค. ๊ธฐ์ค€ ์‹œ๋ฒ” ๊ณ ์† ์—ด์ฐจ๋Š” ์ตœ๊ณ  ์†๋„ ์‹œ์† 120km, ํ‰๊ท  ์ฃผํ–‰ ์†๋„ ์‹œ์† 75km๋กœ ์ „์ž์ƒ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ๋ฐ ์ฝœ๋“œ์ฒด์ธ๊ณผ ๊ฐ™์€ ์‹ ์† ๋ฌผ๋ฅ˜ ์‹œ์žฅ ์ˆ˜์š”์— ์ •ํ™•ํžˆ ๋ถ€ํ•ฉํ•œ๋‹ค. ์ƒ๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ์ฒ ๋„ ๋ถ€์„œ๋Š” ์ด 3๋งŒ 5,800๋Œ€์˜ ๊ตญ ๊ฐ„ ํ™”๋ฌผ ์—ด์ฐจ๋ฅผ ์šดํ–‰ํ•˜์—ฌ 3,856๋งŒ ํ†ค์˜ ํ™”๋ฌผ์„ ์ˆ˜์†กํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด ์ค‘ ์ค‘-์œ ๋Ÿฝ ํ™”๋ฌผ์—ด์ฐจ๋Š” 1๋งŒ 1,178๋Œ€ ์šดํ–‰๋˜์–ด ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 20% ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค.
43๋ถ„ ์ „
[๋ฏธ๋“œ๋ ‰์Šค, US์Šคํ‹ธ์˜ ๋น…๋ฆฌ๋ฒ„์Šคํ‹ธ์— DRI ๋ผ์ธ ๊ณต๊ธ‰]
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
[๋ฏธ๋“œ๋ ‰์Šค, US์Šคํ‹ธ์˜ ๋น…๋ฆฌ๋ฒ„์Šคํ‹ธ์— DRI ๋ผ์ธ ๊ณต๊ธ‰]
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
[๋ฏธ๋“œ๋ ‰์Šค, US์Šคํ‹ธ์˜ ๋น…๋ฆฌ๋ฒ„์Šคํ‹ธ์— DRI ๋ผ์ธ ๊ณต๊ธ‰]
[๋ฏธ๋“œ๋ ‰์Šค, US์Šคํ‹ธ์˜ ๋น…๋ฆฌ๋ฒ„์Šคํ‹ธ์— DRI ๋ผ์ธ ๊ณต๊ธ‰]
US์Šคํ‹ธ์€ ์•„์นธ์†Œ์ฃผ ์˜ค์„ธ์˜ฌ๋ผ์˜ ๋น… ๋ฆฌ๋ฒ„ ์Šคํ‹ธ์— ์œ„์น˜ํ•œ ์‹ ๊ทœ DRI ์„ค๋น„๋ฅผ ์œ„ํ•ด ์ง์ ‘ํ™˜์› ๊ธฐ์ˆ  ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ์—…์ฒด์ธ Midrex๋ฅผ ์„ ์ •, ์—ฐ์‚ฐ 250๋งŒ ํ†ค ๊ทœ๋ชจ์˜ HDRI/HBI MIDREXยฎ ํ”Œ๋žœํŠธ๋ฅผ ๊ณต๊ธ‰ํ•˜๊ธฐ๋กœ ํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ํ•ด๋‹น ์„ค๋น„๋Š” 2029๋…„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๊ฐœ์‹œ ์˜ˆ์ •์ด๋‹ค. Midrex์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด ์ด ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ๋Š” ๋ถ๋ฏธ ์ฒ ๊ฐ•์—…๊ณ„์˜ ์ค‘์š”ํ•œ ์ด์ •ํ‘œ๋กœ, ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ๋‚ด ์ตœ์ดˆ๋กœ EAF ์ œ๊ฐ•๊ณผ ํ†ตํ•ฉ๋˜๊ณ  ๊ตญ๋‚ด DRI๊ธ‰ ํŽ ๋ฆฟ ๊ณต๊ธ‰๋ง์„ ๊ฐ–์ถ˜ DRI ์„ค๋น„๊ฐ€ ๋  ์ „๋ง์ด๋‹ค.
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
[ํฌ์Šค์ฝ”์™€ ํ˜„๋Œ€์ž๋™์ฐจ, ์ฐจ์„ธ๋Œ€ ๊ทœ์†Œ๊ฐ•ํŒ ๊ณต๋™ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ]
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
[ํฌ์Šค์ฝ”์™€ ํ˜„๋Œ€์ž๋™์ฐจ, ์ฐจ์„ธ๋Œ€ ๊ทœ์†Œ๊ฐ•ํŒ ๊ณต๋™ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ]
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
[ํฌ์Šค์ฝ”์™€ ํ˜„๋Œ€์ž๋™์ฐจ, ์ฐจ์„ธ๋Œ€ ๊ทœ์†Œ๊ฐ•ํŒ ๊ณต๋™ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ]
[ํฌ์Šค์ฝ”์™€ ํ˜„๋Œ€์ž๋™์ฐจ, ์ฐจ์„ธ๋Œ€ ๊ทœ์†Œ๊ฐ•ํŒ ๊ณต๋™ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ]
ํ•œ๊ตญ ์ฒ ๊ฐ•์‚ฌ ํฌ์Šค์ฝ”๊ฐ€ ํ˜„๋Œ€์ž๋™์ฐจ ๋ฐ 8๊ฐœ ์‚ฐยทํ•™ยท์—ฐ ๊ธฐ๊ด€๊ณผ ํ•จ๊ป˜ ์ „๊ธฐ์ฐจ์šฉ ์ฐจ์„ธ๋Œ€ ๊ณ ํšจ์œจ ๊ทœ์†Œ๊ฐ•ํŒ ๋ฐ ๊ด€๋ จ ๋ชจํ„ฐ ๊ธฐ์ˆ  ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ์„ ์œ„ํ•œ ๊ตญ๊ฐ€ R&D ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ์— ์ฐฉ์ˆ˜ํ–ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐœํ‘œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ๋Š” ํฌ์Šค์ฝ”๊ฐ€ ์ฃผ๊ด€ํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ํ˜„๋Œ€์ž๋™์ฐจ, SL, PolepairElectric, RIST, ํ•œ๊ตญ์ƒ์‚ฐ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์—ฐ๊ตฌ์›(KITECH), ํ•œ๊ตญ์ž๋™์ฐจ์—ฐ๊ตฌ์›(KATECH), ์šธ์‚ฐ๋Œ€ํ•™๊ต, ๋ถ€๊ฒฝ๋Œ€ํ•™๊ต, ํ•œ๊ตญ๊ธˆ์†์žฌ๋ฃŒ์—ฐ๊ตฌ์กฐํ•ฉ(KOMERA) ๋“ฑ์ด ์ฐธ์—ฌํ•œ๋‹ค.
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
[SMM Daily Review on EMM: Slow Transaction Follow-Up, EMM Faces Upward - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)