SMM Daily: Low-Priced Supply Constraint May Push High-Grade NPI Prices Upwards

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Jan 17, 2025 15:05
[SMM Daily Review: Limited Low-Priced Supply in the Market, High-Grade NPI Prices May Rise for Correction] January 17โ€”SMM 8-12% high-grade NPI average price was 939 yuan/mtu (ex-factory, tax included), up 1 yuan/mtu compared to the previous working day...

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE), ๋‹ค๋ก„์ƒํ’ˆ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(DCE) ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (9์›” 3์ผ)
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE), ๋‹ค๋ก„์ƒํ’ˆ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(DCE) ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (9์›” 3์ผ)
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE), ๋‹ค๋ก„์ƒํ’ˆ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(DCE) ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (9์›” 3์ผ)
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE), ๋‹ค๋ก„์ƒํ’ˆ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(DCE) ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (9์›” 3์ผ)
๋‹ค์Œ ํ‘œ๋Š” 2026๋…„ 9์›” 3์ผ SHFE์™€ DCE์˜ ์ฒ ๊ธˆ์† ๋ฐ ๋น„์ฒ ๊ธˆ์† ๋™ํ–ฅ์„ ๋ณด์—ฌ์ค๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ฐ˜๋“ฑ์—๋„ ๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ NPI ์‹œ์žฅ์€ ์•ฝํ•œ ํŽ€๋”๋ฉ˜ํ„ธ๊ณผ ๋‚ฎ์€ ์œ ๋™์„ฑ์œผ๋กœ ์–ด๋ ค์›€ ๊ฒช์–ด
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๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ฐ˜๋“ฑ์—๋„ ๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ NPI ์‹œ์žฅ์€ ์•ฝํ•œ ํŽ€๋”๋ฉ˜ํ„ธ๊ณผ ๋‚ฎ์€ ์œ ๋™์„ฑ์œผ๋กœ ์–ด๋ ค์›€ ๊ฒช์–ด
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ฐ˜๋“ฑ์—๋„ ๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ NPI ์‹œ์žฅ์€ ์•ฝํ•œ ํŽ€๋”๋ฉ˜ํ„ธ๊ณผ ๋‚ฎ์€ ์œ ๋™์„ฑ์œผ๋กœ ์–ด๋ ค์›€ ๊ฒช์–ด
๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ฐ˜๋“ฑ์—๋„ ๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ NPI ์‹œ์žฅ์€ ์•ฝํ•œ ํŽ€๋”๋ฉ˜ํ„ธ๊ณผ ๋‚ฎ์€ ์œ ๋™์„ฑ์œผ๋กœ ์–ด๋ ค์›€ ๊ฒช์–ด
[SMM ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ํ”Œ๋ž˜์‹œ] 9์›” 3์ผ ๋‰ด์Šค: ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด ๋ฐ˜๋“ฑํ–ˆ์Œ์—๋„ ๋ถˆ๊ตฌํ•˜๊ณ , ๊ณ ์ˆœ๋„ NPI ์‹œ์žฅ์€ ์•ฝํ•œ ํŽ€๋”๋ฉ˜ํ„ธ์„ ๋ฐ˜์ „์‹œํ‚ค๊ธฐ ์–ด๋ ต๊ณ  ์‹œ์žฅ ์œ ๋™์„ฑ์ด ๋ถ€์กฑํ•˜๋‹ค. ์ฒ ๊ฐ•์—…์ฒด๋“ค์€ ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ์ˆ˜์šฉ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅํ•œ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์ˆ˜์ค€์„ ๋‚ฎ์€ ์ˆ˜์ค€์œผ๋กœ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์—…์ŠคํŠธ๋ฆผ ์˜คํผ์™€ ์ฒ ๊ฐ•์—…์ฒด์˜ ์‹ฌ๋ฆฌ์  ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์ˆ˜์ค€ ์‚ฌ์ด์—๋Š” ์ƒ๋‹นํ•œ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์Šคํ”„๋ ˆ๋“œ๊ฐ€ ๋‚จ์•„ ์žˆ๋‹ค. ๊ณ ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ๋‹จ์œ„ ํ™”๋ฌผ์˜ ํ”„๋ฆฌ๋ฏธ์—„์€ ํ˜„์ €ํžˆ ์ถ•์†Œ๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋Œ€๋ถ€๋ถ„์˜ ๊ธฐ๊ด€๋“ค์€ ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์‹œ์žฅ์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด ์•ฝ์„ธ ์ „๋ง์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค.
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SMM: 9์›” ๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ NPI ์‹œ์žฅ ์‹ฌ๋ฆฌ ์•ฝํ™”, ํ•˜๋ฅ˜ ๋ฐ ์ƒ๋ฅ˜ ์š”์ธ ํ•˜๋ฝ
2์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
SMM: 9์›” ๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ NPI ์‹œ์žฅ ์‹ฌ๋ฆฌ ์•ฝํ™”, ํ•˜๋ฅ˜ ๋ฐ ์ƒ๋ฅ˜ ์š”์ธ ํ•˜๋ฝ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
SMM: 9์›” ๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ NPI ์‹œ์žฅ ์‹ฌ๋ฆฌ ์•ฝํ™”, ํ•˜๋ฅ˜ ๋ฐ ์ƒ๋ฅ˜ ์š”์ธ ํ•˜๋ฝ
SMM: 9์›” ๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ NPI ์‹œ์žฅ ์‹ฌ๋ฆฌ ์•ฝํ™”, ํ•˜๋ฅ˜ ๋ฐ ์ƒ๋ฅ˜ ์š”์ธ ํ•˜๋ฝ
[SMM ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ ํ”Œ๋ž˜์‹œ] 9์›” 3์ผ, SMM ๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ NPI ์‹œ์žฅ ์‹ฌ๋ฆฌ ์ง€์ˆ˜๋Š” 1.77๋กœ ์ „์›” ๋Œ€๋น„ 0.02 ํ•˜๋ฝํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ NPI์˜ ์—…์ŠคํŠธ๋ฆผ ์‹ฌ๋ฆฌ ์ง€์ˆ˜๋Š” 1.87๋กœ ์ „์›” ๋Œ€๋น„ 0.03 ํ•˜๋ฝํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋‹ค์šด์ŠคํŠธ๋ฆผ ์‹ฌ๋ฆฌ ์ง€์ˆ˜๋Š” 1.67๋กœ ์ „์›” ๋Œ€๋น„ 0.02 ํ•˜๋ฝํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ NPI๋Š” ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ์•ฝ์„ธ๋ฅผ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค.
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[SMM Daily Review: Limited Low-Priced Supply in the Market, High-Grade - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)