SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting: Subsidies Ease Supply Pressure, Yet Prices May Fluctuate Downwards

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Jan 3, 2025 08:45
[SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Summary: Multiple Regions Introduce Subsidy Measures, Spot Market Supply Remains Tight] Overall, fundamentals side, supply-side pressure has slightly eased, but off-season demand remains weak, and the risk of social inventory buildup continues to grow. In the short term, aluminum prices are expected to fluctuate downward. In the long term, attention should be paid to the US Fed's future stance on interest rate cuts and changes in the pace of consumption recovery...

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
๋‚œ์ฐฝ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ, 9์›” 3์ผ ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ํ†ค๋‹น 70์œ„์•ˆ ์ธํ•˜
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๋‚œ์ฐฝ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ, 9์›” 3์ผ ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ํ†ค๋‹น 70์œ„์•ˆ ์ธํ•˜
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๋‚œ์ฐฝ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ, 9์›” 3์ผ ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ํ†ค๋‹น 70์œ„์•ˆ ์ธํ•˜
๋‚œ์ฐฝ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ, 9์›” 3์ผ ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ํ†ค๋‹น 70์œ„์•ˆ ์ธํ•˜
9์›” 3์ผ, ๋‚œ์ฐฝ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๋นŒ๋ › ฮฆ90 ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,450์œ„์•ˆ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„๋Š” ํ†ค๋‹น 100์œ„์•ˆ(์ „ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์ผ ๋Œ€๋น„ 70์œ„์•ˆ ํ•˜๋ฝ)์ด์—ˆ๊ณ , ฮฆ120์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,400์œ„์•ˆ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„๋Š” ํ†ค๋‹น 50์œ„์•ˆ(70์œ„์•ˆ ํ•˜๋ฝ), ฮฆ178์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,400์œ„์•ˆ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„๋Š” ํ†ค๋‹น 50์œ„์•ˆ(70์œ„์•ˆ ํ•˜๋ฝ)์ด์—ˆ๋‹ค. SMM A00 ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,350์œ„์•ˆ์ด์—ˆ๋‹ค.
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9์›” 3์ผ ์šฐ์‹œ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๋นŒ๋ › ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ฐ ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ํ•˜๋ฝ
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9์›” 3์ผ ์šฐ์‹œ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๋นŒ๋ › ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ฐ ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ํ•˜๋ฝ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
9์›” 3์ผ ์šฐ์‹œ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๋นŒ๋ › ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ฐ ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ํ•˜๋ฝ
9์›” 3์ผ ์šฐ์‹œ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๋นŒ๋ › ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ฐ ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ํ•˜๋ฝ
9์›” 3์ผ, ์šฐ์‹œ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๋นŒ๋ › ฮฆ90 ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,630์œ„์•ˆ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„๋Š” ํ†ค๋‹น 280์œ„์•ˆ(์ „ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์ผ ๋Œ€๋น„ 50์œ„์•ˆ ํ•˜๋ฝ)์ด์—ˆ๊ณ , ฮฆ120์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,540์œ„์•ˆ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„๋Š” ํ†ค๋‹น 190์œ„์•ˆ(50์œ„์•ˆ ํ•˜๋ฝ), ฮฆ178์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,530์œ„์•ˆ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„๋Š” ํ†ค๋‹น 180์œ„์•ˆ(50์œ„์•ˆ ํ•˜๋ฝ)์ด์—ˆ๋‹ค. SMM A00 ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,350์œ„์•ˆ์ด์—ˆ๋‹ค.
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9์›” 3์ผ ํฌ์‚ฐ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ์ธํ•˜
37๋ถ„ ์ „
9์›” 3์ผ ํฌ์‚ฐ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ์ธํ•˜
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
9์›” 3์ผ ํฌ์‚ฐ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ์ธํ•˜
9์›” 3์ผ ํฌ์‚ฐ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ์ธํ•˜
9์›” 3์ผ, ํฌ์‚ฐ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๋นŒ๋ › ฮฆ90 ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,550์œ„์•ˆ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„๋Š” ํ†ค๋‹น 0์œ„์•ˆ(์ „ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์ผ ๋Œ€๋น„ 60์œ„์•ˆ ํ•˜๋ฝ)์ด์—ˆ๊ณ , ฮฆ120์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,500์œ„์•ˆ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„๋Š” ํ†ค๋‹น -50์œ„์•ˆ(60์œ„์•ˆ ํ•˜๋ฝ), ฮฆ178์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,500์œ„์•ˆ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„๋Š” ํ†ค๋‹น -50์œ„์•ˆ(60์œ„์•ˆ ํ•˜๋ฝ)์ด์—ˆ๋‹ค. SMM A00 ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ(ํฌ์‚ฐ)์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,550์œ„์•ˆ์ด์—ˆ๋‹ค.
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[SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Summary: Multiple Regions Introduce Subs - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)