Zinc Ingot Social Inventory Increases Again, SHFE Zinc Fluctuates Downward [SMM Zinc Morning Comment Nov 12]

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Nov 12, 2024 09:36
์ถœ์ฒ˜: SMM
Overnight, LME zinc opened at $2,990/mt, fluctuated widely around the daily moving average after the opening, reached a high of $3,026/mt during the session, fell below the daily moving average in the night session, and hit a low of $2,968.5/mt near the close, finally closing down at $2,980/mt, down $4/mt, a decrease of 0.13%.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
ใ€SMM ์†๋ณดใ€‘๋ธŒ๋ฆญ์Šคํ†ค, ์œ ์ž์› ํ™•์žฅ์— ๋ฐ•์ฐจ โ€“ ์—ญ์‚ฌ์  ๊ด‘์ƒ์— 5,500๋งŒ ํŒŒ์šด๋“œ ์ด์ƒ์˜ ์•„์—ฐ ํ•จ์œ 
54๋ถ„ ์ „
ใ€SMM ์†๋ณดใ€‘๋ธŒ๋ฆญ์Šคํ†ค, ์œ ์ž์› ํ™•์žฅ์— ๋ฐ•์ฐจ โ€“ ์—ญ์‚ฌ์  ๊ด‘์ƒ์— 5,500๋งŒ ํŒŒ์šด๋“œ ์ด์ƒ์˜ ์•„์—ฐ ํ•จ์œ 
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
ใ€SMM ์†๋ณดใ€‘๋ธŒ๋ฆญ์Šคํ†ค, ์œ ์ž์› ํ™•์žฅ์— ๋ฐ•์ฐจ โ€“ ์—ญ์‚ฌ์  ๊ด‘์ƒ์— 5,500๋งŒ ํŒŒ์šด๋“œ ์ด์ƒ์˜ ์•„์—ฐ ํ•จ์œ 
ใ€SMM ์†๋ณดใ€‘๋ธŒ๋ฆญ์Šคํ†ค, ์œ ์ž์› ํ™•์žฅ์— ๋ฐ•์ฐจ โ€“ ์—ญ์‚ฌ์  ๊ด‘์ƒ์— 5,500๋งŒ ํŒŒ์šด๋“œ ์ด์ƒ์˜ ์•„์—ฐ ํ•จ์œ 
Brixton Metals๊ฐ€ ์บ๋‚˜๋‹ค ๋ธŒ๋ฆฌํ‹ฐ์‹œ์ปฌ๋Ÿผ๋น„์•„์ฃผ์— ์œ„์น˜ํ•œ Thorn ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ์˜ 2026๋…„ ์‹œ์ถ” ํ”„๋กœ๊ทธ๋žจ ์ฒซ ๋ถ„์„ ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๋ฅผ ๋ฐœํ‘œํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. Glenfiddich ๊ด‘ํ™”๋Œ€์˜ ์‹œ์ถ”๊ณต THN26-372์—์„œ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ 1.25%, ๊ธˆ 1.71g/t, ์€ 149g/t์˜ ํ’ˆ์œ„๋กœ 14.75m ๊ตฌ๊ฐ„์ด ํ™•์ธ๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์—ฌ๊ธฐ์—๋Š” ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ 8.33%, ๊ธˆ 11.3g/t, ์€ 971g/t์˜ ๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ ๊ตฌ๊ฐ„ 1.5m๊ฐ€ ํฌํ•จ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํšŒ์‚ฌ ์ธก์€ ํ˜„์žฌ ์‹œ์ถ”๊ฐ€ Glenfiddich ๊ด‘ํ™” ์‹œ์Šคํ…œ์˜ ์ฃผํ–ฅ ๋ฐ ์‹ฌ๋„ ์—ฐ์žฅ์„ฑ์„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ด๋Š” ์ž์›๋Ÿ‰ ์—…๋ฐ์ดํŠธ๋ฅผ ๋’ท๋ฐ›์นจํ•˜๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ด๋ผ๊ณ  ๋ฐํ˜”์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. 2014๋…„์˜ ์ž์›๋Ÿ‰ ์ถ”์ •์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด, Glenfiddich, Northside ๋ฐ Talisker ๊ด‘ํ™”๋Œ€์—๋Š” ์€ 35.54g/t, ๊ธˆ 0.51g/t, ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ 0.13%, ๋‚ฉ 0.32%, ์•„์—ฐ 0.59%์˜ ํ’ˆ์œ„๋ฅผ ๊ฐ€์ง€๋Š” ์•ฝ 740๋งŒ ํ†ค์˜ ์ถ”์ • ์ž์›๋Ÿ‰์ด ๋ถ€์กดํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ์—ฌ๊ธฐ์—๋Š” ์•„์—ฐ ์•ฝ 5,510๋งŒ ํŒŒ์šด๋“œ์™€ ๋‚ฉ ์•ฝ 2,930๋งŒ ํŒŒ์šด๋“œ๊ฐ€ ํฌํ•จ๋˜์–ด ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. 2025๋…„ Northside ๊ด‘ํ™”๋Œ€์—์„œ ์ด์ „์— ์‹ค์‹œ๋œ ์‹œ์ถ”์—์„œ๋Š” ์•„์—ฐ 7.1%, ๋‚ฉ 7.6%์˜ ๊ณ ํ’ˆ์œ„ ๊ตฌ๊ฐ„์ด ํ™•์ธ๋˜์–ด, ์ด ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ์˜ ๋‹ค๊ธˆ์† ์ž์› ์ž ์žฌ๋ ฅ์„ ๋ถ€๊ฐ์‹œ์ผฐ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. Brixton์€ ์˜ฌํ•ด ํ˜„์žฌ๊นŒ์ง€ Glenfiddich์—์„œ ์ด 1,736.5m์˜ ์‹œ์ถ”๊ณต 7๊ฐœ๋ฅผ ์™„๋ฃŒํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ž์› ํ™•์žฅ ๋ฐ ํ’ˆ์œ„ ๊ฐœ์„ ์„ ์œ„ํ•œ ์‹œ์ถ”๋ฅผ ๊ณ„์†ํ•  ๊ณ„ํš์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
54๋ถ„ ์ „
[SMM ํ”Œ๋ž˜์‹œ] Chinalco ๊ณ„์—ด์‚ฌ, ๋‚˜๋ฏธ๋น„์•„ Opuwo ์ฝ”๋ฐœํŠธ-๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•„์—ฐ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ ์ง€๋ถ„ 95% ์ธ์ˆ˜
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
[SMM ํ”Œ๋ž˜์‹œ] Chinalco ๊ณ„์—ด์‚ฌ, ๋‚˜๋ฏธ๋น„์•„ Opuwo ์ฝ”๋ฐœํŠธ-๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•„์—ฐ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ ์ง€๋ถ„ 95% ์ธ์ˆ˜
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
[SMM ํ”Œ๋ž˜์‹œ] Chinalco ๊ณ„์—ด์‚ฌ, ๋‚˜๋ฏธ๋น„์•„ Opuwo ์ฝ”๋ฐœํŠธ-๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•„์—ฐ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ ์ง€๋ถ„ 95% ์ธ์ˆ˜
[SMM ํ”Œ๋ž˜์‹œ] Chinalco ๊ณ„์—ด์‚ฌ, ๋‚˜๋ฏธ๋น„์•„ Opuwo ์ฝ”๋ฐœํŠธ-๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•„์—ฐ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ ์ง€๋ถ„ 95% ์ธ์ˆ˜
์ค‘๊ตญ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ณต์‚ฌ์˜ ์žํšŒ์‚ฌ์ธ ์น˜๋‚ ์ฝ” (์Š์•ˆ) ๋งˆ์ด๋‹์ด ์…€์‹œ์šฐ์Šค ๋ฆฌ์†Œ์‹œ์Šค๋กœ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ๋‚˜๋ฏธ๋น„์•„ ์†Œ์žฌ ์˜คํ‘ธ์›Œ ์ฝ”๋ฐœํŠธ-๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ์˜ ์ง€๋ถ„ 95%๋ฅผ 1,500๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์— ์ธ์ˆ˜ํ•˜๊ธฐ๋กœ ํ•ฉ์˜ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๋‚˜๋ฏธ๋น„์•„ ์ฟ ๋„ค๋„ค ์ฃผ์— ์œ„์น˜ํ•œ ์˜คํ‘ธ์›Œ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ์˜ ๊ด‘๋ฌผ์ž์› ์ถ”์ •์น˜๋Š” 2์–ต 2,550๋งŒ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ, ์ฝ”๋ฐœํŠธ 0.12%, ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ 0.43%, ์•„์—ฐ 0.54%์˜ ํ’ˆ์œ„๋ฅผ ๋ณด์ธ๋‹ค. ํ•ด๋‹น ์ž์›์— ํฌํ•จ๋œ ๊ธˆ์†๋Ÿ‰์€ ์ฝ”๋ฐœํŠธ ์•ฝ 25๋งŒ 9์ฒœ ํ†ค, ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ์•ฝ 97๋งŒ ํ†ค, ์•„์—ฐ ์•ฝ 122๋งŒ ํ†ค์ด๋ฉฐ, ์ด ์ค‘ ์ง€์‹œ ์ž์›๋Ÿ‰์€ 4,530๋งŒ ํ†ค, ์ถ”์ • ์ž์›๋Ÿ‰์€ 1์–ต 8,020๋งŒ ํ†ค์ด๋‹ค. ํ•ฉ์˜์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ์น˜๋‚ ์ฝ” (์Š์•ˆ) ๋งˆ์ด๋‹์€ ๊ทœ์ œ ์Šน์ธ ๋ฐ ํ—ˆ๊ฐ€ ๊ฐฑ์‹  ์ ˆ์ฐจ๊ฐ€ ์™„๋ฃŒ๋˜๋Š” ๋™์•ˆ ํƒ์‚ฌ ํ™œ๋™์— ์ตœ์†Œ 75๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ, ์ œ๋ จ ์‹œํ—˜ ์ž‘์—…์— 25๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋ฅผ ํˆฌ์žํ•˜๊ธฐ๋กœ ์•ฝ์†ํ–ˆ๋‹ค.
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์ค‘๊ตญ ์žฌ๊ณ  ๊ฐ์†Œ ์ง€์†, SHFE ์•„์—ฐ ๋ณ€๋™ ์ถ”์„ธ ์œ ์ง€ [SMM ๋ชจ๋‹ ์ฝ”๋ฉ˜ํŠธ]
2์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์ค‘๊ตญ ์žฌ๊ณ  ๊ฐ์†Œ ์ง€์†, SHFE ์•„์—ฐ ๋ณ€๋™ ์ถ”์„ธ ์œ ์ง€ [SMM ๋ชจ๋‹ ์ฝ”๋ฉ˜ํŠธ]
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์ค‘๊ตญ ์žฌ๊ณ  ๊ฐ์†Œ ์ง€์†, SHFE ์•„์—ฐ ๋ณ€๋™ ์ถ”์„ธ ์œ ์ง€ [SMM ๋ชจ๋‹ ์ฝ”๋ฉ˜ํŠธ]
์ค‘๊ตญ ์žฌ๊ณ  ๊ฐ์†Œ ์ง€์†, SHFE ์•„์—ฐ ๋ณ€๋™ ์ถ”์„ธ ์œ ์ง€ [SMM ๋ชจ๋‹ ์ฝ”๋ฉ˜ํŠธ]
[SMM ์•„์—ฐ ๋ชจ๋‹ ์ฝ”๋ฉ˜ํŠธ] ์•ผ๊ฐ„ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์—์„œ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Ÿ‰ ์ตœ๋Œ€์ธ SHFE ์•„์—ฐ 2608 ๊ณ„์•ฝ์ด 24,130์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค์— ๊ฐœ์žฅํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์„ธ์…˜ ์ดˆ๋ฐ˜ ์ˆ ํฌ์ง€์…˜์ด ์ •๋ฆฌ๋˜๋ฉฐ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด ํšก๋ณด ํ›„ ๊ฐ•์„ธ๋ฅผ ๋ณด์—ฌ 24,250์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค ๊ณ ์ ์„ ๊ธฐ๋กํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด์–ด ๋กฑ ํฌ์ง€์…˜ ๊ฐ์†Œ๋กœ SHFE ์•„์—ฐ์ด 24,105์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค๊นŒ์ง€ ํ•˜๋ฝํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ดํ›„ ๋งค์ˆ˜ ํฌ์ง€์…˜์ด ์ถ”๊ฐ€๋˜๋ฉฐ SHFE ์•„์—ฐ์ด ์ ์ฐจ ์ผํ‰๊ท  ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์„  ์œ„๋กœ ์˜ฌ๋ผ์„ฐ๊ณ , ์ตœ์ข…์ ์œผ๋กœ 24,210์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค์— ๋งˆ๊ฐํ•˜๋ฉฐ 80์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค(0.33%) ์ƒ์Šนํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
2์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
Overnight, LME zinc opened at $2,990/mt, fluctuated widely around the - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)