Between the Rise and Fall of the Lithium Prices Analysis of the Global Lithium Resource Distribution Pattern

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Aug 22, 2024 17:14
The price of lithium has been fluctuating a lot in the ten years mostly due to demand from different industries especially in making electric vehicles (EVs) and storing renewable energy. The changes, in lithium prices are closely connected to where the lithium comes from, around the world, which brings both advantages and difficulties for businesses that need this metal. To grasp how this market works we need to look not at how prices change but at all the different factors that affect how lithium is supplied.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
์˜ํฅ์†Œ์žฌ, ๋ฆฌํŠฌ์—ผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์ƒ์Šน์œผ๋กœ ์ƒ๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ์ด์ต 137~187% ์ฆ๊ฐ€ ์ „๋ง
12์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์˜ํฅ์†Œ์žฌ, ๋ฆฌํŠฌ์—ผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์ƒ์Šน์œผ๋กœ ์ƒ๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ์ด์ต 137~187% ์ฆ๊ฐ€ ์ „๋ง
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์˜ํฅ์†Œ์žฌ, ๋ฆฌํŠฌ์—ผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์ƒ์Šน์œผ๋กœ ์ƒ๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ์ด์ต 137~187% ์ฆ๊ฐ€ ์ „๋ง
์˜ํฅ์†Œ์žฌ, ๋ฆฌํŠฌ์—ผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์ƒ์Šน์œผ๋กœ ์ƒ๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ์ด์ต 137~187% ์ฆ๊ฐ€ ์ „๋ง
์œต์‹ฑ ๋จธํ‹ฐ๋ฆฌ์–ผ์ฆˆ๋Š” 2026๋…„ ์ƒ๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ์ˆœ์ด์ต์ด ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 137%~187% ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ•œ 95์–ต~115์–ต ์œ„์•ˆ์— ์ด๋ฅผ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์ „๋งํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” ์ด๋Ÿฌํ•œ ์„ฑ์žฅ์ด ์ „๊ธฐ์ฐจ ๋ฐ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ์ €์žฅ ๋ถ„์•ผ์˜ ๊ฐ•๋ ฅํ•œ ์ˆ˜์š”, ๋ฆฌํŠฌ์—ผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์ƒ์Šน, ํƒ„์‚ฐ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ์ œํ’ˆ์˜ ์•ˆ์ •์ ์ธ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ฐ ํŒ๋งค ๋•๋ถ„์ด๋ผ๊ณ  ๋ฐํ˜”๋‹ค.
12์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
ใ€SMM ์‹ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ๋ธŒ๋ฆฌํ”„ใ€‘ ํ†ˆ์น˜๋จธํ‹ฐ๋ฆฌ์–ผ์ฆˆ, 3๋ถ„๊ธฐ ์ „ํ•ด์•ก ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ ์ „๋ง, LiPFโ‚† ํ™•์žฅ ์ˆœํ•ญ ์ค‘
13์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
ใ€SMM ์‹ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ๋ธŒ๋ฆฌํ”„ใ€‘ ํ†ˆ์น˜๋จธํ‹ฐ๋ฆฌ์–ผ์ฆˆ, 3๋ถ„๊ธฐ ์ „ํ•ด์•ก ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ ์ „๋ง, LiPFโ‚† ํ™•์žฅ ์ˆœํ•ญ ์ค‘
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
ใ€SMM ์‹ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ๋ธŒ๋ฆฌํ”„ใ€‘ ํ†ˆ์น˜๋จธํ‹ฐ๋ฆฌ์–ผ์ฆˆ, 3๋ถ„๊ธฐ ์ „ํ•ด์•ก ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ ์ „๋ง, LiPFโ‚† ํ™•์žฅ ์ˆœํ•ญ ์ค‘
ใ€SMM ์‹ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ๋ธŒ๋ฆฌํ”„ใ€‘ ํ†ˆ์น˜๋จธํ‹ฐ๋ฆฌ์–ผ์ฆˆ, 3๋ถ„๊ธฐ ์ „ํ•ด์•ก ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ ์ „๋ง, LiPFโ‚† ํ™•์žฅ ์ˆœํ•ญ ์ค‘
Tinci Materials๋Š” ์ž์‚ฌ์˜ ์ „ํ•ด์งˆ ๋ฐ ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ํ—ฅ์‚ฌํ”Œ๋ฃจ์˜ค๋กœํฌ์ŠคํŽ˜์ดํŠธ(LiPFโ‚†) ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์„ค๋น„๊ฐ€ ๊ฑฐ์˜ ํ’€๊ฐ€๋™๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐํ˜”๋‹คใ€‚ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ์ €์žฅ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ์ˆ˜์š”์˜ ์ง€์†์ ์ธ ์ฆ๊ฐ€์— ํž˜์ž…์–ด๏ผŒ ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” 2026๋…„ 3๋ถ„๊ธฐ์— ์ „ํ•ด์งˆ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์ผ์ •์ด ๋”์šฑ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ•  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒํ•œ๋‹คใ€‚ ํšŒ์‚ฌ์˜ ๊ณ„ํš๋œ ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ 35,000ํ†ค LiPFโ‚† ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Šฅ๋ ฅ ํ™•์žฅ์€ 2026๋…„ ํ•˜๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ๊ฐ€๋™์„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ์ˆœ์กฐ๋กญ๊ฒŒ ์ง„ํ–‰ ์ค‘์ด๋ฉฐ๏ผŒ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Šฅ๋ ฅ ํ™•๋Œ€ ์†๋„๋Š” ์‹œ์žฅ ์ƒํ™ฉ๊ณผ ๊ณ ๊ฐ ์ˆ˜์š”์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ์กฐ์ •๋  ์˜ˆ์ •์ด๋‹คใ€‚
13์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
๊ฐ•๋ ฅํ•œ ๋…น์ƒ‰ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ์ˆ˜์š” ์†, ์ค‘๊ตญ ์ƒ๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ์ˆ˜์ถœ 37.6% ๊ธ‰์ฆ
13์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
๊ฐ•๋ ฅํ•œ ๋…น์ƒ‰ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ์ˆ˜์š” ์†, ์ค‘๊ตญ ์ƒ๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ์ˆ˜์ถœ 37.6% ๊ธ‰์ฆ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๊ฐ•๋ ฅํ•œ ๋…น์ƒ‰ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ์ˆ˜์š” ์†, ์ค‘๊ตญ ์ƒ๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ์ˆ˜์ถœ 37.6% ๊ธ‰์ฆ
๊ฐ•๋ ฅํ•œ ๋…น์ƒ‰ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ์ˆ˜์š” ์†, ์ค‘๊ตญ ์ƒ๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ์ˆ˜์ถœ 37.6% ๊ธ‰์ฆ
2026๋…„ ์ƒ๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ์ค‘๊ตญ์˜ ๋ฆฌํŠฌ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์€ ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 37.6% ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ๊ณ , ํ’๋ ฅ ํ„ฐ๋นˆ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์€ ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 35.6% ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๊ตญ๋ฌด์› ์‹ ๋ฌธํŒ๊ณต์‹ค์ด ๋ฐํ˜”๋‹ค. ์ „๊ธฐ์ฐจ, ์ „๊ธฐ ๊ธฐ๊ด€์ฐจ, ์ „๊ธฐ ์˜คํ† ๋ฐ”์ด ๋ฐ ์ž์ „๊ฑฐ ์ˆ˜์ถœ๋„ ๊ฐ๊ฐ 68.7%, 45.1%, 31.5% ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ•ด ๊ทธ๋ฆฐ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€ ์ œํ’ˆ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ์ˆ˜์š”๊ฐ€ ๊ฒฌ๊ณ ํ•จ์„ ๋ณด์—ฌ์คฌ๋‹ค.
13์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „