Overview of New DMC Capacity in China in 2024

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Jul 26, 2024 18:36
์ถœ์ฒ˜: SMM
In 2024, new silicone capacity in China starts to be released intensively.

In 2024, new silicone capacity in China starts to be released intensively. Most of the planned capacity for 2023 has been postponed to this year, resulting in a significant increase in new capacity this year. According to SMM, as of now, the total domestic DMC capacity is 6.42 million mt/year, up 19.11% YoY, with 880,000 mt/year of new capacity this year. Additionally, there are plans to add another 500,000 mt/year of DMC capacity soon, accelerating the supply growth.

Regarding existing capacity, the new capacity added this year, including technical upgrades and new constructions, is as follows: Shandong (100,000 mt/year), Zhejiang (180,000 mt/year), Jiangxi (200,000 mt/year), Hubei (200,000 mt/year), and Hebei (200,000 mt/year).

For the planned capacity this year, there is still 500,000 mt/year of DMC capacity in the final stages of construction and technical upgrades. It is expected that the new domestic DMC capacity will reach 1.38 million mt/year this year, with an accelerated growth rate compared to last year. Additionally, there are plans for another 2.9 million mt/year of DMC capacity in 2025. Although some of the new capacity plans may be delayed due to market conditions, the overall domestic supply growth rate will remain high in the next two years.

With the recent exit of foreign-funded enterprises from the DMC capacity market and the reduced overseas production due to market conditions, the global concentration of DMC production is rapidly shifting towards China. According to SMM, China's share of global silicone capacity is expected to increase to 83% this year and nearly 90% next year. China will dominate the low- and mid-end silicone products market, and domestic producers are continuing to expand and research downstream products, leading to a more diverse and technologically advanced range of silicone products in the future.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
Cost-Driven Magnesium Prices Shot Up, Weak Demand Makes Rally Unsustainable [SMM Magnesium Weekly Review]
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Cost-Driven Magnesium Prices Shot Up, Weak Demand Makes Rally Unsustainable [SMM Magnesium Weekly Review]
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
Cost-Driven Magnesium Prices Shot Up, Weak Demand Makes Rally Unsustainable [SMM Magnesium Weekly Review]
Cost-Driven Magnesium Prices Shot Up, Weak Demand Makes Rally Unsustainable [SMM Magnesium Weekly Review]
[SMM Magnesium Weekly Review: Cost Push Drives Magnesium Prices Up, Weak Demand Limits Gains] This week, mainstream quotations for 99.90% magnesium ingot in major production areas stood at 16,050-16,150 yuan/mt, up 300 yuan/mt WoW, with FOB prices at $2,280-2,380/mt and an average of $2,330/mt. Magnesium ingot prices shot up during the week, driven by rising coal and ferrosilicon costs, coupled with some restocking at higher prices in foreign trade. However, the overall market remained characterized by strong supply and weak demand, with sluggish transactions at high prices and signs of a pullback emerging in the latter part of the week. Overseas demand has not shown any substantial recovery, with market activity dominated by tentative inquiries, limited actual order volumes, and evident buyer pressure for lower prices, keeping trading sluggish. Downstream magnesium powder and magnesium alloy prices followed the cost-driven increase in magnesium ingot, but end-use demand for magnesium powder remained weak, with some enterprises cutting production or suspending operations, exports constrained, and inventory levels rising. Spot inventory of magnesium alloy was ample, competition among peers was intense, and die-casting enterprises faced insufficient orders and declining operating rates, keeping processing fees under pressure. In the short term, cost support and weak demand are locked in a tug-of-war, and the upward momentum in magnesium prices is losing steam, with the market likely to return to consolidation. Going forward, close attention should be paid to the release of domestic and overseas orders.
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๋น„์šฉ ์ง€์ง€์—๋„ ์•ฝํ•œ ์ˆ˜์š”๋ฅผ ์ƒ์‡„ํ•˜์ง€ ๋ชปํ•ด ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์ž‰๊ณณ ์‹œ์žฅ์ด ์••๋ฐ• ์†์— ์•ฝ์„ธ๋กœ ์ „ํ™˜ [SMM ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์ž‰๊ณณ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ]
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๋น„์šฉ ์ง€์ง€์—๋„ ์•ฝํ•œ ์ˆ˜์š”๋ฅผ ์ƒ์‡„ํ•˜์ง€ ๋ชปํ•ด ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์ž‰๊ณณ ์‹œ์žฅ์ด ์••๋ฐ• ์†์— ์•ฝ์„ธ๋กœ ์ „ํ™˜ [SMM ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์ž‰๊ณณ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ]
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๋น„์šฉ ์ง€์ง€์—๋„ ์•ฝํ•œ ์ˆ˜์š”๋ฅผ ์ƒ์‡„ํ•˜์ง€ ๋ชปํ•ด ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์ž‰๊ณณ ์‹œ์žฅ์ด ์••๋ฐ• ์†์— ์•ฝ์„ธ๋กœ ์ „ํ™˜ [SMM ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์ž‰๊ณณ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ]
๋น„์šฉ ์ง€์ง€์—๋„ ์•ฝํ•œ ์ˆ˜์š”๋ฅผ ์ƒ์‡„ํ•˜์ง€ ๋ชปํ•ด ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์ž‰๊ณณ ์‹œ์žฅ์ด ์••๋ฐ• ์†์— ์•ฝ์„ธ๋กœ ์ „ํ™˜ [SMM ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์ž‰๊ณณ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ]
[์›๊ฐ€ ์ง€์ง€ ๋ถ€์กฑ์œผ๋กœ ์•ฝํ•œ ์ˆ˜์š” ์ƒ์‡„ ๋ชป ํ•ด; ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์ž‰๊ณณ ์‹œ์žฅ ์••๋ฐ• ์† ์•ฝ์„ธ ์ „ํ™˜] ์˜ค๋Š˜ ์ค‘๊ตญ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์ž‰๊ณณ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ์ค‘์‹ฌ๊ฐ€๋Š” ํ†ค๋‹น 16,000์œ„์•ˆ์œผ๋กœ ์ด๋™ํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, FOB ํ˜ธ๊ฐ€๋Š” ํ†ค๋‹น 2,280~2,380๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋ฅผ ์œ ์ง€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ณ ๊ฐ€ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ๋ถ€์ง„๊ณผ ๋‚ด์ˆ˜ ๋ฐ ํ•ด์™ธ ์ˆ˜์š” ํ›„์† ์กฐ์น˜ ๋ถ€์กฑ์˜ ์˜ํ–ฅ์œผ๋กœ ์‹œ์žฅ์€ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์œ ์ง€์—์„œ ์••๋ฐ• ์† ์•ฝ์„ธ๋กœ ์ „ํ™˜๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋‹จ๊ธฐ์ ์œผ๋กœ๋Š” ์•ฝ์„ธ ํ๋ฆ„ ์† ์กฐ์ • ๊ตญ๋ฉด์„ ๋ณด์ผ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ์ด ๋†’๋‹ค.
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๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์ž‰๊ณณ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ, ์ˆ˜์š” ์•ฝ์„ธ์—๋„ ์ƒ์Šนโ€ฆ๋น„์šฉ ์ง€์ง€ ์† ์žฌ๊ณ  ๋ˆ„์ 
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๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์ž‰๊ณณ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ, ์ˆ˜์š” ์•ฝ์„ธ์—๋„ ์ƒ์Šนโ€ฆ๋น„์šฉ ์ง€์ง€ ์† ์žฌ๊ณ  ๋ˆ„์ 
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์ž‰๊ณณ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ, ์ˆ˜์š” ์•ฝ์„ธ์—๋„ ์ƒ์Šนโ€ฆ๋น„์šฉ ์ง€์ง€ ์† ์žฌ๊ณ  ๋ˆ„์ 
๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์ž‰๊ณณ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ, ์ˆ˜์š” ์•ฝ์„ธ์—๋„ ์ƒ์Šนโ€ฆ๋น„์šฉ ์ง€์ง€ ์† ์žฌ๊ณ  ๋ˆ„์ 
ใ€SMM ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ํ”Œ๋ž˜์‹œใ€‘์ด๋ฒˆ ์ฃผ ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์ž‰๊ณณ ์‚ฌํšŒ ์žฌ๊ณ ๋Š” ์ „์›” ๋Œ€๋น„ 2.19% ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ•˜๋ฉฐ ์ง€์†์ ์ธ ๋ˆ„์  ์–‘์ƒ์„ ๋ณด์˜€๋‹ค. ์›๊ฐ€ ์ง€์ง€์— ํž˜์ž…์–ด ์ด๋ฒˆ ์ฃผ ๊ตญ๋‚ด ๋งˆ๊ทธ๋„ค์Š˜ ์ž‰๊ณณ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ์ƒ์Šน์„ธ๋ฅผ ์ด์–ด๊ฐ”๋‹ค. '๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด ์˜ค๋ฅด๋ฉด ์‚ฌ๊ณ  ๋‚ด๋ฆฌ๋ฉด ์‚ฌ์ง€ ์•Š๋Š”๋‹ค'๋Š” ์‹ฌ๋ฆฌ์™€ ์ผ๋ถ€ ์„ ์  ์„œ๋ฅ˜ ์ˆ˜์š”์— ํž˜์ž…์–ด ํŠธ๋ ˆ์ด๋”๋“ค์€ ์†Œ๋Ÿ‰์˜ ์žฌ๊ณ  ํ™•๋ณด์™€ ์ถ”๊ฒฉ ๋งค์ˆ˜๋ฅผ ์ง„ํ–‰ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ทธ๋Ÿฌ๋‚˜ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๊ธ‰๋“ฑ ์ดํ›„ ์‹œ์žฅ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Š” ํ˜„์ €ํžˆ ์•ฝํ™”๋˜์—ˆ๊ณ , ํ•˜๋ฅ˜์˜ ๊ณ ๊ฐ€ ๋ถ€๋‹ด ์‹ฌ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ์ ์ฐจ ๋‘๋“œ๋Ÿฌ์กŒ๋‹ค. ํ˜„์žฌ ๊ตญ๋‚ด์™ธ ์ตœ์ข… ์ˆ˜์š”์˜ ์‹ค์งˆ์ ์ธ ํšŒ๋ณต์€ ์•„์ง ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋‚˜์ง€ ์•Š์•˜๋‹ค. ์ผ๋ถ€ ํŠธ๋ ˆ์ด๋”๋Š” ์„ ์  ์„œ๋ฅ˜์šฉ ๋ฐ ์‹œ์žฅ ๋ณ€๋™ ๋Œ€์‘์„ ์œ„ํ•ด ๋งค์ž…ํ•œ ๋ฌผ๋Ÿ‰์„ ํ•ญ๊ตฌ ์ฐฝ๊ณ ์— ๋ณด๊ด€ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋Œ€๋ถ€๋ถ„์˜ ํŠธ๋ ˆ์ด๋”๋Š” ๊ด€๋ง์„ธ๋ฅผ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ์›๊ฐ€ ์ธก๋ฉด์˜ ๊ฐ•๋ ฅํ•œ ์ง€์ง€์™€ ์‹œ์žฅ์˜ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์ธ์ƒ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€์—๋„ ๋ถˆ๊ตฌํ•˜๊ณ  ์‹ ๊ทœ ๋งค์ˆ˜ ์˜ํ–ฅ์€ ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ์ œํ•œ์ ์ด๋‹ค. ์—ฌ๋Ÿฌ ์š”์ธ์ด ๋ณตํ•ฉ์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ž‘์šฉํ•˜์—ฌ ์ด๋ฒˆ ์ฃผ ์‚ฌํšŒ ์žฌ๊ณ ๊ฐ€ ์†Œํญ ๋ˆ„์ ๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค.
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