SMMย Zincย Marketย Morningย Commentย (Aprย 30)

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Apr 30, 2024 09:53
์ถœ์ฒ˜: SMM
Overnight, LME zinc prices continued to rise, finding support at the moving average.

Overnight, LME zinc prices continued to rise, finding support at the moving average. LME zinc inventory increased by 950 mt to 255,400 mt, up 0.37%. The weak US dollar overnight led to a general rise in non-ferrous metals, with zinc leading the way in gains. The news of production cuts at the ore end was confirmed, providing sufficient momentum for LME zinc price hikes. Therefore, LME zinc prices are expected to continue to rise. SHFE zinc prices moved up overnight, but met resistance at the upper end of the Bollinger Bands. Driven by LME zinc, SHFE zinc prices hit the highest level in nearly a year, but it is recommended to operate with caution since fund changes are relatively frequent before the holiday.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
๋ฒ™์ปคํž, ๋‚ฉ-์•„์—ฐ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์žฌ๊ฐ€๋™ ์ถ”์ง„โ€ฆ2026๋…„ ๋ง ์ƒ์—… ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
10์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
๋ฒ™์ปคํž, ๋‚ฉ-์•„์—ฐ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์žฌ๊ฐ€๋™ ์ถ”์ง„โ€ฆ2026๋…„ ๋ง ์ƒ์—… ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๋ฒ™์ปคํž, ๋‚ฉ-์•„์—ฐ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์žฌ๊ฐ€๋™ ์ถ”์ง„โ€ฆ2026๋…„ ๋ง ์ƒ์—… ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
๋ฒ™์ปคํž, ๋‚ฉ-์•„์—ฐ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์žฌ๊ฐ€๋™ ์ถ”์ง„โ€ฆ2026๋…„ ๋ง ์ƒ์—… ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
๋ฒ™์ปคํž ๋งˆ์ด๋‹์€ 9์›” 1์ผ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์•„์ด๋‹คํ˜ธ์ฃผ ์†Œ์žฌ ๋ฒ™์ปคํž ๋‚ฉ-์•„์—ฐ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์—์„œ 2026๋…„ 6์›” ๋ง ์ฒซ ๋‚ฉ ๋ฐ ์•„์—ฐ ์ •๊ด‘์„ ์ƒ์‚ฐํ–ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐœํ‘œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ํ˜„์žฌ ์ฆ์‚ฐ์ด ์ง„ํ–‰ ์ค‘์ด๋ฉฐ, ์ง€ํ•˜ ์ฑ„๊ตด ๋ฐ ์„ ๊ด‘ ๊ณต์ • ์ตœ์ ํ™”๊ฐ€ ๊ณ„์†๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ์„ ๊ด‘ ํ”Œ๋žœํŠธ ์„ค๊ณ„ ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰์€ ์ผ์ผ 1,800ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ, ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ ์•„์—ฐ ์ •๊ด‘๊ณผ ์€ ํ•จ์œ  ๋‚ฉ ์ •๊ด‘ ํ•ฉ๊ณ„ ์•ฝ 85,000ํ†ค ์ƒ์‚ฐ์„ ๊ณ„ํšํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” ๋Œ€๊ธฐ์„ฑ ์ž๊ธˆ ์กฐ๋‹ฌ๊ณผ ์ •๊ด‘ ์„ ๊ธ‰๊ธˆ ๊ณ„์•ฝ์„ ํ†ตํ•ด ์šด์ „์ž๋ณธ์„ ๋ณด์ถฉํ•  ๊ณ„ํš์ด๋ฉฐ, 2026๋…„ ๋ง๊นŒ์ง€ ์™„์ „ ์ƒ์—… ์ƒ์‚ฐ์„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. SMM์€ 2026๋…„ ์ด ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์˜ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์„ ์ •๊ด‘ ๋‚ด ๊ธˆ์† ๊ธฐ์ค€์œผ๋กœ ์•„์—ฐ ์•ฝ 25,000ํ†ค, ๋‚ฉ 10,000~15,000ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์ „๋งํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ํ•œํŽธ, Cate-8 ๊ด‘ํ™”๋Œ€์—์„œ ์ตœ๊ทผ ์‹ค์‹œ๋œ ์ง€ํ•˜ ์‹œ์ถ” ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ ์ตœ๋Œ€ ์‹œ๋ฃŒ ํ’ˆ์œ„๊ฐ€ ๋‚ฉ 41.1%, ์•„์—ฐ 7.41%๋กœ ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋‚ฌ๋‹ค. ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” ํ•ด๋‹น ๊ด‘ํ™”๋Œ€๋ฅผ ๋‹จ๊ธฐ ์ฑ„๊ตด ๊ณ„ํš์— ํฌํ•จํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฐฉ์•ˆ์˜ ํƒ€๋‹น์„ฑ์„ ํ‰๊ฐ€ ์ค‘์ด๋‹ค. ์ฆ์‚ฐ์ด ์ง„ํ–‰๋จ์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ์ด ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์€ ๋ถ๋ฏธ์— ์ถ”๊ฐ€์ ์ธ ๋‚ฉ ๋ฐ ์•„์—ฐ ๊ณต๊ธ‰์„ ์ œ๊ณตํ•  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€๋œ๋‹ค.
10์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
ACG ๊ฒŒ๋””ํฌํ…ŒํŽ˜ ํ™ฉํ™”๋ฌผ ํ™•์žฅ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ, ์ฒซ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•„์—ฐ ์ •๊ด‘ ์ƒ์‚ฐ; 2026๋…„ ๋ง๊นŒ์ง€ ์™„์ „ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
13์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
ACG ๊ฒŒ๋””ํฌํ…ŒํŽ˜ ํ™ฉํ™”๋ฌผ ํ™•์žฅ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ, ์ฒซ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•„์—ฐ ์ •๊ด‘ ์ƒ์‚ฐ; 2026๋…„ ๋ง๊นŒ์ง€ ์™„์ „ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
ACG ๊ฒŒ๋””ํฌํ…ŒํŽ˜ ํ™ฉํ™”๋ฌผ ํ™•์žฅ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ, ์ฒซ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•„์—ฐ ์ •๊ด‘ ์ƒ์‚ฐ; 2026๋…„ ๋ง๊นŒ์ง€ ์™„์ „ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
ACG ๊ฒŒ๋””ํฌํ…ŒํŽ˜ ํ™ฉํ™”๋ฌผ ํ™•์žฅ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ, ์ฒซ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌยท์•„์—ฐ ์ •๊ด‘ ์ƒ์‚ฐ; 2026๋…„ ๋ง๊นŒ์ง€ ์™„์ „ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
ACG Metals๋Š” 9์›” 1์ผ ํŠ€๋ฅดํ‚ค์˜ˆ ์†Œ์žฌ Gediktepe ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์—์„œ 8์›” 31์ผ ์ฒซ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ์ •๊ด‘์„ ์ƒ์‚ฐํ–ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐœํ‘œํ•˜๋ฉฐ ์ฆ์‚ฐ ๋‹จ๊ณ„์— ๋Œ์ž…ํ–ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐํ˜”๋‹ค. ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ๋Ÿ‰์„ ์ ์ง„์ ์œผ๋กœ ๋Š˜๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ํ”Œ๋žœํŠธ ์„ฑ๋Šฅ์„ ์ตœ์ ํ™”ํ•˜์—ฌ 2026๋…„ ๋ง๊นŒ์ง€ ์™„์ „ ๊ฐ€๋™์„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. Gediktepe์˜ ์ •์ƒ ์ƒํƒœ ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋Š” ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ํ™˜์‚ฐ 2๋งŒ~2๋งŒ 5์ฒœ ํ†ค์ด๋‹ค. ์ „์ฒด ๋ฐœํ‘œ๋ฌธ์—๋Š” ํ•ด๋‹น ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์ด 2026๋…„ 8์›” ์ฒซ ์•„์—ฐ ์ •๊ด‘์„ ์ƒ์‚ฐํ–ˆ๋‹ค๋Š” ๋‚ด์šฉ๋„ ํฌํ•จ๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋‚˜, ๊ตฌ์ฒด์ ์ธ ๋‚ ์งœ์™€ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์€ ๊ณต๊ฐœ๋˜์ง€ ์•Š์•˜๋‹ค. SMM์€ 2026๋…„ ํ•ด๋‹น ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์˜ ์•„์—ฐ ์ •๊ด‘ ๋‚ด ์•„์—ฐ ํ•จ์œ ๋Ÿ‰์„ ์•ฝ 1๋งŒ~1๋งŒ 5์ฒœ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์ถ”์ •ํ–ˆ๋‹ค.
13์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE), ๋‹ค๋ก„์ƒํ’ˆ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(DCE) ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (9์›” 2์ผ)
16์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE), ๋‹ค๋ก„์ƒํ’ˆ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(DCE) ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (9์›” 2์ผ)
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE), ๋‹ค๋ก„์ƒํ’ˆ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(DCE) ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (9์›” 2์ผ)
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE), ๋‹ค๋ก„์ƒํ’ˆ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(DCE) ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (9์›” 2์ผ)
๋‹ค์Œ ํ‘œ๋Š” 2026๋…„ 9์›” 2์ผ ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE)์™€ ๋‹ค๋ก„์ƒํ’ˆ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(DCE)์˜ ์ฒ ๊ธˆ์† ๋ฐ ๋น„์ฒ ๊ธˆ์† ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ๋™ํ–ฅ์„ ๋ณด์—ฌ์ค๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
16์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
SMMย Zincย Marketย Morningย Commentย (Aprย 30) - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)