๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Feb 5, 2024 08:51
SMM Lead Morning Meeting Minutes: Supply and demand both decrease, trading is light, lead prices continue to fluctuate weakly. On the macro level, due to the unexpectedly strong increase in non-farm employment in the United States in January, the possibility of a recent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve has decreased. On Friday night, the US dollar index ended its weak fluctuation and rebounded strongly, forming a large bullish candlestick. According to the holiday arrangements of upstream and downstream enterprises, despite the decrease in supply and demand in the refined lead market, some large enterprises in the primary lead and recycled lead sectors do not take holidays during the Spring Festival, while downstream enterprises almost all take holidays. The temporary supply of lead ingots may turn into a surplus trend.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
๋ฒ™์ปคํž, ๋‚ฉ-์•„์—ฐ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์žฌ๊ฐ€๋™ ์ถ”์ง„โ€ฆ2026๋…„ ๋ง ์ƒ์—… ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
10๋ถ„ ์ „
๋ฒ™์ปคํž, ๋‚ฉ-์•„์—ฐ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์žฌ๊ฐ€๋™ ์ถ”์ง„โ€ฆ2026๋…„ ๋ง ์ƒ์—… ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๋ฒ™์ปคํž, ๋‚ฉ-์•„์—ฐ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์žฌ๊ฐ€๋™ ์ถ”์ง„โ€ฆ2026๋…„ ๋ง ์ƒ์—… ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
๋ฒ™์ปคํž, ๋‚ฉ-์•„์—ฐ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์žฌ๊ฐ€๋™ ์ถ”์ง„โ€ฆ2026๋…„ ๋ง ์ƒ์—… ์ƒ์‚ฐ ๋ชฉํ‘œ
๋ฒ™์ปคํž ๋งˆ์ด๋‹์€ 9์›” 1์ผ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์•„์ด๋‹คํ˜ธ์ฃผ ์†Œ์žฌ ๋ฒ™์ปคํž ๋‚ฉ-์•„์—ฐ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์—์„œ 2026๋…„ 6์›” ๋ง ์ฒซ ๋‚ฉ ๋ฐ ์•„์—ฐ ์ •๊ด‘์„ ์ƒ์‚ฐํ–ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐœํ‘œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ํ˜„์žฌ ์ฆ์‚ฐ์ด ์ง„ํ–‰ ์ค‘์ด๋ฉฐ, ์ง€ํ•˜ ์ฑ„๊ตด ๋ฐ ์„ ๊ด‘ ๊ณต์ • ์ตœ์ ํ™”๊ฐ€ ๊ณ„์†๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ์„ ๊ด‘ ํ”Œ๋žœํŠธ ์„ค๊ณ„ ์šฉ๋Ÿ‰์€ ์ผ์ผ 1,800ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ, ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ ์•„์—ฐ ์ •๊ด‘๊ณผ ์€ ํ•จ์œ  ๋‚ฉ ์ •๊ด‘ ํ•ฉ๊ณ„ ์•ฝ 85,000ํ†ค ์ƒ์‚ฐ์„ ๊ณ„ํšํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” ๋Œ€๊ธฐ์„ฑ ์ž๊ธˆ ์กฐ๋‹ฌ๊ณผ ์ •๊ด‘ ์„ ๊ธ‰๊ธˆ ๊ณ„์•ฝ์„ ํ†ตํ•ด ์šด์ „์ž๋ณธ์„ ๋ณด์ถฉํ•  ๊ณ„ํš์ด๋ฉฐ, 2026๋…„ ๋ง๊นŒ์ง€ ์™„์ „ ์ƒ์—… ์ƒ์‚ฐ์„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. SMM์€ 2026๋…„ ์ด ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์˜ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์„ ์ •๊ด‘ ๋‚ด ๊ธˆ์† ๊ธฐ์ค€์œผ๋กœ ์•„์—ฐ ์•ฝ 25,000ํ†ค, ๋‚ฉ 10,000~15,000ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์ „๋งํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ํ•œํŽธ, Cate-8 ๊ด‘ํ™”๋Œ€์—์„œ ์ตœ๊ทผ ์‹ค์‹œ๋œ ์ง€ํ•˜ ์‹œ์ถ” ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ ์ตœ๋Œ€ ์‹œ๋ฃŒ ํ’ˆ์œ„๊ฐ€ ๋‚ฉ 41.1%, ์•„์—ฐ 7.41%๋กœ ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋‚ฌ๋‹ค. ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” ํ•ด๋‹น ๊ด‘ํ™”๋Œ€๋ฅผ ๋‹จ๊ธฐ ์ฑ„๊ตด ๊ณ„ํš์— ํฌํ•จํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฐฉ์•ˆ์˜ ํƒ€๋‹น์„ฑ์„ ํ‰๊ฐ€ ์ค‘์ด๋‹ค. ์ฆ์‚ฐ์ด ์ง„ํ–‰๋จ์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ์ด ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์€ ๋ถ๋ฏธ์— ์ถ”๊ฐ€์ ์ธ ๋‚ฉ ๋ฐ ์•„์—ฐ ๊ณต๊ธ‰์„ ์ œ๊ณตํ•  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€๋œ๋‹ค.
10๋ถ„ ์ „
์ƒํ•˜์ด ์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ ์—ฐ, ์ƒ๋‹จ ๊ทธ๋ฆผ์ž ๊ธธ๊ฒŒ ๋‚จ๊ธฐ๋ฉฐ 0.03% ํ•˜๋ฝ, ๊ณ ์  ํšก๋ณด ๊ตญ๋ฉด ์œ ์ง€ [์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ๋‹จํ‰]
4์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์ƒํ•˜์ด ์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ ์—ฐ, ์ƒ๋‹จ ๊ทธ๋ฆผ์ž ๊ธธ๊ฒŒ ๋‚จ๊ธฐ๋ฉฐ 0.03% ํ•˜๋ฝ, ๊ณ ์  ํšก๋ณด ๊ตญ๋ฉด ์œ ์ง€ [์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ๋‹จํ‰]
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์ƒํ•˜์ด ์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ ์—ฐ, ์ƒ๋‹จ ๊ทธ๋ฆผ์ž ๊ธธ๊ฒŒ ๋‚จ๊ธฐ๋ฉฐ 0.03% ํ•˜๋ฝ, ๊ณ ์  ํšก๋ณด ๊ตญ๋ฉด ์œ ์ง€ [์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ๋‹จํ‰]
์ƒํ•˜์ด ์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ ์—ฐ, ์ƒ๋‹จ ๊ทธ๋ฆผ์ž ๊ธธ๊ฒŒ ๋‚จ๊ธฐ๋ฉฐ 0.03% ํ•˜๋ฝ, ๊ณ ์  ํšก๋ณด ๊ตญ๋ฉด ์œ ์ง€ [์—ฐ ์„ ๋ฌผ ๋‹จํ‰]
4์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE), ๋‹ค๋ก„์ƒํ’ˆ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(DCE) ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (9์›” 2์ผ)
6์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE), ๋‹ค๋ก„์ƒํ’ˆ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(DCE) ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (9์›” 2์ผ)
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE), ๋‹ค๋ก„์ƒํ’ˆ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(DCE) ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (9์›” 2์ผ)
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE), ๋‹ค๋ก„์ƒํ’ˆ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(DCE) ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (9์›” 2์ผ)
๋‹ค์Œ ํ‘œ๋Š” 2026๋…„ 9์›” 2์ผ ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE)์™€ ๋‹ค๋ก„์ƒํ’ˆ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(DCE)์˜ ์ฒ ๊ธˆ์† ๋ฐ ๋น„์ฒ ๊ธˆ์† ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ๋™ํ–ฅ์„ ๋ณด์—ฌ์ค๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
6์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „