๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Jan 24, 2024 18:00
SMM Analysis: The changing landscape of the global supply pattern and outlook for the future in the city of tin: In summary, looking ahead to 2024, there is a possibility of an increase in the price of tin. This is largely attributed to the expected improvement in demand, gradual restoration of market confidence, especially in the photovoltaic and semiconductor industries. At the same time, the supply side may face pressure, especially the continued impact of the interruption of supply from Myanmar, which may further amplify this trend. In addition, extra attention needs to be paid to factors such as macroeconomic policies, exchange rate fluctuations, and geopolitical risks.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE), ๋‹ค๋ก„์ƒํ’ˆ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(DCE) ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (9์›” 2์ผ)
7์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE), ๋‹ค๋ก„์ƒํ’ˆ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(DCE) ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (9์›” 2์ผ)
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE), ๋‹ค๋ก„์ƒํ’ˆ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(DCE) ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (9์›” 2์ผ)
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE), ๋‹ค๋ก„์ƒํ’ˆ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(DCE) ์‹œ์žฅ ๋™ํ–ฅ (9์›” 2์ผ)
๋‹ค์Œ ํ‘œ๋Š” 2026๋…„ 9์›” 2์ผ ์ƒํ•˜์ด์„ ๋ฌผ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(SHFE)์™€ ๋‹ค๋ก„์ƒํ’ˆ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์†Œ(DCE)์˜ ์ฒ ๊ธˆ์† ๋ฐ ๋น„์ฒ ๊ธˆ์† ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ๋™ํ–ฅ์„ ๋ณด์—ฌ์ค๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
7์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
ใ€ํ……์Šคํ… ๋‰ด์Šค ์†๋ณดใ€‘
9์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
ใ€ํ……์Šคํ… ๋‰ด์Šค ์†๋ณดใ€‘
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
ใ€ํ……์Šคํ… ๋‰ด์Šค ์†๋ณดใ€‘
ใ€ํ……์Šคํ… ๋‰ด์Šค ์†๋ณดใ€‘
SMM ๋‰ด์Šค, 9์›” 2์ผ: SMM ํ‘œ๋ณธ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด, 2026๋…„ 8์›” ์ค‘๊ตญ์˜ ํŒŒ๋ผํ……์Šคํ…์‚ฐ์•”๋ชจ๋Š„(APT) ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์€ ์ „์›” ๋Œ€๋น„ 3% ๊ฐ์†Œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. 1์›”๋ถ€ํ„ฐ 8์›”๊นŒ์ง€ ๊ตญ๋‚ด APT ๋ˆ„์  ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์€ ์•ฝ 9๋งŒ 2์ฒœ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 0.13% ๊ฐ์†Œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. 8์›” ๊ตญ๋‚ด APT ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ์•ฝ์„ธ๋ฅผ ๋ณด์˜€๊ณ  ์—…๊ณ„ ๋งˆ์ง„์€ ํฌ๊ฒŒ ์ถ•์†Œ๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค. ๋Œ€๋ถ€๋ถ„์˜ ๊ธฐ์—…์€ ์žฅ๊ธฐ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ๋ฐ ํ™•์ • ์ฃผ๋ฌธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ์ƒ์‚ฐํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ผ๋ถ€ ์ œ๋ จ์†Œ๋Š” ์ž„๊ฐ€๊ณต ์‚ฌ์—…์„ ํ™•๋Œ€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์—…๊ณ„ ํ‰๊ท  ๊ฐ€๋™๋ฅ ์€ 70.3%์— ๋‹ฌํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ 3๊ฐœ์›” ์—ฐ์† ํ•˜๋ฝ์„ธ๋ฅผ ๊ธฐ๋กํ–ˆ๋‹ค. 8์›” ๋ง ๊ธฐ์ค€, ์—…๊ณ„ ์ „๋ฐ˜์— ๊ฑธ์ณ ์ผ๋ถ€ ์™„์ œํ’ˆ ์žฌ๊ณ ๊ฐ€ ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ์†Œํ™”๋˜์ง€ ์•Š๊ณ  ๋‚จ์•„ ์žˆ๋‹ค.
9์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
[๋ฏธ ์—ฐ์ค€ 9์›” ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ธ์ƒ ํ™•๋ฅ  66.9%๋กœ ์ƒ์Šน, ๊ฑฐ์‹œ์  ์••๋ ฅ์— SHFE ์ฃผ์„ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ค‘์‹ฌ ์•ฝ์„ธ ์œ ์ง€ [SMM ์ฃผ์„ ์ •์˜ค ๋ฆฌ๋ทฐ]]
11์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
[๋ฏธ ์—ฐ์ค€ 9์›” ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ธ์ƒ ํ™•๋ฅ  66.9%๋กœ ์ƒ์Šน, ๊ฑฐ์‹œ์  ์••๋ ฅ์— SHFE ์ฃผ์„ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ค‘์‹ฌ ์•ฝ์„ธ ์œ ์ง€ [SMM ์ฃผ์„ ์ •์˜ค ๋ฆฌ๋ทฐ]]
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
[๋ฏธ ์—ฐ์ค€ 9์›” ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ธ์ƒ ํ™•๋ฅ  66.9%๋กœ ์ƒ์Šน, ๊ฑฐ์‹œ์  ์••๋ ฅ์— SHFE ์ฃผ์„ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ค‘์‹ฌ ์•ฝ์„ธ ์œ ์ง€ [SMM ์ฃผ์„ ์ •์˜ค ๋ฆฌ๋ทฐ]]
[๋ฏธ ์—ฐ์ค€ 9์›” ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ธ์ƒ ํ™•๋ฅ  66.9%๋กœ ์ƒ์Šน, ๊ฑฐ์‹œ์  ์••๋ ฅ์— SHFE ์ฃผ์„ ์„ ๋ฌผ ์ค‘์‹ฌ ์•ฝ์„ธ ์œ ์ง€ [SMM ์ฃผ์„ ์ •์˜ค ๋ฆฌ๋ทฐ]]
[SMM ์ฃผ์„ ์ •์˜ค ๋ฆฌ๋ทฐ: 9์›” ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์—ฐ์ค€ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ธ์ƒ ํ™•๋ฅ  66.9%๋กœ ์ƒ์Šน; ๊ฑฐ์‹œ์  ์••๋ ฅ์œผ๋กœ SHFE ์ฃผ์„ ์ตœ๋‹ค ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ์ข…๋ชฉ ์ค‘์‹ฌ ์•ฝ์„ธ ์œ ์ง€]
11์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „