SMM Daily Comment On Chinese HRC Market

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Jun 29, 2023 17:56
์ถœ์ฒ˜: SMM
SHANGHAI, Jun 29 (SMM) โ€“HRC futures moved downwards after opening higher today, closing down 0.16% at 3,815 yuan/mt.

SHANGHAI, Jun 29 (SMM) –HRC futures moved downwards after opening higher today, closing down 0.16% at 3,815 yuan/mt. In terms of the spot market, the quotations in mainstream cities across the country fluctuated in a narrow range, and the transactions weakened. From the perspective of the supply side, according to SMM statistics, some steel mills in East China have resumed production after completing overhaul. Other steel mills were active in production. However, some steel mills in north China will enter maintenance in July, which will cause HRC output to decline. End-user demand remained poor in the off-season. As a result, HRC stocks rose significantly.  From a macro point of view, China’s manufacturing PMI data for June will be released tomorrow. The domestic market still has expectations for favorable policies. With growing supply and weak demand, spot HRC market is much weaker than futures market. Fears of interest rate hikes by major central banks are growing. HRC prices may fluctuate wildly in the short term.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
National Building Materials Inventory Overview on September 3
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National Building Materials Inventory Overview on September 3
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
National Building Materials Inventory Overview on September 3
National Building Materials Inventory Overview on September 3
On September 3, total rebar inventory this week was 6.4776 million mt, down 94,900 mt WoW, down 1.44% WoW, and up 17.55% YoY on a lunar calendar basis. Total wire rod inventory this week was 1.4483 million mt, down 40,200 mt WoW, down 2.70% WoW, and up 12.85% YoY on a lunar calendar basis.
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[๋‚จ์•„ํ”„๋ฆฌ์นด๊ณตํ™”๊ตญ, ์ค‘๊ตญ์‚ฐ ์ปฌ๋Ÿฌ๊ฐ•ํŒ์— ์ตœ๋Œ€ 28.11% ์ž ์ • ๋ฐ˜๋คํ•‘ ๊ด€์„ธ ๋ถ€๊ณผ ์ œ์•ˆ]
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[๋‚จ์•„ํ”„๋ฆฌ์นด๊ณตํ™”๊ตญ, ์ค‘๊ตญ์‚ฐ ์ปฌ๋Ÿฌ๊ฐ•ํŒ์— ์ตœ๋Œ€ 28.11% ์ž ์ • ๋ฐ˜๋คํ•‘ ๊ด€์„ธ ๋ถ€๊ณผ ์ œ์•ˆ]
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
[๋‚จ์•„ํ”„๋ฆฌ์นด๊ณตํ™”๊ตญ, ์ค‘๊ตญ์‚ฐ ์ปฌ๋Ÿฌ๊ฐ•ํŒ์— ์ตœ๋Œ€ 28.11% ์ž ์ • ๋ฐ˜๋คํ•‘ ๊ด€์„ธ ๋ถ€๊ณผ ์ œ์•ˆ]
[๋‚จ์•„ํ”„๋ฆฌ์นด๊ณตํ™”๊ตญ, ์ค‘๊ตญ์‚ฐ ์ปฌ๋Ÿฌ๊ฐ•ํŒ์— ์ตœ๋Œ€ 28.11% ์ž ์ • ๋ฐ˜๋คํ•‘ ๊ด€์„ธ ๋ถ€๊ณผ ์ œ์•ˆ]
ITAC๋Š” ์ค‘๊ตญ์‚ฐ ์ปฌ๋Ÿฌ๊ฐ•ํŒ ์ˆ˜์ž…ํ’ˆ์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด 8.83%~28.11%์˜ ์ž ์ • ๋ฐ˜๋คํ•‘ ๊ด€์„ธ๋ฅผ 6๊ฐœ์›”๊ฐ„ ๋ถ€๊ณผํ•  ๊ฒƒ์„ ์ œ์•ˆํ•˜๋Š” ์˜ˆ๋น„ ๊ธ์ • ํŒ์ •์„ ๋ฐœํ‘œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ฐœ๋ณ„ ๊ด€์„ธ์œจ์€ Zhejiang Huapu Eco-Friendly Materials 8.83%, Hefei HBIS/Suzhou HBIS 18.70%์ด๋ฉฐ, ๊ธฐํƒ€ ํ˜‘๋ ฅ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์—…์ฒด์—๋Š” ๊ฐ€์ค‘ํ‰๊ท  13.79%๊ฐ€ ์ ์šฉ๋œ๋‹ค. ๋น„ํ˜‘๋ ฅ ์—…์ฒด์—๋Š” ์ตœ๊ณ  28.11%๊ฐ€ ๋ถ€๊ณผ๋œ๋‹ค. ArcelorMittal South Africa์™€ Safal Steel์˜ ์ฒญ์›์œผ๋กœ 2025๋…„ 12์›” ์‹œ์ž‘๋œ ์ด๋ฒˆ ์กฐ์‚ฌ์—์„œ ์ค‘๊ตญ์‚ฐ ์ˆ˜์ž…๋Ÿ‰์€ 2025๋…„ 51.3% ๊ธ‰์ฆํ•œ 7๋งŒ 7,457ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์ „์ฒด ์ˆ˜์ž…์˜ 84.23%๋ฅผ ์ฐจ์ง€ํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋‚ฌ๋‹ค.
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[์‹œ๋ฆฌ์•„, ์‚ฌ์šฐ๋””์•„๋ผ๋น„์•„์™€ ํ•˜๋งˆ ์ œ์ฒ ์†Œ ์žฌ๊ฐ€๋™ ํ•ฉ์˜]
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[์‹œ๋ฆฌ์•„, ์‚ฌ์šฐ๋””์•„๋ผ๋น„์•„์™€ ํ•˜๋งˆ ์ œ์ฒ ์†Œ ์žฌ๊ฐ€๋™ ํ•ฉ์˜]
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
[์‹œ๋ฆฌ์•„, ์‚ฌ์šฐ๋””์•„๋ผ๋น„์•„์™€ ํ•˜๋งˆ ์ œ์ฒ ์†Œ ์žฌ๊ฐ€๋™ ํ•ฉ์˜]
[์‹œ๋ฆฌ์•„, ์‚ฌ์šฐ๋””์•„๋ผ๋น„์•„์™€ ํ•˜๋งˆ ์ œ์ฒ ์†Œ ์žฌ๊ฐ€๋™ ํ•ฉ์˜]
์‹œ๋ฆฌ์•„ ๊ฒฝ์ œ์‚ฐ์—…๋ถ€๊ฐ€ ์‚ฌ์šฐ๋””์•„๋ผ๋น„์•„ ์†Œ์žฌ ์ด์Šค๋ผ ํ™€๋”ฉ ๊ทธ๋ฃน๊ณผ ํ•˜๋งˆ ์†Œ์žฌ ๊ตญ์˜ ์ฒ ๊ฐ•์ œํ’ˆ ํšŒ์‚ฌ์˜ ์žฌ๊ฑด, ํ˜„๋Œ€ํ™”, ์šด์˜์„ ์œ„ํ•œ 30๋…„ ์ „๋žต ํ˜‘์ •์„ ์ฒด๊ฒฐํ–ˆ๋‹ค. 8์›” 28์ผ ๋‹ค๋งˆ์Šค์ฟ ์Šค ๊ตญ์ œ ๋ฐ•๋žŒํšŒ์—์„œ ์ฒด๊ฒฐ๋œ ์ด๋ฒˆ ๊ณ„ํš์€ ์ฒซ 5๋…„์„ ์žฌ๊ฑด ๋ฐ ํ˜„๋Œ€ํ™”์— ํˆฌ์ž…ํ•˜๊ณ  ์ดํ›„ 25๋…„๊ฐ„ ์šด์˜ ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„์„ ๋‘๋ฉฐ, 4๋…„ ๋‚ด ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ ์ตœ์†Œ 35๋งŒ ํ†ค ์ƒ์‚ฐ์„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ํ•œ๋‹ค. ์ด๋ฒˆ ๊ณ„์•ฝ์€ ์‹œ๋ฆฌ์•„์˜ ์œ ํœด ์‚ฐ์—… ์ธํ”„๋ผ๋ฅผ ๋˜์‚ด๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์ฒ ๊ฐ• ์ˆ˜์ž… ์˜์กด๋„๋ฅผ ๋‚ฎ์ถ”๋Š” ํ•œํŽธ, ์‹œ๋ฆฌ์•„์™€ ์‚ฌ์šฐ๋””์•„๋ผ๋น„์•„ ๊ฐ„ ๊ฒฝ์ œ ํ˜‘๋ ฅ ์‹ฌํ™”๋ฅผ ์‹œ์‚ฌํ•˜๋Š” ์กฐ์น˜๋‹ค.
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