China Home Appliances Industry Picked Up In April with PMI Rising

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Apr 28, 2023 21:21
The composite PMI for home appliances sector in April 2023 stood at 49.83, up 0.45 point on the month and 1.44 points on the year.

The composite PMI for home appliances sector in April 2023 stood at 49.83, up 0.45 point on the month and 1.44 points on the year. The seasonally-adjusted composite index stood at 50.01, an increase of 4.92 points MoM and 1.38 points YoY. The index for production stood at 51.46, up 1.32 points on a monthly basis and 2.24 points on a yearly basis. The index for new orders rose 0.42 points month-on-month and 2.06 points year-on-year to 48.14. Raw material inventories averaged 30.33 days of production in April, down 0.03 day from the previous month. The number of days of raw material inventories is for reference as the survey sample may have changed.

Summary๏ผš The home appliance industry was weak in April. The production enthusiasm of enterprises was strong as the air conditioners entered the regular peak season, but new orders continued to weaken month-on-month, mainly reflected in poor domestic orders. Although the real estate performance has picked up, there has been no signs of a significant improvement in the home appliance industry. In addition, most home appliance dealers arrange sales promotions to May and June, resulting in poor orders in April. In response, home appliance producers mainly purchased raw materials as required despite the small decline in raw material prices.

Investigation:

    1. A medium-sized home appliance company in east China: Although steel prices fell sharply, we did not restock inventory in large quantities due to only modest declines in spot prices. The exports of home appliances to North America are decreasing, while those to the Middle East and Southeast Asia have increased. Profits of exports were poor, which may be related to our lack of diversified products. We will turn to develop port trade in the future. The export volume in April outperformed that in March and will grow further in May. Despite higher sales volume, the profit was poor. Domestic sales and production shrank rapidly. Overall, exports have increased but domestic trade has declined.

2. A medium-sized home appliance company in east China: Orders in April improved slightly from March, with orders for home appliances such as refrigerators, washing machines, and microwave ovens all improving to a certain extent. The exports also rose. We are optimistic about the next three months considering the peak season in summer and sales promotions in May and June. Now we mainly purchase based on orders.

3. A large home appliance company in south China: Overall orders have declined, and we will purchase as needed in the next few months given uncertainties over the overseas markets.

4. A medium-sized home appliance company in south-west China: Orders in April decreased from the previous month, most of which were domestic sales. Production remained unchanged compared to the same period last year. Export-oriented companies are expected to have performed well. Real estate industry is better than last year, but this failed to help improve the weak demand for home appliances.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
ใ€Firmer Coal Prices Prompt PTBA to Raise Output Target; H2 Production Must Reach 30.1 Mt to Meet Full-Year Planใ€‘
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ใ€Firmer Coal Prices Prompt PTBA to Raise Output Target; H2 Production Must Reach 30.1 Mt to Meet Full-Year Planใ€‘
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ใ€Firmer Coal Prices Prompt PTBA to Raise Output Target; H2 Production Must Reach 30.1 Mt to Meet Full-Year Planใ€‘
ใ€Firmer Coal Prices Prompt PTBA to Raise Output Target; H2 Production Must Reach 30.1 Mt to Meet Full-Year Planใ€‘
Indonesian state-owned coal producer PTBA has slightly raised its 2026 production target to 49.55 million tonnes from 49.5 million tonnes, while setting full-year sales and transportation targets at 49.51 million tonnes and 41 million tonnes, respectively. The production target was increased by only 50,000 tonnes, or approximately 0.1%, giving the adjustment itself very limited direct significance for market supply. More importantly, PTBAโ€™s first-half production fell 10% year on year to 19.45 million tonnes. To meet its full-year target, the company must produce approximately 30.1 million tonnes in the second half, around 54.8% more than its first-half output. It must also sell about 28.41 million tonnes during the period, approximately 34.6% above first-half sales, meaning that the production recovery must be supported by sufficient transportation and sales capacity. PTBAโ€™s second-quarter production increased 94% from the previous quarter, while sales rose 8%, indicating that operations had begun to recover. Its first-half average selling price increased 14% quarter on quarter and 10% year on year, helping revenue rise 8% to 22.03 trillion rupiah and net profit attributable to the parent increase 218% to 2.65 trillion rupiah. Stronger prices and profitability have increased the companyโ€™s incentive to raise production and sales. PTBAโ€™s domestic sales fell 9% year on year to 10.77 million tonnes in the first half, while exports increased 5% to 10.33 million tonnes. The company also intends to strengthen export sales.
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ใ€์‚ฌ์†”, 2027 ํšŒ๊ณ„์—ฐ๋„์— ์™ธ๋ถ€ ์„ํƒ„ ๊ตฌ๋งค ์ถ•์†Œ ๊ณ„ํšโ€ฆ2028๋…„๊นŒ์ง€ ์ž์ฒด ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰ 3,400๋งŒ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ํ™•๋Œ€ใ€‘
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ใ€์‚ฌ์†”, 2027 ํšŒ๊ณ„์—ฐ๋„์— ์™ธ๋ถ€ ์„ํƒ„ ๊ตฌ๋งค ์ถ•์†Œ ๊ณ„ํšโ€ฆ2028๋…„๊นŒ์ง€ ์ž์ฒด ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰ 3,400๋งŒ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ํ™•๋Œ€ใ€‘
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
ใ€์‚ฌ์†”, 2027 ํšŒ๊ณ„์—ฐ๋„์— ์™ธ๋ถ€ ์„ํƒ„ ๊ตฌ๋งค ์ถ•์†Œ ๊ณ„ํšโ€ฆ2028๋…„๊นŒ์ง€ ์ž์ฒด ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰ 3,400๋งŒ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ํ™•๋Œ€ใ€‘
ใ€์‚ฌ์†”, 2027 ํšŒ๊ณ„์—ฐ๋„์— ์™ธ๋ถ€ ์„ํƒ„ ๊ตฌ๋งค ์ถ•์†Œ ๊ณ„ํšโ€ฆ2028๋…„๊นŒ์ง€ ์ž์ฒด ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰ 3,400๋งŒ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ํ™•๋Œ€ใ€‘
๋‚จ์•„ํ”„๋ฆฌ์นด์˜ ์‚ฌ์†”์€ ์ œ3์ž ๊ณต๊ธ‰์—…์ฒด๋กœ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ์˜ ์„ํƒ„ ๊ตฌ๋งค๋ฅผ ์ค„์ด๋Š” ๋™์‹œ์— ์„ธ์ฟค๋‹ค ์šด์˜ ์‹œ์„ค์˜ ์›๋ฃŒ ๊ณต๊ธ‰์„ ํ™•๋ณดํ•˜๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•ด ์ž์ฒด ์„ํƒ„ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ํˆฌ์ž๋ฅผ ๋Š˜๋ฆด ๊ณ„ํš์ด๋‹ค. ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” 2026 ํšŒ๊ณ„์—ฐ๋„์— ์ž์ฒด ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์—์„œ 2,840๋งŒ ํ†ค์˜ ์„ํƒ„์„ ์ƒ์‚ฐํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ด๋Š” 2027 ํšŒ๊ณ„์—ฐ๋„์— 3,000๋งŒ~3,200๋งŒ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ•œ ํ›„ 2028๋…„๊นŒ์ง€ 3,400๋งŒ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ๋” ๋Š˜์–ด๋‚  ์ „๋ง์ด๋‹ค. ํ•œํŽธ ์‚ฌ์†”์€ ์™ธ๋ถ€ ์„ํƒ„ ๊ตฌ๋งค๋Ÿ‰์ด 2026 ํšŒ๊ณ„์—ฐ๋„ 880๋งŒ ํ†ค์—์„œ 2027 ํšŒ๊ณ„์—ฐ๋„ 500๋งŒ~700๋งŒ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ์†Œํ•  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒํ•œ๋‹ค. ์ด๋Š” 180๋งŒ~380๋งŒ ํ†ค, ์ฆ‰ ์•ฝ 20.5%~43.2% ๊ฐ์†Œํ•œ ์ˆ˜์น˜๋‹ค. ์ด ๋ณ€ํ™”๋Š” ์ฃผ๋กœ ์‚ฌ์†”์ด ์™ธ๋ถ€ ๊ตฌ๋งค ์„ํƒ„์„ ์ž์ฒด ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ƒ์‚ฐ์œผ๋กœ ๋Œ€์ฒดํ•œ ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๋ฅผ ๋ฐ˜์˜ํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ์ „์ฒด ์„ํƒ„ ์ˆ˜์š”๊ฐ€ ๋™์ผํ•œ ์ˆ˜์ค€์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ์†Œํ–ˆ์Œ์„ ์˜๋ฏธํ•˜์ง€๋Š” ์•Š๋Š”๋‹ค. ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” ์ž์ฒด ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์„ํƒ„ ๋น„์ค‘์„ ๋†’์ด๋ฉด ์„ํƒ„ ํ’ˆ์งˆ ์ผ๊ด€์„ฑ์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๊ณ  ์›๋ฃŒ ๊ณต๊ธ‰์„ ํ™•๋ณดํ•˜๋ฉฐ ๋น„์šฉ ๊ฒฝ์Ÿ๋ ฅ์„ ๊ฐœ์„ ํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐํ˜”๋‹ค. ์‚ฌ์†”์€ ํŠธ์œ„์ŠคํŠธ๋“œ๋ผ์•„ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์šฉ ์„ํƒ„ ์„ธ์ฒ™ ์„ค๋น„๋ฅผ ํƒˆ์„ ์‹œ์„ค๋กœ ์ „ํ™˜ํ•˜๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•ด 10์–ต ๋žœ๋“œ๋ฅผ ํˆฌ์žํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด ์‹œ์„ค์€ ํ˜„์žฌ 12% ๋ฏธ๋งŒ์˜ ์นจ๊ฐ•๋ฌผ์„ ๊ฐ€์ง„ ๊ฐ€๊ณต ์„ํƒ„์„ ๊ณต๊ธ‰ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ์„ํƒ„ ํ’ˆ์งˆ ๊ฐœ์„ , ๊ฐ€์Šคํ™”๊ธฐ ๊ฐ€๋™๋ฅ  ํ–ฅ์ƒ, 2026 ํšŒ๊ณ„์—ฐ๋„ ์ •๊ธฐ ์ •๋น„ ๋ฏธ์‹ค์‹œ ๋“ฑ์ด ๋ณตํ•ฉ์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ž‘์šฉํ•ด ์„ธ์ฟค๋‹ค ์šด์˜ ์‹œ์„ค์˜ ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์€ 5๋…„ ๋งŒ์— ์ตœ๊ณ ์น˜์ธ 720๋งŒ ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. 2027 ํšŒ๊ณ„์—ฐ๋„ ์˜ˆ์ •๋œ ์ •๊ธฐ ์ •๋น„๋ฅผ ๊ณ ๋ คํ•  ๋•Œ, ํ•ด๋‹น ์‹œ์„ค์˜ ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์€ 720๋งŒ~740๋งŒ ํ†ค ์‚ฌ์ด์ผ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์ „๋ง๋œ๋‹ค. ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์ž๋ณธ ์ง€์ถœ์€ 2024 ํšŒ๊ณ„์—ฐ๋„ 29์–ต ๋žœ๋“œ์—์„œ 2026 ํšŒ๊ณ„์—ฐ๋„ 41์–ต ๋žœ๋“œ๋กœ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, 2027 ํšŒ๊ณ„์—ฐ๋„์—๋Š” ๊ฐฑ์‹  ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ ํˆฌ์ž๋ฅผ ํฌํ•จํ•ด ์ถ”๊ฐ€๋กœ 10์–ต~15์–ต ๋žœ๋“œ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ•  ์˜ˆ์ •์ด๋‹ค. ๋˜ํ•œ ์‚ฌ์†”์€ 2028๋…„ ์ดํ›„ ๊ฐ€์Šค ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ๋ถ€์กฑ์— ์ง๋ฉดํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋Š” ์‚ฐ์—… ๊ณ ๊ฐ์„ ์œ„ํ•œ ๊ฐ€๊ต ๊ณต๊ธ‰์›์œผ๋กœ ์„ํƒ„์—์„œ ์ถ”์ถœํ•œ ๋ฉ”ํƒ„ ํ’๋ถ€ ๊ฐ€์Šค ์ƒ์‚ฐ์„ ๊ฒ€ํ†  ์ค‘์ด๋‹ค. ๊ทธ๋Ÿฌ๋‚˜ ์ด ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ๋Š” ์žฅ๊ธฐ์  ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ™•์‹ค์„ฑ ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ํ™•๋ณด์™€ ๊ทœ์ œ ํ‰๊ฐ€๊ฐ€ ๋” ํ•„์š”ํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” ์•„์ง ์ตœ์ข… ํˆฌ์ž ๊ฒฐ์ •์„ ๋‚ด๋ฆฌ์ง€ ์•Š์•˜๋‹ค.
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ใ€์‹œ์นผ ๋กœ์ง€์Šคํ‹ฑ์Šค, ์•ฝ 910๋งŒ ํ†ค์˜ ์„ํƒ„์„ ํฌํ•จํ•˜๋Š” 5๋…„ ์ธ๋„ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ์ˆ˜์ฃผใ€‘
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ใ€์‹œ์นผ ๋กœ์ง€์Šคํ‹ฑ์Šค, ์•ฝ 910๋งŒ ํ†ค์˜ ์„ํƒ„์„ ํฌํ•จํ•˜๋Š” 5๋…„ ์ธ๋„ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ์ˆ˜์ฃผใ€‘
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
ใ€์‹œ์นผ ๋กœ์ง€์Šคํ‹ฑ์Šค, ์•ฝ 910๋งŒ ํ†ค์˜ ์„ํƒ„์„ ํฌํ•จํ•˜๋Š” 5๋…„ ์ธ๋„ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ์ˆ˜์ฃผใ€‘
ใ€์‹œ์นผ ๋กœ์ง€์Šคํ‹ฑ์Šค, ์•ฝ 910๋งŒ ํ†ค์˜ ์„ํƒ„์„ ํฌํ•จํ•˜๋Š” 5๋…„ ์ธ๋„ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ์ˆ˜์ฃผใ€‘
์ธ๋„์˜ ํ†ตํ•ฉ ๋ฌผ๋ฅ˜ยท์—”์ง€๋‹ˆ์–ด๋ง ์„œ๋น„์Šค ๊ธฐ์—… ์‹œ์นผ ๋กœ์ง€์Šคํ‹ฑ์Šค๊ฐ€ ์„ผํŠธ๋Ÿด ์ฝœํ•„์ฆˆ๋กœ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ์ž๋ฅด์นธ๋“œ์ฃผ ๋ณด์นด๋กœ ์ง€๊ตฌ์˜ SDOC ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์—์„œ ๋Œ€๊ทœ๋ชจ ํ† ๊ณต ๋ฐ ์ฑ„๊ตด ์ž‘์—…์„ ์ˆ˜ํ–‰ํ•˜๋Š” ์•ฝ 53์–ต 4,730๋งŒ ๋ฃจํ”ผ ๊ทœ๋ชจ์˜ 5๋…„ ์ฑ„๊ตด ๊ณ„์•ฝ์„ ์ˆ˜์ฃผํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด ๊ณ„์•ฝ์—๋Š” ์•ฝ 2,014๋งŒ ์„ธ์ œ๊ณฑ๋ฏธํ„ฐ์˜ ํ‘œํ†  ์žฌ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ, ์•ฝ 3,365๋งŒ ์„ธ์ œ๊ณฑ๋ฏธํ„ฐ์˜ ๊ฒฝ์งˆ ํ‘œํ†  ์ œ๊ฑฐ, ๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  143ํ—ฅํƒ€๋ฅด ์ž‘์—… ๊ตฌ์—ญ์—์„œ ์•ฝ 910๋งŒ 4,000ํ†ค์˜ ์„ํƒ„ ์ฑ„๊ตด์ด ํฌํ•จ๋œ๋‹ค. ๊ณ„์•ฝ ๊ธˆ์•ก์—๋Š” 18%์˜ ์ƒํ’ˆยท์„œ๋น„์Šค์„ธ๊ฐ€ ํฌํ•จ๋˜์–ด ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ˆ˜ํ–‰ ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„์€ 1,825์ผ์ด๋‹ค. ๋‹จ์ˆœ 5๋…„ ํ‰๊ท ์œผ๋กœ ํ™˜์‚ฐํ•˜๋ฉด ๊ณ„์•ฝ๋œ ์„ํƒ„ ๋ฌผ๋Ÿ‰์€ ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ ์•ฝ 182๋งŒ ํ†ค์— ํ•ด๋‹นํ•œ๋‹ค.
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China Home Appliances Industry Picked Up In April with PMI Rising - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)