Aluminum Prices to Move Rangebound as Bullish Factors Counteract Bearish Ones

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Apr 10, 2023 10:21
์ถœ์ฒ˜: SMM
SHANGHAI, Apr 10 (SMM) โ€“ The domestic aluminum supply is estimated to maintain an upward trend in the second quarter.

SHANGHAI, Apr 10 (SMM) – The domestic aluminum supply is estimated to maintain an upward trend in the second quarter. How the power supply situation in Yunnan will evolve deserves close attention. SMM predicts that the operating aluminum capacity in Yunnan will barely change in the foreseeable future. Aluminium ingot inventories are expected to extend declines due to lower output and downstream restocking, while aluminum billet inventories may build up as downstream demand is unable to keep up with growing production. With supply and demand both increasing, aluminum prices may fluctuate rangebound.

The most-traded SHFE aluminium contract and LME aluminium are likely to move between 18,300-19,000 yuan/mt and $2,300-2,450/mt respectively this week.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
๋‚œ์ฐฝ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ, 9์›” 3์ผ ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ํ†ค๋‹น 70์œ„์•ˆ ์ธํ•˜
16๋ถ„ ์ „
๋‚œ์ฐฝ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ, 9์›” 3์ผ ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ํ†ค๋‹น 70์œ„์•ˆ ์ธํ•˜
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๋‚œ์ฐฝ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ, 9์›” 3์ผ ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ํ†ค๋‹น 70์œ„์•ˆ ์ธํ•˜
๋‚œ์ฐฝ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ, 9์›” 3์ผ ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ํ†ค๋‹น 70์œ„์•ˆ ์ธํ•˜
9์›” 3์ผ, ๋‚œ์ฐฝ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๋นŒ๋ › ฮฆ90 ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,450์œ„์•ˆ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„๋Š” ํ†ค๋‹น 100์œ„์•ˆ(์ „ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์ผ ๋Œ€๋น„ 70์œ„์•ˆ ํ•˜๋ฝ)์ด์—ˆ๊ณ , ฮฆ120์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,400์œ„์•ˆ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„๋Š” ํ†ค๋‹น 50์œ„์•ˆ(70์œ„์•ˆ ํ•˜๋ฝ), ฮฆ178์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,400์œ„์•ˆ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„๋Š” ํ†ค๋‹น 50์œ„์•ˆ(70์œ„์•ˆ ํ•˜๋ฝ)์ด์—ˆ๋‹ค. SMM A00 ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,350์œ„์•ˆ์ด์—ˆ๋‹ค.
16๋ถ„ ์ „
9์›” 3์ผ ์šฐ์‹œ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๋นŒ๋ › ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ฐ ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ํ•˜๋ฝ
17๋ถ„ ์ „
9์›” 3์ผ ์šฐ์‹œ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๋นŒ๋ › ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ฐ ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ํ•˜๋ฝ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
9์›” 3์ผ ์šฐ์‹œ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๋นŒ๋ › ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ฐ ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ํ•˜๋ฝ
9์›” 3์ผ ์šฐ์‹œ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๋นŒ๋ › ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ๋ฐ ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ํ•˜๋ฝ
9์›” 3์ผ, ์šฐ์‹œ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๋นŒ๋ › ฮฆ90 ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,630์œ„์•ˆ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„๋Š” ํ†ค๋‹น 280์œ„์•ˆ(์ „ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์ผ ๋Œ€๋น„ 50์œ„์•ˆ ํ•˜๋ฝ)์ด์—ˆ๊ณ , ฮฆ120์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,540์œ„์•ˆ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„๋Š” ํ†ค๋‹น 190์œ„์•ˆ(50์œ„์•ˆ ํ•˜๋ฝ), ฮฆ178์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,530์œ„์•ˆ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„๋Š” ํ†ค๋‹น 180์œ„์•ˆ(50์œ„์•ˆ ํ•˜๋ฝ)์ด์—ˆ๋‹ค. SMM A00 ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,350์œ„์•ˆ์ด์—ˆ๋‹ค.
17๋ถ„ ์ „
9์›” 3์ผ ํฌ์‚ฐ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ์ธํ•˜
17๋ถ„ ์ „
9์›” 3์ผ ํฌ์‚ฐ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ์ธํ•˜
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
9์›” 3์ผ ํฌ์‚ฐ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ์ธํ•˜
9์›” 3์ผ ํฌ์‚ฐ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ํ•˜๋ฝ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„ ์ธํ•˜
9์›” 3์ผ, ํฌ์‚ฐ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ๋นŒ๋ › ฮฆ90 ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,550์œ„์•ˆ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„๋Š” ํ†ค๋‹น 0์œ„์•ˆ(์ „ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์ผ ๋Œ€๋น„ 60์œ„์•ˆ ํ•˜๋ฝ)์ด์—ˆ๊ณ , ฮฆ120์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,500์œ„์•ˆ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„๋Š” ํ†ค๋‹น -50์œ„์•ˆ(60์œ„์•ˆ ํ•˜๋ฝ), ฮฆ178์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,500์œ„์•ˆ, ๊ฐ€๊ณต๋น„๋Š” ํ†ค๋‹น -50์œ„์•ˆ(60์œ„์•ˆ ํ•˜๋ฝ)์ด์—ˆ๋‹ค. SMM A00 ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ(ํฌ์‚ฐ)์€ ํ†ค๋‹น 24,550์œ„์•ˆ์ด์—ˆ๋‹ค.
17๋ถ„ ์ „