According to CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in May is 43.3%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points to the range of 5.00%-5.25% is 56.7%; the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged by June is 42.7%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 56.5%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 0.8%.
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![ADP의 비둘기파적 입장, 은 반등 견인; 비농업 고용지표 앞두고 시장 신중 [SMM 일일 리뷰]](https://imgqn.smm.cn/usercenter/SSKOK20251217171734.jpeg)

