SMM Evening Comments (Aug 31): Shanghai Nonferrous Metals Closed with Mixed Performance amid Chinaโ€™s Slowing Factory Activity Growth

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Aug 31, 2021 19:00
Shanghai nonferrous metals market closed with mixed performance as Chinaโ€™s manufacturing PMI for August stood at 50.1, against Julyโ€™s reading of 50.4, indicating slowing factory activity growth.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
์ตœ์ข… ์‚ฌ์šฉ์ž ์ ๊ธฐ ๊ตฌ๋งค ํšŒ๋ณต ๋‚œํ•ญ, ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ๋ถ€์กฑ์œผ๋กœ ๋ถ์ค‘๊ตญ ํ• ์ธ์œจ ์ƒ์Šน [SMM ๋ถ์ค‘๊ตญ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ]
51๋ถ„ ์ „
์ตœ์ข… ์‚ฌ์šฉ์ž ์ ๊ธฐ ๊ตฌ๋งค ํšŒ๋ณต ๋‚œํ•ญ, ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ๋ถ€์กฑ์œผ๋กœ ๋ถ์ค‘๊ตญ ํ• ์ธ์œจ ์ƒ์Šน [SMM ๋ถ์ค‘๊ตญ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ]
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์ตœ์ข… ์‚ฌ์šฉ์ž ์ ๊ธฐ ๊ตฌ๋งค ํšŒ๋ณต ๋‚œํ•ญ, ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ๋ถ€์กฑ์œผ๋กœ ๋ถ์ค‘๊ตญ ํ• ์ธ์œจ ์ƒ์Šน [SMM ๋ถ์ค‘๊ตญ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ]
์ตœ์ข… ์‚ฌ์šฉ์ž ์ ๊ธฐ ๊ตฌ๋งค ํšŒ๋ณต ๋‚œํ•ญ, ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ๋ถ€์กฑ์œผ๋กœ ๋ถ์ค‘๊ตญ ํ• ์ธ์œจ ์ƒ์Šน [SMM ๋ถ์ค‘๊ตญ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ]
์˜ค๋Š˜ ์ค‘๊ตญ ๋ถ๋ถ€์˜ ํ˜„๋ฌผ 1ํ˜ธ ์ „๊ธฐ๋™์€ ๊ทผ์›”๋ฌผ ๋Œ€๋น„ 100์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค~20์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค ํ• ์ธ์œผ๋กœ ํ˜ธ๊ฐ€๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ํ‰๊ท  ํ• ์ธ ํญ์€ 60์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์ „ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์ผ ๋Œ€๋น„ 30์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค ํ™•๋Œ€, ํ‰๊ท  ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ 10๋งŒ 3,035์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์ „ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์ผ ๋Œ€๋น„ 45์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค ํ•˜๋ฝํ–ˆ๋‹ค.
51๋ถ„ ์ „
BHP ์—์Šค์ฝ˜๋””๋‹ค ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ํ™•์žฅ, ์ฒซ ์ฃผ์š” ํ™˜๊ฒฝ ํ—ˆ๊ฐ€ ํš๋“, 147์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ ์ฐฉ์ˆ˜
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
BHP ์—์Šค์ฝ˜๋””๋‹ค ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ํ™•์žฅ, ์ฒซ ์ฃผ์š” ํ™˜๊ฒฝ ํ—ˆ๊ฐ€ ํš๋“, 147์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ ์ฐฉ์ˆ˜
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
BHP ์—์Šค์ฝ˜๋””๋‹ค ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ํ™•์žฅ, ์ฒซ ์ฃผ์š” ํ™˜๊ฒฝ ํ—ˆ๊ฐ€ ํš๋“, 147์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ ์ฐฉ์ˆ˜
BHP ์—์Šค์ฝ˜๋””๋‹ค ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ํ™•์žฅ, ์ฒซ ์ฃผ์š” ํ™˜๊ฒฝ ํ—ˆ๊ฐ€ ํš๋“, 147์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ ์ฐฉ์ˆ˜
7์›” 7์ผ BHP๋Š” ์น ๋ ˆ ์—์Šค์ฝ˜๋””๋‹ค ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ํ™•์žฅ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ๊ฐ€ ์ฒซ ์ฃผ์š” ํ™˜๊ฒฝ ํ—ˆ๊ฐ€๋ฅผ ์ทจ๋“ํ•ด ์ด ์•ฝ 147์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๊ทœ๋ชจ ํˆฌ์ž๊ฐ€ ๊ณต์‹ ์ฐฉ์ˆ˜๋๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐœํ‘œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์น ๋ ˆ ์•ˆํ† ํŒŒ๊ฐ€์Šคํƒ€ ํ™˜๊ฒฝํ‰๊ฐ€์œ„์›ํšŒ๋Š” ํ™ฉํ™”๋ฌผ ์นจ์ถœ ๋ฐ ์ „๋ ฅ ์—…๊ทธ๋ ˆ์ด๋“œ๋ฅผ ํฌํ•จํ•œ ์ดˆ๊ธฐ ๊ณต์‚ฌ๋ฅผ ์Šน์ธํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋น„์šฉ์€ ์•ฝ 13์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์— ๋‹ฌํ•œ๋‹ค. ์—์Šค์ฝ˜๋””๋‹ค๋Š” ์„ธ๊ณ„ ์ตœ๋Œ€ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์œผ๋กœ, BHP 57.5%, ๋ฆฌ์˜คํ‹ดํ†  30%์˜ ์ง€๋ถ„์„ ๋ณด์œ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ ๋‚˜๋จธ์ง€๋Š” ์ผ๋ณธ ๊ธฐ์—… ์ปจ์†Œ์‹œ์—„์ด ์†Œ์œ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ์„ธ๊ณ„ ์ตœ๋Œ€ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ด‘์„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ์—…์ฒด์ธ BHP๋Š” 2030๋…„๋Œ€ ์ค‘๋ฐ˜๊นŒ์ง€ ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ ์ƒ์‚ฐ๋Ÿ‰์„ 200๋งŒ ํ†ค ์ด์ƒ์œผ๋กœ ๋‘ ๋ฐฐ ์ด์ƒ ๋Š˜๋ฆด ๊ณ„ํš์ด๋‹ค. ํ–ฅํ›„ ์ˆ˜๋…„๊ฐ„ ์น ๋ ˆ ์‚ฌ์—…์— 107์–ต~147์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋ฅผ ํˆฌ์žํ•  ์˜ˆ์ •์ด๋ฉฐ, ์„ธ๋กœ ์ฝœ๋กœ๋ผ๋„ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ ์žฌ๊ฐ€๋™์— 15์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ, ์‹ ๊ทœ ์„ ๊ด‘ ๊ณต์žฅ ๊ฑด์„ค์— 59์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋ฅผ ์‹ ์ฒญํ–ˆ๋‹ค.
1์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์—๋‚˜๋ฉœ ์™€์ด์–ด ๊ฐ€๋™๋ฅ ์€ ์ „์›” ๋Œ€๋น„ ์•ฝํ™”๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋‚˜, ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„๋กœ๋Š” ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ๋†’์€ ์ˆ˜์ค€์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค.
2์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์—๋‚˜๋ฉœ ์™€์ด์–ด ๊ฐ€๋™๋ฅ ์€ ์ „์›” ๋Œ€๋น„ ์•ฝํ™”๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋‚˜, ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„๋กœ๋Š” ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ๋†’์€ ์ˆ˜์ค€์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค.
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์—๋‚˜๋ฉœ ์™€์ด์–ด ๊ฐ€๋™๋ฅ ์€ ์ „์›” ๋Œ€๋น„ ์•ฝํ™”๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋‚˜, ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„๋กœ๋Š” ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ๋†’์€ ์ˆ˜์ค€์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค.
์—๋‚˜๋ฉœ ์™€์ด์–ด ๊ฐ€๋™๋ฅ ์€ ์ „์›” ๋Œ€๋น„ ์•ฝํ™”๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋‚˜, ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„๋กœ๋Š” ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ๋†’์€ ์ˆ˜์ค€์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค.
SMM์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด, 6์›” ์—๋‚˜๋ฉœ์„  ์—…๊ณ„์˜ ์ „์ฒด ๊ฐ€๋™๋ฅ ์€ 71.96%๋กœ ์ „์›” ๋Œ€๋น„ 0.36%p ํ•˜๋ฝํ–ˆ์ง€๋งŒ ์ „๋…„ ๋™์›” ๋Œ€๋น„ 2.03%p ์ƒ์Šนํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋Œ€๊ธฐ์—… ๊ฐ€๋™๋ฅ ์€ 76.49%, ์ค‘๊ฒฌ๊ธฐ์—…์€ 60.35%, ์†Œ๊ธฐ์—…์€ 68.55%๋ฅผ ๊ธฐ๋กํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
2์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
Shanghai nonferrous metals market closed with mixed performance as Chi - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)