SMM Price Outlook for Base Metals on SHFE (Jun. 21, 2017)

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Jun 21, 2017 09:13
Base metals fell back after rising first on Tuesdayโ€™s night trading, a sign of lack of further rising strength, and price divergence is expected to be continuing on Wednesday.

SHANGHAI, Jun. 21 (SMM) – Base metals fell back after rising first on Tuesday’s night trading, a sign of lack of further rising strength, and price divergence is expected to be continuing on Wednesday.

SMM Weekly Price Outlook for Base Metals on LME and SHFE (Jun. 19-23, 2017)

Product

Price Range

Copper

45,200-45,600

Aluminum

13,850-14,000

Lead

17,450-17,700

Zinc

21,150-21,500

Tin

142,500-144,000

Nickel

72,900-74,100

Unit: yuan/tonne

Source: SMM

Note: Prices all above are for most-actively traded contract on the SHFE.

For news cooperation, please contact us by email: sallyzhang@smm.cn or service.en@smm.cn.

๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
์žฌ๊ณ  ๋‹ค์‹œ ๊ฐ์†Œ, ํ˜„๋ฌผ ํ”„๋ฆฌ๋ฏธ์—„ ๊ฒฌ์กฐํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ์ „๋ฐ˜์  ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Š” ์–ด์ œ๋ณด๋‹ค ๋ถ€์ง„ [SMM ํ™”๋‚จ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ]
20๋ถ„ ์ „
์žฌ๊ณ  ๋‹ค์‹œ ๊ฐ์†Œ, ํ˜„๋ฌผ ํ”„๋ฆฌ๋ฏธ์—„ ๊ฒฌ์กฐํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ์ „๋ฐ˜์  ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Š” ์–ด์ œ๋ณด๋‹ค ๋ถ€์ง„ [SMM ํ™”๋‚จ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ]
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์žฌ๊ณ  ๋‹ค์‹œ ๊ฐ์†Œ, ํ˜„๋ฌผ ํ”„๋ฆฌ๋ฏธ์—„ ๊ฒฌ์กฐํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ์ „๋ฐ˜์  ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Š” ์–ด์ œ๋ณด๋‹ค ๋ถ€์ง„ [SMM ํ™”๋‚จ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ]
์žฌ๊ณ  ๋‹ค์‹œ ๊ฐ์†Œ, ํ˜„๋ฌผ ํ”„๋ฆฌ๋ฏธ์—„ ๊ฒฌ์กฐํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ์ „๋ฐ˜์  ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Š” ์–ด์ œ๋ณด๋‹ค ๋ถ€์ง„ [SMM ํ™”๋‚จ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ]
20๋ถ„ ์ „
๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ๊ณผ ์„ ๋ฌผ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ๊ฐ„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์Šคํ”„๋ ˆ๋“œ ๋ชจ๋‘ ๊ฐ•์„ธ, ๋ถ์ค‘๊ตญ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ํ• ์ธํญ ํ™•๋Œ€ [SMM ๋ถ์ค‘๊ตญ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ]
26๋ถ„ ์ „
๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ๊ณผ ์„ ๋ฌผ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ๊ฐ„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์Šคํ”„๋ ˆ๋“œ ๋ชจ๋‘ ๊ฐ•์„ธ, ๋ถ์ค‘๊ตญ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ํ• ์ธํญ ํ™•๋Œ€ [SMM ๋ถ์ค‘๊ตญ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ]
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ๊ณผ ์„ ๋ฌผ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ๊ฐ„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์Šคํ”„๋ ˆ๋“œ ๋ชจ๋‘ ๊ฐ•์„ธ, ๋ถ์ค‘๊ตญ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ํ• ์ธํญ ํ™•๋Œ€ [SMM ๋ถ์ค‘๊ตญ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ]
๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ๊ณผ ์„ ๋ฌผ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ๊ฐ„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์Šคํ”„๋ ˆ๋“œ ๋ชจ๋‘ ๊ฐ•์„ธ, ๋ถ์ค‘๊ตญ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ํ• ์ธํญ ํ™•๋Œ€ [SMM ๋ถ์ค‘๊ตญ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ]
๋ถ์ค‘๊ตญ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ์ „ํ•ด๋™(1ํ˜ธ)์€ ์˜ค๋Š˜ ์›”๋ฌผ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ๋Œ€๋น„ 90์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค ํ• ์ธ์—์„œ ํŒจ๋ฆฌํ‹ฐ๋กœ ํ˜ธ๊ฐ€๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ํ‰๊ท  ํ• ์ธํญ์€ 45์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์ „ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์ผ ๋Œ€๋น„ 25์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค ํ•˜๋ฝํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ํ‰๊ท  ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ 111,375์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค์œผ๋กœ ์ „ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜์ผ ๋Œ€๋น„ 305์œ„์•ˆ/ํ†ค ์ƒ์Šนํ–ˆ๋‹ค.
26๋ถ„ ์ „
๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์ƒ์Šน์ด ์ตœ์ข… ์†Œ๋น„๋ฅผ ์–ต์ œํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ๋‹จ๊ธฐ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ์ˆ˜์š”๋Š” ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ์•ฝ์„ธ๋ฅผ ๋ณด์ด๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค
41๋ถ„ ์ „
๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์ƒ์Šน์ด ์ตœ์ข… ์†Œ๋น„๋ฅผ ์–ต์ œํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ๋‹จ๊ธฐ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ์ˆ˜์š”๋Š” ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ์•ฝ์„ธ๋ฅผ ๋ณด์ด๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์ƒ์Šน์ด ์ตœ์ข… ์†Œ๋น„๋ฅผ ์–ต์ œํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ๋‹จ๊ธฐ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ์ˆ˜์š”๋Š” ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ์•ฝ์„ธ๋ฅผ ๋ณด์ด๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค
๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์ƒ์Šน์ด ์ตœ์ข… ์†Œ๋น„๋ฅผ ์–ต์ œํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ๋‹จ๊ธฐ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ์ˆ˜์š”๋Š” ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ์•ฝ์„ธ๋ฅผ ๋ณด์ด๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค
[SMM ์ƒํ•˜์ด ํ˜„๋ฌผ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ] SMM์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด, ์ตœ๊ทผ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด ๋†’์€ ์ˆ˜์ค€๊นŒ์ง€ ์ƒ์Šนํ•˜๋ฉด์„œ ์ผ๋ถ€ ์‹ค์ˆ˜์š” ์—…์ฒด๋“ค์€ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด ๊ณ„์† ์˜ค๋ฅผ ๊ฒƒ์„ ์šฐ๋ คํ•ด ์„ ๋ฌผ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด ํ•˜๋ฝํ•  ๋•Œ ์†Œ๋Ÿ‰ ์žฌ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ํ™•๋ณดํ–ˆ์ง€๋งŒ, ์ „๋ฐ˜์ ์ธ ๊ตฌ๋งค๋Š” ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ํ•„์š”ํ•œ ๋งŒํผ๋งŒ ์ด๋ฃจ์–ด์กŒ์œผ๋ฉฐ ์‹œ์žฅ์˜ ๊ด€๋ง ์‹ฌ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ•ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์—…์ข…๋ณ„๋กœ ๋ณด๋ฉด, ์ „์„  ๋ฐ ์ผ€์ด๋ธ” ์—…์ฒด๋“ค์˜ ์ฃผ๋ฌธ์€ ์ƒ๋Œ€์ ์œผ๋กœ ๋ถ€์ง„ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ธฐ์กด์— ์ˆ˜์ฃผํ•œ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ ์ค‘ ๋‹จ๊ณ„์ ์œผ๋กœ ๋‚ฉํ’ˆํ•ด์•ผ ํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฌผ๋Ÿ‰์„ ์ œ์™ธํ•˜๋ฉด, ์ผ๋ถ€ ์—…์ฒด๋“ค์€ ์‹ ๊ทœ ์ฃผ๋ฌธ ์ˆ˜์ฃผ ์˜์ง€๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ์†Œํ•œ ๋ชจ์Šต์„ ๋ณด์˜€๋‹ค. ๋™๋ฐ• ์—…์ฒด๋“ค์˜ ์ฃผ๋ฌธ์€ ๋น„๊ต์  ์•ˆ์ •์ ์ด์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์ƒ์Šน์˜ ์˜ํ–ฅ์€ ์ œํ•œ์ ์ด์—ˆ๋‹ค. ์ „๋ฐ˜์ ์œผ๋กœ ๋†’์€ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด ์‹ค์ˆ˜์š” ์†Œ๋น„๋ฅผ ์œ„์ถ•์‹œํ‚ค๋Š” ํšจ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ์ ์ฐจ ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋‚˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋‹จ๊ธฐ์ ์œผ๋กœ ํ˜„๋ฌผ ์ˆ˜์š”๋Š” ์•ฝ์„ธ๋ฅผ ์œ ์ง€ํ•  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋œ๋‹ค.
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SMM Price Outlook for Base Metals on SHFE (Jun. 21, 2017) - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)