SHFE 1607 Aluminum Climbs above 5-Day Moving Average (2016-5-12)

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: May 12, 2016 17:17
On Wednesdayโ€™s night trading, SHFE 1607 aluminum traded in a narrow range of RMB 12,050-12,160/mt after opening at RMB 12,145/mt, and finally ended at RMB 12,090/mt.

SHANGHAI, May 12 (SMM) โ€“ On Wednesdayโ€™s night trading, SHFE 1607 aluminum traded in a narrow range of RMB 12,050-12,160/mt after opening at RMB 12,145/mt, and finally ended at RMB 12,090/mt.   

On Thursday, SHFE 1607 aluminum jumped to RMB 12,245/mt after opening at RMB 12,085/mt. But the most active contract then gave back some gains, ending up RMB 170/mt at RMB 12,170/mt. Trading volumes were up 380 lots to 190,054 lots, and positions were up 1,032 to 253,558. SHFE 1607 aluminum has found solid support at the 5-day moving average and is set to hover at highs.  

   



๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

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๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
๋ฏธ๊ตญ-์บ๋‚˜๋‹ค ๊ด€์„ธ ์ „์Ÿ ๊ฒฉํ™”: ๋ณด๋ณต ์กฐ์น˜์™€ ์ƒํ’ˆ ๊ธˆ์ง€ ์กฐ์น˜ ์‹œํ–‰
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๋ฏธ๊ตญ-์บ๋‚˜๋‹ค ๊ด€์„ธ ์ „์Ÿ ๊ฒฉํ™”: ๋ณด๋ณต ์กฐ์น˜์™€ ์ƒํ’ˆ ๊ธˆ์ง€ ์กฐ์น˜ ์‹œํ–‰
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๋ฏธ๊ตญ-์บ๋‚˜๋‹ค ๊ด€์„ธ ์ „์Ÿ ๊ฒฉํ™”: ๋ณด๋ณต ์กฐ์น˜์™€ ์ƒํ’ˆ ๊ธˆ์ง€ ์กฐ์น˜ ์‹œํ–‰
๋ฏธ๊ตญ-์บ๋‚˜๋‹ค ๊ด€์„ธ ์ „์Ÿ ๊ฒฉํ™”: ๋ณด๋ณต ์กฐ์น˜์™€ ์ƒํ’ˆ ๊ธˆ์ง€ ์กฐ์น˜ ์‹œํ–‰
๋ฏธ๊ตญ-์บ๋‚˜๋‹ค ๊ด€์„ธ ์ „์Ÿ์ด ๋‹ค์‹œ ๊ฒฉํ™”๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค. ์บ๋‚˜๋‹ค๊ฐ€ ์•ฝ 200์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๊ทœ๋ชจ์˜ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์‚ฐ ์ œํ’ˆ์— ๋ณด๋ณต ๊ด€์„ธ๋ฅผ ๋จผ์ € ๋ถ€๊ณผํ–ˆ๊ณ , ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์€ ๊ฐ•๊ฒฝ ๋Œ€์‘์œผ๋กœ ๋งž์„ฐ๋‹ค. 9์›” 15์ผ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ์บ๋‚˜๋‹ค์‚ฐ ์•ฝ 100๊ฐœ ํ’ˆ๋ชฉ์— 50% ๊ด€์„ธ๋ฅผ ๋ถ€๊ณผํ•˜๊ณ , 9์›” 29์ผ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ๋Š” ์ผ๋ถ€ ์บ๋‚˜๋‹ค์‚ฐ ์ž๋™์ฐจ์™€ ์œ ์ œํ’ˆ ์ˆ˜์ž…์„ ์ถ”๊ฐ€๋กœ ๊ธˆ์ง€ํ•œ๋‹ค.
11์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
ECB, ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ 25bp ์ธ์ƒ, ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜ ์šฐ๋ ค ์† ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ์ธ์ƒ ์‹œ์‚ฌ
11์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
ECB, ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ 25bp ์ธ์ƒ, ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜ ์šฐ๋ ค ์† ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ์ธ์ƒ ์‹œ์‚ฌ
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
ECB, ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ 25bp ์ธ์ƒ, ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜ ์šฐ๋ ค ์† ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ์ธ์ƒ ์‹œ์‚ฌ
ECB, ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ 25bp ์ธ์ƒ, ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜ ์šฐ๋ ค ์† ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ์ธ์ƒ ์‹œ์‚ฌ
์œ ๋Ÿฝ์ค‘์•™์€ํ–‰์€ ์‹œ์žฅ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋Œ€๋กœ ์„ธ ๊ฐ€์ง€ ์ฃผ์š” ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ๋ฅผ ๋ชจ๋‘ 25bp ์ธ์ƒํ•œ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐœํ‘œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ค‘์•™์€ํ–‰์€ ์ค‘๋™ ๋ถ„์Ÿ์ด ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜์„ ๊ณ„์† ๋Œ์–ด์˜ฌ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜์ด ์žฅ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ ์ˆ˜์ค€์„ ํฌ๊ฒŒ ์›ƒ๋Œ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋œ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐํ˜”๋‹ค. ์†Œ์‹ํ†ต์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด ECB ๊ด€๊ณ„์ž๋“ค์€ ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ธ์ƒ์„ ์˜ˆ์ƒํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋‹ค์Œ ์กฐ์น˜๋Š” ๋น ๋ฅด๋ฉด 10์›”์— ๋‚˜์˜ฌ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ํ•œ๋‹ค.
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์ค‘๊ตญ ์ž๋™์ฐจ ํŒ๋งค, 8์›” 5.1% ๊ฐ์†Œโ€ฆ์‹ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€์ฐจ ํŒ๋งค ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 17.8% ๊ธ‰์ฆ, ์ˆ˜์ถœ 65.3% ์ฆ๊ฐ€
11์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์ค‘๊ตญ ์ž๋™์ฐจ ํŒ๋งค, 8์›” 5.1% ๊ฐ์†Œโ€ฆ์‹ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€์ฐจ ํŒ๋งค ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 17.8% ๊ธ‰์ฆ, ์ˆ˜์ถœ 65.3% ์ฆ๊ฐ€
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์ค‘๊ตญ ์ž๋™์ฐจ ํŒ๋งค, 8์›” 5.1% ๊ฐ์†Œโ€ฆ์‹ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€์ฐจ ํŒ๋งค ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 17.8% ๊ธ‰์ฆ, ์ˆ˜์ถœ 65.3% ์ฆ๊ฐ€
์ค‘๊ตญ ์ž๋™์ฐจ ํŒ๋งค, 8์›” 5.1% ๊ฐ์†Œโ€ฆ์‹ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€์ฐจ ํŒ๋งค ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 17.8% ๊ธ‰์ฆ, ์ˆ˜์ถœ 65.3% ์ฆ๊ฐ€
์ค‘๊ตญ์ž๋™์ฐจ๊ณต์—…ํ˜‘ํšŒ(CAAM) ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด 8์›” ์ค‘๊ตญ ์ž๋™์ฐจ ํŒ๋งค๋Ÿ‰์€ 271๋งŒ 2์ฒœ ๋Œ€๋กœ ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 5.1% ๊ฐ์†Œํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด ์ค‘ ์‹ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€์ฐจ(NEV) ํŒ๋งค๋Ÿ‰์€ 164๋งŒ 3์ฒœ ๋Œ€๋กœ ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 17.8% ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ•˜๋ฉฐ ์ „์ฒด ์‹ ์ฐจ ํŒ๋งค๋Ÿ‰์˜ 60.6%๋ฅผ ์ฐจ์ง€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ˆ˜์ถœ ์ธก๋ฉด์—์„œ๋Š” 8์›” ์ž๋™์ฐจ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์ด 101๋งŒ ๋Œ€๋กœ ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 65.3% ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ๊ณ , ์‹ ์—๋„ˆ์ง€์ฐจ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์€ 52๋งŒ 6์ฒœ ๋Œ€๋กœ ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 1.3๋ฐฐ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค.
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