Copper Prices to Draw Little Support from China Output Cut News Next Week

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Dec 5, 2015 21:57
Copper prices will find little support from 350,000 tonne output cut announcement by Chinese smelters, SMM understands.

SHANGHAI, Dec. 5 (SMM) โ€“ Copper prices will find little support from 350,000 tonne output cut announcement by Chinese smelters, SMM understands. 

See SMM Forecast, Please Click:Most China Copper Smelters See Copper Prices to Stabilize, SMM survey

Chinaโ€™s November PPI, due for release next week, is unlikely to see a turnaround. SHFE copper will move between 34,150-35,350 yuan per tonne. 

The US dollar index is expected to rise to 98-100.51 as a series of incoming US economic data will be positive. Crude oil prices will remain weak on supply glut. LME copper should move wildly between $ 4,500-4,650 per tonne.  

For news cooperation, please contact us by email: sallyzhang@smm.cn or service.en@smm.cn.


๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ ์—ด๋žŒ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ๋‚ด์šฉ์€ ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ๋ฌธ์˜ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค:service.en@smm.cn
๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
๋น„์ˆ˜๊ธฐ ์ง€์†, ๋™ ๋นŒ๋ฆฟ ์—…์ฒด ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์˜์š• ์ €ํ•˜
18๋ถ„ ์ „
๋น„์ˆ˜๊ธฐ ์ง€์†, ๋™ ๋นŒ๋ฆฟ ์—…์ฒด ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์˜์š• ์ €ํ•˜
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๋น„์ˆ˜๊ธฐ ์ง€์†, ๋™ ๋นŒ๋ฆฟ ์—…์ฒด ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์˜์š• ์ €ํ•˜
๋น„์ˆ˜๊ธฐ ์ง€์†, ๋™ ๋นŒ๋ฆฟ ์—…์ฒด ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์˜์š• ์ €ํ•˜
[SMM ํ™ฉ๋™ ๋นŒ๋ › ์†๋ณด] ๋‹ค์šด์ŠคํŠธ๋ฆผ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๋นŒ๋ › ์‚ฐ์—…์˜ ์ „ํ†ต์  ๋น„์ˆ˜๊ธฐ๊ฐ€ ์ด์–ด์กŒ๋‹ค. ์ตœ์ข… ์ˆ˜์š” ์‚ฐ์—…์˜ ์ฃผ๋ฌธ์€ ๋šœ๋ ทํ•œ ๊ฐœ์„ ์„ ๋ณด์ด์ง€ ์•Š์•˜๊ณ , ํ•„์š”์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ์†Œ๋Ÿ‰ ์žฌ๊ณ  ๋ณด์ถฉ๋งŒ ์œ ์ง€๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค. ํ™ฉ๋™ ๋นŒ๋ › ์™„์ œํ’ˆ ์žฌ๊ณ  ์†Œ์ง„์€ ๋”๋Ž ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ด๋ฒˆ ์ฃผ ํ‘œ๋ณธ ์—…์ฒด๋“ค์˜ ์™„์ œํ’ˆ ์žฌ๊ณ ๋Š” 5.14์ผ๋ถ„์œผ๋กœ ์ „์ฃผ ๋Œ€๋น„ ์†Œํญ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด ๊ณ„์† ์˜ค๋ฅด๋ฉด์„œ ํ™ฉ๋™ ๋นŒ๋ › ๊ฐ€๊ณต ์—…์ฒด๋“ค์˜ ์›์ž์žฌ ๋น„์šฉ์€ ์ƒ์Šนํ–ˆ์ง€๋งŒ, ์ œํ’ˆ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์ „๊ฐ€๊ฐ€ ์ง€์—ฐ๋˜๋ฉด์„œ ๊ธฐ์—… ์ด์ต์€ ์ง€์†์ ์œผ๋กœ ์••๋ฐ•์„ ๋ฐ›์•˜๊ณ , ๋Œ€๋ถ€๋ถ„ ์—…์ฒด์˜ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์˜์š•์€ ์ €ํ•˜๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค.
18๋ถ„ ์ „
๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๋นŒ๋ › ์—…์ฒด๋“ค์˜ ์›์ž์žฌ ์žฌ๊ณ ๋Š” ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ๋‚ฎ์€ ์ˆ˜์ค€์ด๋‹ค.
23๋ถ„ ์ „
๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๋นŒ๋ › ์—…์ฒด๋“ค์˜ ์›์ž์žฌ ์žฌ๊ณ ๋Š” ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ๋‚ฎ์€ ์ˆ˜์ค€์ด๋‹ค.
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๋นŒ๋ › ์—…์ฒด๋“ค์˜ ์›์ž์žฌ ์žฌ๊ณ ๋Š” ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ๋‚ฎ์€ ์ˆ˜์ค€์ด๋‹ค.
๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๋นŒ๋ › ์—…์ฒด๋“ค์˜ ์›์ž์žฌ ์žฌ๊ณ ๋Š” ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ๋‚ฎ์€ ์ˆ˜์ค€์ด๋‹ค.
[SMM ํ™ฉ๋™ ๋นŒ๋ › ์†๋ณด] SMM์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด, ์žฌ์ƒ ํ™ฉ๋™ ์›์ž์žฌ์˜ ํ˜„์žฌ ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ๋ถ€์กฑ ์ƒํ™ฉ์€ ์™„ํ™”๋˜์ง€ ์•Š์•˜๋‹ค. ์›์ž์žฌ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์„ ๋”ฐ๋ผ ๋†’์€ ์ˆ˜์ค€์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ํ‘œ๋ณธ ๊ธฐ์—…์˜ ์›์ž์žฌ ์žฌ๊ณ  ์ผ์ˆ˜๋Š” 3.49์ผ๋กœ ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ๋‚ฎ์€ ์ˆ˜์ค€์ด๋ฉฐ, ๊ธฐ์—…๋“ค์€ ์›์ž์žฌ ๋น„์ถ•์— ์‹ ์ค‘ํ•œ ํƒœ๋„๋ฅผ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค.
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์›์ž์žฌ ๋น„์šฉ ์ƒ์Šน์ด ์ˆ˜์ต์„ ์••๋ฐ•, ํ™ฉ๋™ ๋นŒ๋ฆฟ ๊ฐ€๋™๋ฅ  ํ•˜๋ฝ ์ง€์†
25๋ถ„ ์ „
์›์ž์žฌ ๋น„์šฉ ์ƒ์Šน์ด ์ˆ˜์ต์„ ์••๋ฐ•, ํ™ฉ๋™ ๋นŒ๋ฆฟ ๊ฐ€๋™๋ฅ  ํ•˜๋ฝ ์ง€์†
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์›์ž์žฌ ๋น„์šฉ ์ƒ์Šน์ด ์ˆ˜์ต์„ ์••๋ฐ•, ํ™ฉ๋™ ๋นŒ๋ฆฟ ๊ฐ€๋™๋ฅ  ํ•˜๋ฝ ์ง€์†
์›์ž์žฌ ๋น„์šฉ ์ƒ์Šน์ด ์ˆ˜์ต์„ ์••๋ฐ•, ํ™ฉ๋™ ๋นŒ๋ฆฟ ๊ฐ€๋™๋ฅ  ํ•˜๋ฝ ์ง€์†
[SMM ํ™ฉ๋™ ๋นŒ๋ฆฟ ์†๋ณด] 8์›” 7~13์ผ ์ฃผ๊ฐ„ SMM ์กฐ์‚ฌ ํ™ฉ๋™ ๋นŒ๋ฆฟ ์ƒ์‚ฐ์—…์ฒด์˜ ์ฃผ๊ฐ„ ๊ฐ€๋™๋ฅ ์€ 48.52%๋กœ ์ „์ฃผ ๋Œ€๋น„ 0.16%p, ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 1.25%p ํ•˜๋ฝํ•˜๋ฉฐ ํ•˜๋ฝ์„ธ๋ฅผ ์ด์–ด๊ฐ”๋‹ค. ๋น„์ˆ˜๊ธฐ ์‹œ์žฅ ์—ฌ๊ฑด์ด ๋น ๋ฅด๊ฒŒ ๋ฐ˜์ „๋˜๊ธฐ ์–ด๋ ต๊ณ  ์‹ค์ œ ํ•˜๋ฅ˜ ์ฃผ๋ฌธ ํšŒ๋ณต์˜ ๋™๋ ฅ๋„ ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ๋ถ€์กฑํ•˜๋‹ค. ํ•œํŽธ ๊ตฌ๋ฆฌ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์€ ๋†’์€ ์ˆ˜์ค€์—์„œ ๋“ฑ๋ฝํ–ˆ๊ณ  ์žฌ์ƒ ํ™ฉ๋™ ์›์ž์žฌ ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ๋ถ€์กฑ์ด ์ง€์†๋๋‹ค. ๋†’์€ ์›์ž์žฌ ๋น„์šฉ์€ ๊ธฐ์—… ์ˆ˜์ต์„ฑ์„ ๊ณ„์† ์••๋ฐ•ํ•˜๊ณ  ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์˜์ง€๋ฅผ ์–ต์ œํ•  ๊ฒƒ์ด๋‹ค. SMM์€ ๋‹ค์Œ ์ฃผ ์ฃผ๊ฐ„ ๊ฐ€๋™๋ฅ ์ด 48.46%๋กœ ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ํ•˜๋ฝํ•ด ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 1.37%p ๋‚ฎ์•„์งˆ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒํ•œ๋‹ค.
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Copper Prices to Draw Little Support from China Output Cut News Next Week - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)