SMM Copper Market Daily Review (2015-10-9)

๊ฒŒ์‹œ๋จ: Oct 10, 2015 09:00
SHFE 1512 copper opened lower at RMB 38,890/mt for night trading Thursday and then drifted lower to RMB 38,630/mt due to growing shorts.

SHANGHAI, Oct. 10 (SMM) โ€“ SHFE 1512 copper opened lower at RMB 38,890/mt for night trading Thursday and then drifted lower to RMB 38,630/mt due to growing shorts. But later the contract regained most losses and touched RMB 39,100/mt, to end at RMB 39,020/mt, down by RMB 140/mt or 0.36%. Positions grew 3,000 to 250,616 with trading volumes around 130,000 lots.

SHFE copper increased above the 20-day moving average after starting Friday trading session responding to Glencoreโ€™s zinc output cut news. The red metal broke above RMB 40,000/mt in the afternoon business and once challenged RMB 40,270/mt before closing at RMB 40,090/mt, gaining RMB 930/mt or 2.37%. Positions fell 29,310 to 218,306 and trading volumes were around 60,000 lots. 

In Shanghai, spot copper quoted RMB 0-70/mt below SHFE 1510 copper on Friday, versus RMB 39,400-39,930/mt for standard-quality copper and RMB 39,440-39,980/mt for high-quality copper.

SHFE copper returned to gains today. Cargo holders rushed to sell in the morning, depressing high-quality copper into discounts of RMB 0-50/mt. In the afternoon business, SHFE copper grew RMB 500/mt and spot copper prices rose to RMB 40,000/mt. Consequently, traders were unwilling to ship hedged goods to market. Besides, SHFE 1510 and 1511 copper spread narrowed to RMB 10-70/mt. Trading activities turned softening while downstream buyers watched from the sidelines. 


๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ ์„ค๋ช…: ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ๋ชจ๋“  ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” SMM์ด ๊ณต๊ฐœ ์ •๋ณด, ์‹œ์žฅ ์ปค๋ฎค๋‹ˆ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ๋ฐ SMM ๋‚ด๋ถ€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋ฒ ์ด์Šค ๋ชจ๋ธ์„ ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณตํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ณธ ์ž๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ์ด๋ฉฐ ์˜์‚ฌ๊ฒฐ์ • ๊ถŒ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์„ฑํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฌธ์˜ ์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์žˆ๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ž์„ธํ•œ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์›ํ•˜์‹œ๋ฉด ์•„๋ž˜๋กœ ์—ฐ๋ฝํ•ด ์ฃผ์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค: lemonzhao@smm.cn
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๊ด€๋ จ ๋‰ด์Šค
์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ ๋‚ฎ์€ ์ˆ˜์œ„๋กœ ๋ณดํฌ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ ์„ ์  ์ฐจ์งˆ, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋‚˜ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์œ„ํ˜‘
6์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ ๋‚ฎ์€ ์ˆ˜์œ„๋กœ ๋ณดํฌ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ ์„ ์  ์ฐจ์งˆ, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋‚˜ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์œ„ํ˜‘
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ ๋‚ฎ์€ ์ˆ˜์œ„๋กœ ๋ณดํฌ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ ์„ ์  ์ฐจ์งˆ, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋‚˜ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์œ„ํ˜‘
์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ ๋‚ฎ์€ ์ˆ˜์œ„๋กœ ๋ณดํฌ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ ์„ ์  ์ฐจ์งˆ, ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋‚˜ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์œ„ํ˜‘
[SMM ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์†๋ณด] ์†Œ์‹ํ†ต์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด, ์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„์˜ ์ˆ˜์œ„๊ฐ€ ๋‚ฎ์•„ ์ผ๋ถ€ ๊ตญ๋‚ด ๋ณดํฌ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ ๊ด‘์‚ฐ์˜ ์„ ์ ์— ์˜ํ–ฅ์„ ๋ฏธ์ณค์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ƒํ™ฉ์ด ๊ฐœ์„ ๋˜์ง€ ์•Š์œผ๋ฉด ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋‚˜ ์ƒ์‚ฐ์— ์ฐจ์งˆ์ด ์ƒ๊ธธ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ํ•œ๋‹ค. ํ˜„์žฌ๊นŒ์ง€ ์ƒํ™ฉ์€ ์ง€์†๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋ฌด๊ธฐํ•œ ๊ณ„์†๋  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋œ๋‹ค.
6์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์ธ๋„ยท๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„, ๊ด‘์—… ๋ฐ ํ•ต์‹ฌ ๊ด‘๋ฌผ ํ˜‘๋ ฅ ํ™•๋Œ€ ๋ชจ์ƒ‰
7์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
์ธ๋„ยท๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„, ๊ด‘์—… ๋ฐ ํ•ต์‹ฌ ๊ด‘๋ฌผ ํ˜‘๋ ฅ ํ™•๋Œ€ ๋ชจ์ƒ‰
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
์ธ๋„ยท๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„, ๊ด‘์—… ๋ฐ ํ•ต์‹ฌ ๊ด‘๋ฌผ ํ˜‘๋ ฅ ํ™•๋Œ€ ๋ชจ์ƒ‰
์ธ๋„ยท๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„, ๊ด‘์—… ๋ฐ ํ•ต์‹ฌ ๊ด‘๋ฌผ ํ˜‘๋ ฅ ํ™•๋Œ€ ๋ชจ์ƒ‰
๋‰ด๋ธ๋ฆฌ์™€ ๋ชจ์Šคํฌ๋ฐ”, ๊ด‘๋ฌผ ํƒ์‚ฌ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ์ฒจ๋‹จ ์†Œ์žฌ๊นŒ์ง€ ํ˜‘๋ ฅ ํ™•๋Œ€ ๋ชจ์ƒ‰
7์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
[SMM ๋ถ„์„] ์Šคํฌ๋žฉ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์—์„œ ์žฌ์ƒ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ œํ’ˆ์œผ๋กœ: EU ํ๊ธฐ๋ฌผ ๊ทœ์ •์ด ๋ฌด์—ญ์„ ์–ด๋–ป๊ฒŒ ์žฌํŽธํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์„๊นŒ?
8์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „
[SMM ๋ถ„์„] ์Šคํฌ๋žฉ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์—์„œ ์žฌ์ƒ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ œํ’ˆ์œผ๋กœ: EU ํ๊ธฐ๋ฌผ ๊ทœ์ •์ด ๋ฌด์—ญ์„ ์–ด๋–ป๊ฒŒ ์žฌํŽธํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์„๊นŒ?
๋” ๋ณด๊ธฐ
[SMM ๋ถ„์„] ์Šคํฌ๋žฉ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์—์„œ ์žฌ์ƒ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ œํ’ˆ์œผ๋กœ: EU ํ๊ธฐ๋ฌผ ๊ทœ์ •์ด ๋ฌด์—ญ์„ ์–ด๋–ป๊ฒŒ ์žฌํŽธํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์„๊นŒ?
[SMM ๋ถ„์„] ์Šคํฌ๋žฉ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์—์„œ ์žฌ์ƒ ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์ œํ’ˆ์œผ๋กœ: EU ํ๊ธฐ๋ฌผ ๊ทœ์ •์ด ๋ฌด์—ญ์„ ์–ด๋–ป๊ฒŒ ์žฌํŽธํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์„๊นŒ?
EU ์•Œ๋ฃจ๋ฏธ๋Š„ ์Šคํฌ๋žฉ ์ •์ฑ…์ด ์ˆ˜์ถœ ๊ด€์„ธ์—์„œ WSR ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜ ํ™˜๊ฒฝ ๊ทœ์ œ๋กœ ์ „ํ™˜๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ๊ทœ์ œ ๊ฐ•ํ™”๋กœ ์œ ๋Ÿฝ ๋‚ด ์Šคํฌ๋žฉ ๋ณด์œ ๋Ÿ‰์ด ๋Š˜์–ด๋‚  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์ง€๋งŒ, ํก์ˆ˜ ์—ฌ๋ถ€๋Š” ์›๋ฃŒ ํ˜ธํ™˜์„ฑ, ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ ๋Šฅ๋ ฅ, ์ˆ˜์š”์— ๋‹ฌ๋ ค ์žˆ๋‹ค. ๋˜ํ•œ ์ง์ ‘ ์Šคํฌ๋žฉ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์—์„œ ์—ญ๋‚ด ์žฌํ™œ์šฉ ๋ฐ ์žฌ์šฉํ•ด ์ž‰๊ณณ, ์žฌํ™œ์šฉ ๋นŒ๋ฆฟ, 2์ฐจ ํ•ฉ๊ธˆ ์ˆ˜์ถœ๋กœ ๋ฌด์—ญ์ด ์ด๋™ํ•˜๋ฉด์„œ ์•„์‹œ์•„ ๊ตฌ๋งค์ž๋“ค์ด ์กฐ๋‹ฌ ๋ฐ ์ฒ˜๋ฆฌ ๋ฐฉ์‹์„ ์žฌ๊ฒ€ํ† ํ•ด์•ผ ํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค.
8์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ „