[SMM Analysis] Futures Lack Momentum to Rise Further, Pre-Holiday Demand Stalls, and Stainless Steel Social Inventory Accumulation Intensifies

Published: Feb 5, 2026 19:18

SMM February 5th report, this week (January 30, 2026 - February 5, 2026), the total inventory of the two major stainless steel markets in Wuxi and Foshan showed a further trend of inventory buildup, increasing from 853,000 mt on January 29, 2026 to 868,600 mt on February 5, 2026, up 1.83% WoW.

This week, social inventory of stainless steel continued to rise. The momentum for SS futures to further explore upward weakened, leading to a pullback in spot quotations, with market confidence also pulling back. Coupled with the market environment before the Chinese New Year holiday, the contradictions at both ends of supply and demand became more pronounced. Just before the Chinese New Year holiday, the market was already sluggish in terms of transactions. The weak performance of both futures and spot prices made it difficult for the transaction situation to see a significant reversal. Although there was a slight recovery in futures prices, which led to a brief and small increase in inquiries, most of these were for downstream restocking of essential needs, and overall trading volume remained low. Moreover, end-use purchases had largely come to an end, with substantive purchase intentions nearly at a standstill. In terms of cargo flow, the main arrivals at steel mills this week were for arbitrage purchases by futures-spot institutions. These cargoes did not effectively enter the end-use consumption sector but instead accumulated in the circulation stage, further boosting the accumulation of social inventory. Currently, the market is dominated by a wait-and-see sentiment. The lack of upward momentum in futures and the pullback in spot prices have further suppressed market trading vitality. Overall, the current market is significantly influenced by multiple factors including weak futures, spot price pullbacks, stagnant end-use demand, and poor cargo flow. The supply-demand imbalance is quite prominent, and the market's wait-and-see atmosphere remains strong, making it difficult to reverse the short-term trend of inventory buildup.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Silicon Metal Market Review for January and Outlook for February
Common.Time.hoursAgo
Silicon Metal Market Review for January and Outlook for February
Read More
Silicon Metal Market Review for January and Outlook for February
Silicon Metal Market Review for January and Outlook for February
In January, the silicon metal market experienced a relatively loose supply-demand balance, with a theoretical inventory buildup of approximately 30,000 mt. In February, both supply and demand contracted simultaneously, and the market is expected to show a tight balance or minor destocking. The current high industry inventory still requires time to be digested, and the sustainability of destocking remains a key variable affecting price trends and market sentiment.
Common.Time.hoursAgo
A plant in northern China is calling for bids for indium ingots and bismuth ingots
Feb 6, 2026 15:36
A plant in northern China is calling for bids for indium ingots and bismuth ingots
Read More
A plant in northern China is calling for bids for indium ingots and bismuth ingots
A plant in northern China is calling for bids for indium ingots and bismuth ingots
SMM, February 6 - According to SMM’s investigation of market information, a large smelter in northern China began public bidding for a certain quantity of indium ingots and bismuth ingots starting yesterday. Market sources indicate that the starting price for these indium ingots exceeds 4,000 yuan per kilogram, while the starting price for bismuth ingots is above 150,000 yuan per ton. The bidding results are expected to be announced before the Spring Festival. Market participants note that, given the clear trend of sluggish trading activity ahead of the Spring Festival, the timing of this bidding is not ideal. However, the relatively favorable starting prices have generated considerable market anticipation for the outcome of the bidding.
Feb 6, 2026 15:36
Chongyi Tungsten Enterprise Raised Long-Term Contract Purchase Prices in the First Half of February
Feb 5, 2026 17:02
Chongyi Tungsten Enterprise Raised Long-Term Contract Purchase Prices in the First Half of February
Read More
Chongyi Tungsten Enterprise Raised Long-Term Contract Purchase Prices in the First Half of February
Chongyi Tungsten Enterprise Raised Long-Term Contract Purchase Prices in the First Half of February
[Chongyi Tungsten Enterprise First-Half February Long-Term Contract Information] SMM, February 5: A tungsten enterprise in Chongyi raised its long-term contract purchase prices for the first half of February: 1) 55% black tungsten concentrate: 670,000 yuan/mt, up 147,000 yuan/mt MoM; 2) 55% white tungsten concentrate: 669,000 yuan/mt, up 147,000 yuan/mt MoM; 3) ammonium paratungstate (national standard zero-grade): 970,000 yuan/mt, up 300,000 yuan/mt MoM. Note: The above unit prices include 13% VAT.
Feb 5, 2026 17:02
Register to Continue Reading
Gain access to the latest insights in metals and new energy
Already have an account?sign in here