Pasar AC Amerika Latin Menghadapi Tekanan Jangka Pendek tetapi Potensi Jangka Panjang di Tengah Pemulihan Ekonomi

Peru declared a 60-day state of emergency across 796 districts on July 2 due to the ongoing El Niño phenomenon and the heightened risk of heavy rainfall and major natural disasters. According to SMM's market survey, the production and operations of Peru's major copper mines remain largely unaffected, with mining activities continuing as normal. However, logistics activities—including ore transportation, the delivery of production supplies, worker commuting and vessel schedules—may experience some disruptions. Mines that primarily rely on rail transportation are expected to face relatively limited impacts. Based on feedback from local industry sources, large-scale operations such as Antamina and Quellaveco, which utilize rail transport, are expected to experience relatively limited logistics pressure.

Peru has declared a 60-day state of emergency across 796 districts in several regions, including Ancash, Arequipa and Piura, due to the ongoing El Niño phenomenon and the heightened risk of heavy rainfall and natural disasters. During the emergency period, the government will implement disaster prevention, emergency response and recovery measures. Market participants believe that if severe weather disrupts transportation networks, ports or mining-related infrastructure, copper mine logistics and concentrate shipments could face temporary disruptions. Further developments and potential impacts on mining operations will continue to be closely monitored.

Notulen Rapat Pagi SMM: Semalam, tembaga LME dibuka di $13.256,5/ton, turun ke $13.240/ton di awal sesi, lalu naik perlahan menyentuh level tertinggi $13.398/ton sebelum pusat harga-nya berangsur turun dan akhirnya ditutup di $13.285,5/ton, turun 0,34%. Volume perdagangan mencapai 14.800 lot, dan open interest sebesar 250.000 lot, meningkat 8.743 lot dari hari perdagangan sebelumnya, mengindikasikan posisi bear bertambah. Semalam, kontrak tembaga SHFE 2608 yang paling aktif diperdagangkan dibuka di 102.470 yuan/ton, naik perlahan di awal untuk menguji 102.960 yuan/ton, lalu pusat harganya bergeser turun dan bergerak sideways, menyentuh level terendah 102.280 yuan/ton mendekati akhir sesi sebelum akhirnya ditutup di 102.410 yuan/ton, naik 0,12%. Volume perdagangan mencapai 34.800 lot, dan open interest sebesar 152.000 lot, turun 3.155 lot dari hari perdagangan sebelumnya, mencerminkan pengurangan posisi bear.