Geopolitical Disruptions Drove Repeated Bull-Bear Reversals, BC Copper Saw Wild Swings with Slight Gains [SMM BC Copper Commentary]

Published: Apr 20, 2026 17:29

Today, the most-traded BC copper contract 2606 opened at 91,360 yuan/mt, touching a low of 90,580 yuan/mt at the start of the session before fluctuating upward. During the day session, it opened higher with a gap, reaching a high of 92,080 yuan/mt, then quickly pulled back and swung wildly, ultimately closing at 91,220 yuan/mt, up 0.45%. Open interest stood at 6,534 lots, down 258 lots from the previous trading day, with trading volume at 6,586 lots, indicating bears reducing positions. On the macro front, Iran's foreign minister announced that commercial vessels could transit the Strait of Hormuz normally, easing market risk-aversion sentiment somewhat. However, the optimistic expectations released by Trump regarding a second round of US-Iran negotiations were refuted by the Iranian side. Bullish and bearish sentiment fluctuated repeatedly, and the market remained cautious overall, with copper prices moving sideways. On the fundamentals front, supply side, imported copper arrivals increased, while domestic supply remained tight due to smelter maintenance. Demand side, with copper prices fluctuating at highs, downstream buyers mainly made just-in-time procurement. Regarding inventories, as of Monday, April 20, SMM copper inventories in major regions nationwide decreased 12.21% WoW from the previous Monday.

 

SHFE copper 2606 contract closed at 102,620 yuan/mt. Based on the BC copper 2605 contract at 91,220 yuan/mt, its after-tax price was 103,078 yuan/mt. The price spread between SHFE copper 2606 and BC copper was -458, remaining inverted but narrowing compared to the previous day.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Chile's Copper Output Drops 13.8% in April, Metal Production Also Falls
3 hours ago
Chile's Copper Output Drops 13.8% in April, Metal Production Also Falls
Read More
Chile's Copper Output Drops 13.8% in April, Metal Production Also Falls
Chile's Copper Output Drops 13.8% in April, Metal Production Also Falls
Chile is the world's largest copper-producing country. Data released on Friday by Chile's National Bureau of Statistics (INE) showed that the country's copper production in April declined 13.8% YoY.According to official data, Chile's copper production in April was 399,954 mt, compared with 464,056 mt in the same period last year. The production decline was mainly attributable to a high base in the same period last year and lower ore grades at major miners.In addition, metal products production fell 15.4% YoY, further dragging down the overall performance of the manufacturing sector.
3 hours ago
Codelco's Q1 2026 Profit Triples to $825M Despite 8% Drop in Copper Production
3 hours ago
Codelco's Q1 2026 Profit Triples to $825M Despite 8% Drop in Copper Production
Read More
Codelco's Q1 2026 Profit Triples to $825M Despite 8% Drop in Copper Production
Codelco's Q1 2026 Profit Triples to $825M Despite 8% Drop in Copper Production
Codelco, one of the world's largest copper producers, released its earnings report on Friday. Benefiting from stronger copper prices, the company's pre-tax profit reached $825 million in Q1 2026, nearly tripling compared to the same period last year when it stood at $213 million. Codelco stated that the company's total copper production from January to March was 272,000 mt, down 8% compared to the same period last year.Codelco reported its Q1 2026 results. Market conditions for copper and various by-products improved during the quarter, but the company's own production declined.From January to March, the company's own copper mine production reached 272,000 mt of concentrates, down 8.1% compared to the same period in 2025.
3 hours ago
Commerzbank Forecasts Copper Prices to Reach $14,250 per MT by Mid-2027
3 hours ago
Commerzbank Forecasts Copper Prices to Reach $14,250 per MT by Mid-2027
Read More
Commerzbank Forecasts Copper Prices to Reach $14,250 per MT by Mid-2027
Commerzbank Forecasts Copper Prices to Reach $14,250 per MT by Mid-2027
Commerzbank expects copper prices to rise to $14,250 per mt by mid-2027.
3 hours ago
Register to Continue Reading
Gain access to the latest insights in metals and new energy
Already have an account?sign in here
Geopolitical Disruptions Drove Repeated Bull-Bear Reversals, BC Copper Saw Wild Swings with Slight Gains [SMM BC Copper Commentary] - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)