Seiring mendekatnya libur Tahun Baru Imlek, diskon transaksi aluminium spot terus melebar [Ulasan Tengah Hari Aluminium Spot SMM]

Telah Terbit: Feb 10, 2026 13:18

SMM 10 Februari:

Aluminium SHFE 2602 berfluktuasi turun pada sesi pagi, dengan pusat harga lebih rendah dari hari perdagangan sebelumnya. Terpengaruh oleh mendekatnya Tahun Baru Imlek, sentimen pengadaan pasar secara keseluruhan lemah, mendorong penjual menurunkan harga. Harga transaksi utama terkonsentrasi pada diskon 20 yuan/ton hingga 10 yuan/ton. Hari ini, indeks sentimen pengiriman pasar China timur adalah 2,7, turun 0,08 Minggu ke Minggu (WoW); indeks sentimen pembelian adalah 2,5, turun 0,11 WoW. Pada 10 Februari, aluminium SMM A00 ditutup pada 23.290 yuan/ton, turun 110 yuan/ton dari hari perdagangan sebelumnya, pada diskon 190 yuan/ton terhadap kontrak 2602, turun 20 yuan/ton dari hari perdagangan sebelumnya.

Transaksi di pasar China tengah tetap lesu hari ini. Seiring mendekatnya liburan Tahun Baru Imlek, penimbunan pra-liburan oleh perusahaan pengolahan hilir pada dasarnya telah berakhir, dengan hanya sejumlah kecil pengadaan tepat waktu dan beberapa pedagang membeli saat turun untuk penimbunan. Pemasok awalnya menunjukkan keinginan lemah untuk mempertahankan harga tetap, tetapi dengan transaksi yang lesu, harga transaksi aktual di pasar China tengah melayang antara paritas dan diskon 20 yuan/ton terhadap harga China tengah. Hari ini, indeks sentimen pengiriman pasar China tengah adalah 2,72, turun 0,01 WoW; indeks sentimen pembelian adalah 2,16, turun 0,01 WoW. SMM China tengah ditutup pada 23.170 yuan/ton, turun 110 yuan/ton dari hari perdagangan sebelumnya, pada diskon 310 yuan/ton terhadap kontrak 2602, turun 20 yuan/ton dari hari perdagangan sebelumnya. Selisih harga Henan-Shanghai adalah -120 yuan/ton, datar dari hari perdagangan sebelumnya.

Sisi inventaris, inventaris batangan aluminium di area konsumsi utama meningkat 4.500 ton WoW hari ini, dengan sumber utama penumpukan inventaris adalah Guangdong dan Wuxi. Dalam jangka pendek, harga aluminium tinggi mungkin terus menekan permintaan pengguna akhir, ditambah dengan dampak jeda Tahun Baru Imlek pada operasi hilir. Batangan aluminium masih menghadapi risiko penumpukan inventaris, dan premium/diskon spot diperkirakan tetap di bawah tekanan.

Pernyataan Sumber Data: Kecuali informasi yang tersedia untuk publik, semua data lainnya diproses oleh SMM berdasarkan informasi publik, komunikasi pasar, dan mengandalkan model database internal SMM. Hanya untuk referensi dan tidak menjadi rekomendasi pengambilan keputusan.

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