Overnight, LME copper opened at $10,078/mt, hitting a session low of $10,066/mt and a session high of $10,202.5/mt, and finally closed at $10,193/mt. Open interest was 340,000 lots. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE 2407 copper contract opened at 81,960 yuan/mt, surging to a session high of 82,460 yuan/mt at the beginning, then fluctuating downwards to a session low of 81,600 yuan/mt, and finally closed at 82,010 yuan/mt, up 0.34%. Trading volume was 66,000 lots and open interest was 183,000 lots. On the macro front, the US May ISM Manufacturing PMI fell to 48.7, marking the second consecutive month of decline. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta lowered US Q2 GDP growth forecast, increasing the likelihood of a US Fed rate cut later. In China, the May Caixin Manufacturing PMI rose to 51.7, the highest since July 2022, indicating an accelerated expansion in manufacturing production and operation. Copper prices were lifted by the expectations of a Fed rate cut and domestic manufacturing data. On the fundamentals, supply continued to increase, and downstream purchase appetites significantly rebounded after copper prices fell, with strong sentiment for dip buying. However, due to the inventory inflow during the weekend, the premium had minimum upward room. If copper prices hold stable, consumption is expected to continue to recover. As of June 3, SMM copper stocks in major regions increased by 5,300 mt from last Thursday to 448,800 mt, continuing to refresh the yearly high. In summary, copper prices have some support.

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