SMM Evening Comments (Mar 8): Shanghai Nonferrous Metals Closed with Losses on Enhanced Market Expectations for Rate Hikes

Telah Terbit: Mar 8, 2023 18:00
Sumber: SMM
Shanghai nonferrous metals closed with losses in day trading. On the macro front, Fed Chairman Powell’s hawkish speech triggered panic in the market. With the possibility of Fed's 50bp rate hike in March raised to 70.5%, the US dollar once again hit 105.5.

SHANGHAI, Mar 8 (SMM) - Shanghai nonferrous metals closed with losses in day trading. On the macro front, Fed Chairman Powell’s hawkish speech triggered panic in the market. With the possibility of Fed's 50bp rate hike in March raised to 70.5%, the US dollar once again hit 105.5.

SHFE copper dipped 0.98 %, aluminium slid 0.54%, lead edged down 0.49%, zinc declined 0.70%, tin shed 1.19%, and nickel lost 1.41%.

Copper: The most-traded SHFE 2304 copper closed down 0.98 % or 680 yuan/mt at 68,880 yuan/mt, with open interest down 1,710 lots to 145,772 lots.

In the spot market, the spot trades were brisk as downstream buyers were passionate about purchasing when copper prices fell below 69,000 yuan/mt. The spot premiums also enjoyed great momentum.

Aluminium: The most-traded SHFE 2304 aluminium closed down 0.54% or 100 yuan/mt at 18,540 yuan/mt, with open interest down 2,267 lots to 187,861 lots.

After aluminium smelters in Yunnan have completed production cuts, the market attention will focus more on the recovery of domestic consumption. Downstream operating rates and orders improved month-on-month, and the market is gradually entering peak season. However, inventory of aluminium ingots remained high.

Lead: The most-traded SHFE 2304 lead closed down 0.49% or 75 yuan/mt at 15,195 yuan/mt, with open interest up 2,268 lots to 63,485 lots.

SHFE lead inched lower today, and the cargo holders held firm to their prices. The secondary lead smelters were not passionate about selling amid low prices, leading to limited supplies in the spot market. Downstream enterprises mainly purchased as needed, with a few still standing on sidelines based on bearish sentiment. The spot trades improved slightly. 

Zinc: The most-traded SHFE 2304 zinc closed down 0.70% or 165 yuan/mt at 23,260 yuan/mt, with open interest down 1,463 lots to 82,392 lots.

As zinc prices dropped today, the downstream buyers were motivated to purchase on dips, but the trades were still generally made on rigid demand. The transactions improved from the previous trading day.

Tin: The most-traded SHFE 2304 tin closed down 1.19% or 2,380 yuan/mt at 197,140 yuan/mt, with open interest up 3,225 lots to 66,735 lots.

In the spot market, the quotes of smelters increased will falling futures prices. The transactions rose slightly, and the spot premiums/discounts were basically flat.

Nickel: The most-traded SHFE 2304 nickel closed down 1.41% or 2,670 yuan/mt at 186,830 yuan/mt, with open interest up 5,452 lots to 79,923 lots.

In the spot market, Jinchuan nickel was quoted in premiums of 7,000-8,500 yuan/mt, with an average of 7,750 yuan/mt, down 600 yuan/mt on a daily basis. NORNICKEL nickel was in premiums of 3,300-3,600 yuan/mt, with an average of 3,450 yuan/mt, down 200 yuan/mt. SHFE nickel still weakened, but spot transactions remained slack with falling premiums. For nickel briquette, the prices stood between 190,600-191,600 yuan/mt, down 2,800 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. 

[Disclaimer: The above representation and data is based on market information SMM believes to be reliable at the time of acquiring as well as the comprehensive assessment by SMM research team, and any and all information provided in this article is for reference only. This article does not constitute a direct recommendation for investment or any decisions in any form and clients shall act on their own discreet and any decisions made by clients are not within the responsibility of SMM.]

Pernyataan Sumber Data: Kecuali informasi yang tersedia untuk publik, semua data lainnya diproses oleh SMM berdasarkan informasi publik, komunikasi pasar, dan mengandalkan model database internal SMM. Hanya untuk referensi dan tidak menjadi rekomendasi pengambilan keputusan.

Untuk pertanyaan atau informasi lebih lanjut, silakan hubungi: lemonzhao@smm.cn
Untuk informasi lebih lanjut tentang cara mengakses laporan penelitian kami, hubungi:service.en@smm.cn
Berita Terkait
Rusia Udokan Mulai Produksi Katoda, Targetkan 150.000 Ton per Tahun Produksi Tembaga Gabungan
10 menit yang lalu
Rusia Udokan Mulai Produksi Katoda, Targetkan 150.000 Ton per Tahun Produksi Tembaga Gabungan
Baca Selengkapnya
Rusia Udokan Mulai Produksi Katoda, Targetkan 150.000 Ton per Tahun Produksi Tembaga Gabungan
Rusia Udokan Mulai Produksi Katoda, Targetkan 150.000 Ton per Tahun Produksi Tembaga Gabungan
Menurut laporan media asing, Udokan Copper Rusia mulai memproduksi katoda tembaga di pabrik hidrometalurginya di Krai Zabaykalsky, Timur Jauh Rusia, pada 2 September 2026. Katoda tersebut memiliki kemurnian tembaga 99,99%. Proyek ini mulai memproduksi konsentrat tembaga pada September 2023, dan dimulainya produksi katoda melengkapi rantai nilai terintegrasinya dari penambangan bijih hingga tembaga murni. Produksi katoda semula dijadwalkan dimulai pada kuartal II 2024. Namun, kebakaran pada Desember 2023 merusak sebagian fasilitas katoda, sementara sanksi Barat mempersulit penggantian peralatan yang terdampak. Tahap pertama proyek ini dirancang untuk memproduksi hingga 150.000 ton tembaga terkandung per tahun dalam bentuk konsentrat tembaga dan katoda, terutama untuk pasar domestik Rusia dan pasar Asia lainnya. Angka 150.000 ton tersebut merupakan gabungan keluaran tembaga terkandung dan tidak boleh ditafsirkan sebagai kapasitas katoda mandiri. Produksi katoda baru Udokan akan meningkatkan pasokan tembaga murni dari Timur Jauh Rusia, meskipun volume jangka pendek akan bergantung pada laju peningkatan produksi, logistik, dan kendala terkait sanksi. Perusahaan sebelumnya berencana menaikkan total keluaran tembaga menjadi sekitar 550.000 ton per tahun setelah tahap kedua beroperasi, tetapi jadwal proyek masih perlu dipantau.
10 menit yang lalu
Tingkat Operasi Produsen Anoda Tembaga Sekunder Tiongkok Pulih Kembali
15 menit yang lalu
Tingkat Operasi Produsen Anoda Tembaga Sekunder Tiongkok Pulih Kembali
Baca Selengkapnya
Tingkat Operasi Produsen Anoda Tembaga Sekunder Tiongkok Pulih Kembali
Tingkat Operasi Produsen Anoda Tembaga Sekunder Tiongkok Pulih Kembali
[SMM Pasar Anoda Tembaga] Selama pekan ini, beberapa produsen anoda tembaga yang terdampak topan sebelumnya kembali berproduksi. Dari 28 Agustus hingga 3 September, tingkat operasi mingguan produsen pelat anoda tembaga sekunder Tiongkok versi SMM naik 5,75 poin persentase WoW menjadi 50,40%. Pekan depan diperkirakan naik 3,69 poin persentase WoW menjadi 54,09%.
15 menit yang lalu
Perusahaan billet tembaga menahan persediaan bahan baku rendah, sementara pengurangan persediaan produk jadi menghadapi hambatan
17 menit yang lalu
Perusahaan billet tembaga menahan persediaan bahan baku rendah, sementara pengurangan persediaan produk jadi menghadapi hambatan
Baca Selengkapnya
Perusahaan billet tembaga menahan persediaan bahan baku rendah, sementara pengurangan persediaan produk jadi menghadapi hambatan
Perusahaan billet tembaga menahan persediaan bahan baku rendah, sementara pengurangan persediaan produk jadi menghadapi hambatan
[SMM Kilat Billet Kuningan] Menurut SMM, pasokan kuningan sekunder yang ketat saat ini tidak berubah, harga bahan baku stabil di level tinggi, dan margin keuntungan pemrosesan terus tertekan. Minggu ini, hari persediaan bahan baku di perusahaan sampel tercatat 3,52 hari, tetap rendah. Namun, pembeli hilir terutama melakukan pembelian tepat waktu, dengan keinginan lemah untuk mengisi stok secara proaktif, dan pengurangan persediaan produk jadi kembali terhambat. Minggu ini, hari persediaan produk jadi di perusahaan sampel tercatat 5,11 hari.
17 menit yang lalu
SMM Evening Comments (Mar 8): Shanghai Nonferrous Metals Closed with Losses on Enhanced Market Expectations for Rate Hikes - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)