Rising prices of raw materials Lithium electrification of electric light vehicles meets challenges?

Telah Terbit: Apr 18, 2022 15:21
[raw material prices rise, lithium electrification of electric light vehicles meets challenges? The transition period of the "new national standard" in many places will end in 2022-2023, and according to institutional analysis, the demand for larger replacement may begin to be released intensively from 2022, which will promote the rapid growth of demand for lithium batteries for electric bicycles. As the largest owner of electric bicycles in the world, the number of electric bicycles in China has exceeded 350 million, and the annual sales in recent years has been maintained at about 30 million.

The transition period of the "new national standard" in many places will end in 2022-2023, and according to agency analysis, the demand for larger replacement may begin to be released intensively from 2022, which will promote the rapid growth of demand for lithium batteries for electric bicycles.

As the largest owner of electric bicycles in the world, the number of electric bicycles in China has exceeded 350 million, and the annual sales in recent years has been maintained at about 30 million. However, as the transition period of the "new national standard" is coming to an end, Citic Securities analysts believe that with the increase in demand for the replacement of non-national standard cars in the next three years, there may be a "small and best part" in electric bicycle sales.

However, the market of electric light vehicles (bicycles, motorcycles and tricycles) is very sensitive to the prices of accessories and raw materials, and the cost of "lithium and lead electricity" has always been the focus of electric light vehicle companies and end-users. For car companies, they have been hoping to reduce the cost of lithium electricity, which in turn promotes the lithium battery to occupy a larger share of the electric light vehicle market.

It is worth noting that since the beginning of this year, the price of lithium raw materials has risen rapidly, and has been passed on to the mainframe factory, which has affected part of the demand of consumer terminals, and the shipment of lithium batteries from electric light vehicles has been obviously affected by periodic price increases. According to the analysis of industry insiders, the high price of raw materials is bound to have a greater impact on this year's lithium electricity shipments and market share of electric light vehicles.

Based on the advantages of lightweight, clean and environmental protection, long cycle life and long life of lithium battery, lithium electrification has become the main route of electric two-wheeled vehicles in developed countries. From an international point of view, lithium-ion battery electric bicycles have been widely used in Japan, Europe, America and other developed countries.

In addition, from the perspective of technological development trend and consumption upgrading, the intelligence of electric bicycles will be an inevitable trend, and lithium battery will be an important basis for realizing the intelligence of electric light vehicles because of its high energy density.

According to industry data, the demand for lithium battery in the electric bicycle, electric motorcycle and power exchange market is increasing year by year. It is expected that the total demand for lithium battery for electric light vehicles in China will exceed 60 GWh in 2025, when the permeability of lithium battery will exceed 45%.

Whether it is the "new national standard" or intelligent, there is an urgent demand for lithium electrification of batteries for electric bicycles. However, in the context of rising costs, the popularization and promotion of lithium electricity in the electric light vehicle market is undoubtedly a challenge that must be overcome.

September 13-14, 2021, including Yadi, Emma, Luyuan, No. 9, Xinri, Tailing, Mavericks, Hello and other domestic electric light vehicle head enterprises, Ke Neng New Energy, Yiwei Lithium Energy, Xingheng Power supply, Xinneng an, Chaowei Chuangyuan, Nandu Power supply, Fujian Mengshi and other dozens of battery and upstream materials, intelligence industry chain hundreds of enterprises gathered in Guangzhou. Participate in the "2021 International Summit on Lithium Battery Technology and applications for Light Electric vehicles" to discuss the market and technological development of lithium batteries for electric light vehicles in China, and achieved fruitful results.

The "2022 International Summit on Lithium Battery Technology and applications for Light Electric vehicles" will be held in Guangzhou from June 22 to 23, 2022. At that time, domestic and foreign mainstream electric light vehicle enterprises, battery enterprises, materials and parts industry chain enterprises will gather in Guangzhou to feel the pulse of the development of the electric light vehicle lithium battery market in China and Southeast Asia. In view of the industrial development difficulties brought about by the rise in the price of lithium battery raw materials this year. As well as the development of lightweight, intelligent and environmentally friendly electric light vehicles, they will communicate together and find ways to widely use and popularize lithium electricity.

It is reported that the 2022 sixth South China Electric vehicle Exhibition and the 2022 South China Intelligent Transportation Expo will also be held at Poly World Trade Expo in Guangzhou from June 23 to 25, 2022, based in South China, radiating the country and the world at home and abroad.

Exhibits include electric light vehicles, batteries, motors, controllers, chargers, tires, Internet of things software and hardware, industrial chain parts products, production equipment, cycling equipment and so on. The exhibition is sponsored by Guangdong Electric vehicle Chamber of Commerce, in conjunction with the Guangdong Council for the Promotion of International Trade, China Mechanical and Electrical Import and Export Chamber of Commerce and other units and organizations that can promote foreign economic and trade development, to provide a high-quality cooperation and negotiation platform for the industry to expand domestic demand and expand overseas.

Pernyataan Sumber Data: Kecuali informasi yang tersedia untuk publik, semua data lainnya diproses oleh SMM berdasarkan informasi publik, komunikasi pasar, dan mengandalkan model database internal SMM. Hanya untuk referensi dan tidak menjadi rekomendasi pengambilan keputusan.

Untuk pertanyaan atau informasi lebih lanjut, silakan hubungi: lemonzhao@smm.cn
Untuk informasi lebih lanjut tentang cara mengakses laporan penelitian kami, hubungi:service.en@smm.cn
Berita Terkait
[Indeks Peringatan Inventaris Kendaraan untuk Juli 2026 Mencapai 61,1%]
5 jam yang lalu
[Indeks Peringatan Inventaris Kendaraan untuk Juli 2026 Mencapai 61,1%]
Baca Selengkapnya
[Indeks Peringatan Inventaris Kendaraan untuk Juli 2026 Mencapai 61,1%]
[Indeks Peringatan Inventaris Kendaraan untuk Juli 2026 Mencapai 61,1%]
[Indeks Peringatan Stok Kendaraan Juli 2026 Mencapai 61,1%] Survei "Vehicle Inventory Alert Index" terbaru yang dirilis oleh Asosiasi Dealer Mobil Tiongkok menunjukkan bahwa Indeks Peringatan Stok Kendaraan (VIA) untuk dealer mobil pada Juli 2026 sebesar 61,1%, naik 3,9 poin persentase YoY dan naik 3,9 poin persentase MoM. VIA, yang dikeluarkan oleh Asosiasi Dealer Mobil Tiongkok, mencerminkan tingkat persediaan, permintaan pasar, dan risiko operasional dealer mobil di seluruh negeri. Indeks ini menggunakan angka 50% sebagai ambang batas. Angka pada Juli tetap di atas 50, yang menunjukkan bahwa tekanan persediaan pada dealer mobil melebihi tingkat peringatan industri.
5 jam yang lalu
SMM Harian Review: Spot Litium Karbonat Turun Terus pada 3 Agustus
6 jam yang lalu
SMM Harian Review: Spot Litium Karbonat Turun Terus pada 3 Agustus
Baca Selengkapnya
SMM Harian Review: Spot Litium Karbonat Turun Terus pada 3 Agustus
SMM Harian Review: Spot Litium Karbonat Turun Terus pada 3 Agustus
[Komentar Harian SMM: Harga Spot Lithium Karbonat Turun Stabil pada 3 Agustus] Harga spot SMM untuk lithium karbonat kelas baterai hari ini turun stabil dari hari kerja sebelumnya. Kontrak lithium karbonat 2609 dibuka rendah pada 137.500 yuan/mt, kemudian berfluktuasi melemah dan turun cepat, mencapai titik terendah 135.600 yuan/mt; selanjutnya, bulls masuk mendorong harga hingga rebound yang fluktuatif, dan sesi pagi mengalami fluktuasi di sekitar garis harga rata-rata; menjelang tengah hari, bulls mengkonsentrasikan kekuatannya, harga dengan cepat melonjak melewati 140.000 yuan/mt dan melesat ke 140.800 yuan/mt; pada sore hari, dihadapkan pada tekanan jual bearish dan aksi ambil untung, harga terkonsolidasi dan mundur, dan menjelang penutupan, bergerak sideways di kisaran 138.800-139.000 yuan, akhirnya ditutup turun 1,15% di 138.900 yuan/mt, dengan open interest turun 3.474 lot. Di pasar spot, bertepatan dengan hari kerja pertama bulan ini, pabrik material hilir secara bertahap menerima pengiriman kontrak jangka panjang dan pasokan pelanggan. Pembelian pesanan spot berhati-hati, hanya membeli sesuai kebutuhan saat harga relatif rendah; pabrik kimia lithium hulu terus mempertahankan harga spot dengan kuat, terutama mengandalkan kontrak jangka panjang dan volume kontrak tambahan untuk memastikan pasokan di awal bulan. Secara keseluruhan, permintaan informasi pasar dan aktivitas transaksi aktual menurun.
6 jam yang lalu
[Otomotif: FAW Jiefang, CATL, dan Tgood Bersama Mendirikan Jiefang Times]
9 jam yang lalu
[Otomotif: FAW Jiefang, CATL, dan Tgood Bersama Mendirikan Jiefang Times]
Baca Selengkapnya
[Otomotif: FAW Jiefang, CATL, dan Tgood Bersama Mendirikan Jiefang Times]
[Otomotif: FAW Jiefang, CATL, dan Tgood Bersama Mendirikan Jiefang Times]
Baru-baru ini, proyek kantor pusat nasional Jiefang Times New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. secara resmi didirikan di Kawasan Perdagangan Bebas Pelabuhan Tianjin. Sebagai platform inovatif yang diciptakan bersama oleh tiga raksasa industri—FAW Jiefang, CATL, dan Tgood—untuk layanan siklus hidup penuh kendaraan komersial energi baru, Jiefang Times akan menggunakan Tianjin sebagai pusat strategisnya untuk mempercepat transformasi mendalam industri kendaraan komersial menuju pengembangan yang ramah lingkungan, listrik, dan cerdas. Bersamaan dengan pendirian kantor pusat, ekspansi bisnis Jiefang Times juga berjalan dengan cepat. Perusahaan ini menargetkan untuk mencapai total aset melebihi 5 miliar yuan dan pendapatan operasional mencapai 1 miliar yuan pada tahun 2026, yang menjadi pilar utama bagi bisnis penyewaan kendaraan komersial energi baru FAW Jiefang.
9 jam yang lalu
Rising prices of raw materials Lithium electrification of electric light vehicles meets challenges? - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)