SMM Evening Comments (Mar 20): Shanghai base metals rebounded across the board on hopes of stimulus

Telah Terbit: Mar 20, 2020 19:01
SHFE nonferrous metals went higher across the board on Friday, recovering from the heavy losses in the prior two sessions, as investors hoped that more stimulus from governments and central banks will shield the world economy from the rapid spread of the coronavirus. Zinc led the increases with a rise of 4.22%. Copper advanced 2.45%, aluminum gained 0.46%, lead added 3.38%, tin increased 3.31%, and nickel expanded 2.95%.

SHANGHAI, Mar 20 (SMM) – SHFE nonferrous metals went higher across the board on Friday, recovering from the heavy losses in the prior two sessions, as investors hoped that more stimulus from governments and central banks will shield the world economy from the rapid spread of the coronavirus. 


Zinc led the increases with a rise of 4.22%. Copper advanced 2.45%, aluminum gained 0.46%, lead added 3.38%, tin increased 3.31%, and nickel expanded 2.95%. 


The ferrous complex closed mixed as iron ore gained 0.53%, rebar rose 0.64%, stainless steel grew 1.01%, while hot-rolled coil shed 0.09%, and coke lost 0.25%. 


The European Central Bank on Thursday launched a program to inject money into credit markets, and the US Federal Reserve has unveiled measures to support money-market funds and the borrowing of dollars. 


The SHFE has suspended night trading session until further notice.


Copper: The most-liquid SHFE May contract ended a four-day losing streak and rebounded to a session high of 39,100 yuan/mt, before it ended up 2.45% higher on the day at 38,910 yuan/mt. Investors covered their short positions, which reduced open interests of the contract by 8,844 lots to 110,000 lots. However, uncertainty about the size and duration of the COVID-19 impact may unlikely to sustain the price rally. The SHFE May contract is expected to test support from 38,000 yuan/mt. 


Aluminium: The most-active SHFE contract came off after climbed to a session high of 12,165 yuan/mt, stabilising around 11,935 yuan/mt and closed the day 0.46% higher at 11,995 yuan/mt. Amid high inventories and sluggish demand, weak fundamentals may cap any upside room of near-term aluminium prices. 


Zinc: The most-liquid SHFE May contract returned above 15,000 yuan/mt on improved market sentiment and closed 4.22% higher on the day at 15,055 yuan/mt. Domestic social inventories of zinc shrank this week, marking the first weekly decline after the Chinese New Year holiday, as reduced zinc prices encouraged downstream consumers to step up stockpiling. This also dampened morales of bearish positions. 


Nickel: The most-liquid SHFE June contract rose on short-covering, as it climbed to a session high of 96,660 yuan/mt and closed at 95,850 yuan/mt, 2.95% higher on the day. Pressure above from 96,000 yuan/mt will be monitored in the short term. 


Lead: The most-active SHFE May contract consolidated above the daily moving average with an intraday high of 13,410 yuan/mt, and finished the day 3.38% higher at 13,310 yuan/mt. Fundamentals and a rebound in LME lead supported the prices. The impact of virus development during this weekend will be closely watched. 


Tin: The most-traded SHFE June contract recovered as investors loaded up their long positions. It rose to an intraday high of 115,200 yuan/mt and pared some gains to close at 114,450 yuan/mt, up 3.31% on the day. However, it remained below all moving averages and resistance is seen from 118,000 yuan/mt.  

 

Pernyataan Sumber Data: Kecuali informasi yang tersedia untuk publik, semua data lainnya diproses oleh SMM berdasarkan informasi publik, komunikasi pasar, dan mengandalkan model database internal SMM. Hanya untuk referensi dan tidak menjadi rekomendasi pengambilan keputusan.

Untuk pertanyaan atau informasi lebih lanjut, silakan hubungi: lemonzhao@smm.cn
Untuk informasi lebih lanjut tentang cara mengakses laporan penelitian kami, hubungi:service.en@smm.cn
Berita Terkait
Pejabat The Fed Berselisih Secara Terbuka soal Langkah Kebijakan Moneter Selanjutnya di Tengah Kekhawatiran Inflasi
4 jam yang lalu
Pejabat The Fed Berselisih Secara Terbuka soal Langkah Kebijakan Moneter Selanjutnya di Tengah Kekhawatiran Inflasi
Baca Selengkapnya
Pejabat The Fed Berselisih Secara Terbuka soal Langkah Kebijakan Moneter Selanjutnya di Tengah Kekhawatiran Inflasi
Pejabat The Fed Berselisih Secara Terbuka soal Langkah Kebijakan Moneter Selanjutnya di Tengah Kekhawatiran Inflasi
Perbedaan pandangan di dalam Federal Reserve AS mengenai arah kebijakan moneter berikutnya semakin terbuka. Presiden Federal Reserve Richmond Barkin pada Kamis memaparkan alasan untuk mempertahankan suku bunga tetap, seraya memperingatkan risiko inflasi yang persisten; Presiden Federal Reserve Cleveland Hammack kembali menegaskan seruannya untuk menaikkan suku bunga, melanjutkan perbedaan pendapat yang ia sampaikan pada rapat kebijakan Juli.
4 jam yang lalu
Jilongshan Gold Mining Luncurkan Proyek Verifikasi Cadangan 4 Bulan, Target Tambah 2,4 Juta Ton Bijih dan 2 Ton Emas
4 jam yang lalu
Jilongshan Gold Mining Luncurkan Proyek Verifikasi Cadangan 4 Bulan, Target Tambah 2,4 Juta Ton Bijih dan 2 Ton Emas
Baca Selengkapnya
Jilongshan Gold Mining Luncurkan Proyek Verifikasi Cadangan 4 Bulan, Target Tambah 2,4 Juta Ton Bijih dan 2 Ton Emas
Jilongshan Gold Mining Luncurkan Proyek Verifikasi Cadangan 4 Bulan, Target Tambah 2,4 Juta Ton Bijih dan 2 Ton Emas
Proyek eksplorasi verifikasi cadangan Hubei Jilongshan Gold Mining Co., Ltd. resmi dimulai, menandai peralihan proyek dari tahap perencanaan, pengambilan keputusan, dan validasi desain ke tahap konstruksi substantif. Program eksplorasi ini akan berlangsung selama empat bulan, dengan pekerjaan pengeboran inti direncanakan menyelesaikan 32 lubang bor dengan total pemboran 11.000 m dalam waktu dua bulan. Menurut perkiraan awal, proyek ini diperkirakan akan menambah 2,4 juta ton bijih, 2 ton kandungan logam emas, dan 4.500 ton kandungan logam tembaga.
4 jam yang lalu
Proyek Tambang Tembaga El Teniente Codelco Dilanjutkan, Menargetkan Produksi 2029 di Tengah Risiko Seismik
4 jam yang lalu
Proyek Tambang Tembaga El Teniente Codelco Dilanjutkan, Menargetkan Produksi 2029 di Tengah Risiko Seismik
Baca Selengkapnya
Proyek Tambang Tembaga El Teniente Codelco Dilanjutkan, Menargetkan Produksi 2029 di Tengah Risiko Seismik
Proyek Tambang Tembaga El Teniente Codelco Dilanjutkan, Menargetkan Produksi 2029 di Tengah Risiko Seismik
Eksekutif Codelco Gustavo Reyes mengatakan proyek tambang tembaga El Teniente yang terhenti diperkirakan akan mulai berproduksi pada 2029. Pada 4 Agustus, Codelco mengatakan telah menangguhkan proyek tersebut, yang bertujuan mengembangkan area Andes Norte dari tambang bawah tanah raksasa itu. Sebelumnya, studi terbaru menunjukkan tambang tersebut menghadapi risiko seismik yang lebih tinggi dari perkiraan awal.
4 jam yang lalu