Bulls Watch Out: Aluminum Stocks in China Exceed 1.5 Million Tonnes, SMM Warns 

Published: Aug 25, 2017 18:21
Aluminum stocks in China’s seven major markets have added another 57,000 tonnes week-on-week to 1.53 million tonnes this week, SMM data showed.

SHANGHAI, Aug. 25 (SMM) – Aluminum stocks in China’s seven major markets have added another 57,000 tonnes week-on-week to 1.53 million tonnes this week, SMM data showed.

Oversupply Persists in East China Aluminum Market, SMM Reports

Consumption falls faster than supply, leading to the big growth, SMM explained. 

In the face of off-season and high aluminum prices, downstream producers choose to buy as needed or work through stocks on hand. Some processors have halted production as a result of environmental policy, further hurting aluminum demand. Aluminum processors cut exports after the SHFE/LME aluminum price ratio rose. 

Soaring Aluminum Prices Force Some Processors to Suspend Production, SMM Survey

Aluminum stocks should rise at a slower pace or even begin to fall with arrival of high-demand season in September. However, whether aluminum market will enter significant de-stocking will depend on both supply and consumption, SMM noted.

Supply side reform and environmental crackdowns also affect downstream sectors, which will hurt aluminum consumption.

To sum up, growing stocks and weak consumption will put pressure on market prices, SMM warns.  

For news cooperation, please contact us by email: sallyzhang@smm.cn or service.en@smm.cn.
 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Aluminum Prices Stay High, Downstream Price Acceptance Remains Weak [SMM Spot Aluminum Midday Review]
4 mins ago
Aluminum Prices Stay High, Downstream Price Acceptance Remains Weak [SMM Spot Aluminum Midday Review]
Read More
Aluminum Prices Stay High, Downstream Price Acceptance Remains Weak [SMM Spot Aluminum Midday Review]
Aluminum Prices Stay High, Downstream Price Acceptance Remains Weak [SMM Spot Aluminum Midday Review]
4 mins ago
Aluminum Alloy 2606 Futures Decline, Spot Prices Stable Amid Weak Demand
1 hour ago
Aluminum Alloy 2606 Futures Decline, Spot Prices Stable Amid Weak Demand
Read More
Aluminum Alloy 2606 Futures Decline, Spot Prices Stable Amid Weak Demand
Aluminum Alloy 2606 Futures Decline, Spot Prices Stable Amid Weak Demand
[SMM Aluminum Alloy Daily Review] Futures side, the most-traded aluminum alloy 2606 contract opened at 24,140 yuan/mt today, rose to a high of 24,245 yuan/mt during the session before weakening, hitting a low of 23,935 yuan/mt, and finally closed at 24,040 yuan/mt, down 115 yuan/mt from the previous close, a decline of 0.48%. Spot side, ADC12 market prices remained largely stable today. The upward momentum in primary aluminum prices slowed, weakening cost-side drivers. Meanwhile, downstream demand remained persistently weak, with purchases mainly driven by rigid demand. Against the backdrop of ample low-priced supply and intensifying price competition, enterprises generally lacked the motivation to raise their quoted prices. However, purchase activities by futures-spot traders provided som
1 hour ago
Domestic Port Bauxite Inventory Down by 90,000 mt
2 hours ago
Domestic Port Bauxite Inventory Down by 90,000 mt
Read More
Domestic Port Bauxite Inventory Down by 90,000 mt
Domestic Port Bauxite Inventory Down by 90,000 mt
【SMM Port Inventory of Imported Bauxite】According to SMM's statistics on April 17, the total bauxite inventory at ten domestic ports decreased by 90,000 mt from the previous week.
2 hours ago