Renewed Threat of U.S.-Iran War, Aluminum Prices Fluctuate at Highs [SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Minutes]
[Middle East Geopolitical Risks Cool Down, Aluminum Prices Under Pressure in the Short Term] On the macro front, US President Trump once again signaled readiness for war against Iran, claiming military action was prepared, while Iran issued a tough warning that it would "open a new front." Geopolitical conflict risks escalated again, with market risk-aversion sentiment pushing up risk premiums. China's inventory at high levels remains the core factor suppressing significant price rallies. Additionally, weak spot market transactions further limited the upside room for aluminum prices. In the short term, aluminum prices are expected to continue the pattern where the overseas market outperforms the domestic market, fluctuating at highs.