L'atmosphère du marché est calme, avec un ratio de prix SHFE/LME défavorable qui renforce l'attentisme [SMM cuivre spot de Yangshan]

[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Tomorrow, due to the impact of typhoon weather, cargo pick-up and transportation at some warehouses in east China will be restricted, and short-term cargo circulation efficiency will decline, providing some support to the spot market. However, trading was sluggish during the day. Affected by weather factors and high copper prices, downstream purchase willingness declined significantly, and purchases were mostly based on rigid demand. Some processing enterprises in Zhejiang reduced their cargo pick-up arrangements to Shanghai due to traffic restrictions, providing limited support from the demand side. On the inventory front, SMM recorded Shanghai social inventory at 78,300 mt, up 2,200 mt WoW from last Thursday; Jiangsu social inventory at 18,100 mt, down 2,400 mt WoW from last Thursday. Overall inventory changes in east China were limited, without reflecting significant supply pressure. Meanwhile, the backwardation spread between contracts widened to 240-310 yuan/mt. The spread between spot and futures widened, and some suppliers' need to roll positions and convert to cash increased, which may exert some pressure on spot premiums. Overall, with the combined effects of typhoon weather disrupting cargo circulation, the widening backwardation structure, and sluggish trading, it is expected that Shanghai spot copper against the 2608 contract will still maintain premiums tomorrow, but the overall center may fluctuate slightly. Attention should be paid to cargo pick-up and supply circulation at warehouses after the weather improves.