[SMM Weekly Review] Diverging Downstream Demand Dragged on Market, Cobalt Salt Weakened, Raw Material Categories Remained Stable

Published: May 28, 2026 18:05

Refined Cobalt:

Spot refined cobalt remained generally stable this week, with prices slightly under pressure. At the month-end stage, mainstream smelters largely completed their sales targets, keeping offers steady. Traders' spot-futures price spread ranged from parity to a premium of 8,000-10,000 yuan/mt. Downstream alloy and magnetic material enterprises continued purchasing as needed, with no relaxation in raw material inventory controls. The metal price spread between refined cobalt and lower-priced cobalt salts has largely narrowed to parity, dampening industry willingness for reverse dissolution production. The market is expected to remain range-bound in the short term, and upward price movement still depends on a boost from the cobalt salt market.

Cobalt Intermediate Products:

Cobalt intermediate product prices continued to hold steady this week. The supply side maintained a strong bullish sentiment, with offers firmly around $26/lb. Constrained by the sluggish cobalt salt market, downstream smelters remained cautious in procurement, making only just-in-time procurement, with some non-standard cargoes transacted at $25/lb. Currently, Q1 2026 quotas are still subject to slow approval progress due to cumbersome procedures; coupled with tight logistics capacity in the DRC, cobalt raw material transportation has lower priority, and the arrival of large shipments at ports continues to be delayed. Short-term demand support remains weak, and prices are likely to continue trading sideways; a subsequent strengthening of the market still depends on downstream demand recovery and cobalt salt price repair.

Cobalt Sulphate:

Spot cobalt sulphate prices continued to weaken this week. On the supply side, mainstream brand offers pulled back to 91,000-95,000 yuan/mt, with some smelters and traders cutting prices for shipments under capital turnover pressure, and low-priced cargoes in the market falling to 87,000-88,000 yuan/mt. On the demand side, destocking remained the dominant theme, with a sluggish purchasing atmosphere and only sporadic just-in-time procurement. Downstream industry trends diverged: LCO enterprises saw production schedules fall short of expectations, compounded by slow order placement, resulting in strong wait-and-see sentiment; ternary precursor enterprises saw improving production schedules, with purchase willingness gradually rebounding. Short-term prices are likely to remain in the doldrums, and market recovery still awaits the release of concentrated restocking demand from downstream.


SMM New Energy Research Team

Wang Cong 021-51666838

Ma Rui 021-51595780

Feng Disheng 021-51666714

Lv Yanlin 021-20707875

Xiao Wenhao 021-51666872

Zhang Haohan 021-51666752

Wang Zihan 021-51666914

Wang Jie 021-51595902

Xu Yang 021-51666760

Yang Lianting 021-51595835

Wang Zhaoyu 021-51666827

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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