[SMM Sheets & Plates Daily Review] Futures Prices Maintain Fluctuating Trend, Attention on Raw Material Price Changes

Published: Apr 8, 2026 17:29
HRC futures first dipped then rallied today. The most-traded contract closed at 3,282, up 0.06% WoW. Spot market side, market quotations showed mixed performance, with overall trading activity being relatively lackluster, though transactions at lower prices were moderate. In terms of supply, the impact from maintenance on hot-rolled production was 106,400 mt this week, down 88,800 mt WoW. Next week, the impact from maintenance on hot-rolled production is expected to be 11.7 mt, up 10,600 mt WoW, with overall supply still on an increasing trend. Demand side, end-user purchasing enthusiasm was unlikely to exceed expectations, with most purchases being need-based at lower prices. Inventory side, mainstream city inventory data was released today. Performance varied across markets, but overall destocking outpaced inventory buildup, and the overall destocking trend is likely to continue. Looking ahead, the US-Iran conflict reportedly entered the final stage of detail finalisation today. Attention should be paid to the impact of subsequent international disruptions on the raw material side. Meanwhile, the conclusion of the US-Iran conflict may boost market confidence in exports. In the short term, the most-traded HRC futures contract is expected to maintain a fluctuating trend of moving sideways.

​HRC futures first declined then rebounded today, with the most-traded contract closing at 3,282, up 0.06% WoW. Spot market side, market quotations showed mixed performance, overall market transactions were relatively lackluster, though low-price transactions were moderate. In terms of supply, the impact from maintenance on hot-rolled production was 106,400 mt this week, down 88,800 mt WoW, and next week's hot-rolled maintenance impact is expected to be 11.7 mt, up 10,600 mt WoW, with overall supply still on an increasing trend. Demand side, end-user purchase enthusiasm was unlikely to exceed expectations, with most purchases made on demand at low prices. Inventory side, mainstream city inventory data was released today, with varied performance across markets, but overall destocking exceeded inventory buildup, and the overall destocking trend is likely to continue. Looking ahead, the US-Iran conflict reportedly entered the final stage of detail finalisation today. Attention should be paid to the impact of subsequent international disruptions on the raw material side. Meanwhile, the resolution of the US-Iran conflict may boost market confidence in the export side. In the short term, the most-traded HRC futures contract is expected to maintain a fluctuating trend of moving sideways.

 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
[SMM Steel] MMK Metalurji halts output in Turkey amid wage dispute
2 hours ago
[SMM Steel] MMK Metalurji halts output in Turkey amid wage dispute
Read More
[SMM Steel] MMK Metalurji halts output in Turkey amid wage dispute
[SMM Steel] MMK Metalurji halts output in Turkey amid wage dispute
[SMM Steel] MMK Metalurji, a subsidiary of Magnitogorsk Iron and Steel Works, has suspended production at facilities in Kocaeli and Iskenderun following worker strikes over delayed wage payments. Employees halted operations after agreed salary increases were not reflected in payrolls. Negotiations are ongoing, with the disruption potentially impacting Turkey’s flat steel supply.
2 hours ago
SMM Steel] EU sets CBAM certificate price at €75.36/t CO₂ for Q1 2026
2 hours ago
SMM Steel] EU sets CBAM certificate price at €75.36/t CO₂ for Q1 2026
Read More
SMM Steel] EU sets CBAM certificate price at €75.36/t CO₂ for Q1 2026
SMM Steel] EU sets CBAM certificate price at €75.36/t CO₂ for Q1 2026
[SMM Steel] The European Commission set the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism certificate reference price for Q1 2026 at €75.36/t CO₂, providing the first cost benchmark for importers. Certificates for 2026 imports must be purchased from February 2027, with pricing based on quarterly EU Emissions Trading System averages, shifting to weekly rates from 2027. Ahead of the announcement, the European Steel Association called for expanding CBAM scope, closing loopholes, and accelerating decarbonization support.
2 hours ago
[SMM Steel] Steel market outlook improves amid policy support and tighter supply
2 hours ago
[SMM Steel] Steel market outlook improves amid policy support and tighter supply
Read More
[SMM Steel] Steel market outlook improves amid policy support and tighter supply
[SMM Steel] Steel market outlook improves amid policy support and tighter supply
[SMM Steel] Price increases by Hoa Phat Group and Formosa Ha Tinh Steel, alongside Vietnam’s 27.83% anti-circumvention duty on Chinese HRC, have supported regional sentiment. Meanwhile, Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act tariff adjustment reduced duties on derivative products to 25%, while core tariffs remained 50%. Combined with China’s capacity control policies and higher raw material costs linked to Middle East tensions, supply is tightening, leading market participants to expect a gradually improving steel market outlook.
2 hours ago
Register to Continue Reading
Gain access to the latest insights in metals and new energy
Already have an account?sign in here