China Inventory Continued to Increase, SHFE Zinc Fluctuated Downward [SMM Zinc Morning Comment]

SMM News, March 17:

Overnight, LME zinc opened at $3,297.5/mt. At the start of the session, bears added to positions, and the center of LME zinc moved lower, fluctuating downward throughout the session and hitting a low of $3,255/mt during European trading hours. It then rebounded. Trading was suspended for about three hours due to technical issues. After reopening, LME zinc touched a high of $3,306.5/mt, then the center moved lower again, and it finally closed down at $3,279/mt, down $14.5/mt, or 0.44%. Trading volume increased to 7,502 lots, and open interest rose by 2,947 lots to 218,000 lots. Overnight, LME zinc posted a small bearish candlestick. Geopolitical issues continued to cause significant disruptions, and the market remained cautious. Expectations for interest rate cuts were still weak, and the US dollar continued to weigh on base metals. The center of LME zinc edged lower, and it is expected to fluctuate primarily today.

Overnight, the most-traded SHFE zinc 2604 contract opened at 23,930 yuan/mt. At the start of the session, SHFE zinc briefly rose to a high of 23,970 yuan/mt, then bulls reduced positions, and the center of SHFE zinc moved lower, remaining in the doldrums. During the session, it touched a low of 23,820 yuan/mt, and finally closed down at 23,880 yuan/mt, down 25 yuan/mt, or 0.1%. Trading volume fell to 29,661 lots, and open interest decreased by 531 lots to 76,786 lots. Overnight, SHFE zinc posted a small bearish candlestick. Macro sentiment was weak, China zinc ingot inventory was still building up to a high level in recent years, supply pressure remained heavy, and consumption recovery fell short of expectations. The center of SHFE zinc moved lower, and SHFE zinc is expected to fluctuate primarily.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data was processed and derived by SMM based on public information, market communication, and SMM's internal database models, and is for reference only and does not constitute decision-making advice.