Trump Cancels Iran Strike; U.S.-Iran Deal Nears Finalization, Expected to Be Signed in Europe This Weekend

[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Looking ahead to tomorrow, SHFE copper prices are expected to rise intraday and remain at a relatively high level. Coupled with the futures contract rollover, trading activity is likely to be muted, reflecting that the current price level is significantly suppressing real demand. After the rollover, the market will officially price around the 2607 contract, and close attention should be paid to the outflow of unmatched warrants. However, open interest for the SHFE copper 2606 contract currently stands at approximately 5,500 lots, indicating limited delivery participation. The concentrated release of warrants is therefore expected to exert relatively limited additional pressure on spot discounts. Supported by delivery-related dynamics, Shanghai spot copper discounts did not see a sharp decline. But if copper prices remain at current highs and demand fails to improve effectively, spot premiums may come under downward pressure.

Today, the MLCC concept sector was active once again. In terms of news, according to the Hubei Jiangcheng Laboratory, the lab recently made a major breakthrough in key capacitor technology, successfully developing a three-dimensional multilayer on-chip capacitor with a capacitance density exceeding 1,000 nanofarads per square millimeter. The AI wave is driving the volume growth of high-end MLCCs, and high-end MLCC ceramic powders are expected to see increases in both volume and price. A research report from Zhongtai Securities stated that due to the complex power supply architecture and increasing GPU power consumption of AI servers, the number of MLCCs used per rack has surged from around 2,000 in traditional servers to hundreds of thousands.