[China's Crude Steel Production at 83.63 Million mt in April]

[SMM Hot-Rolled Coil Daily Trading] On May 18, the combined daily trading volume of hot-rolled coil from SMM's sample enterprises across four cities (Shanghai, Lecong, Tianjin, and Ningbo) totaled 13,070 mt, down 610 mt DoD (-4.5%), up 12.00% YoY (solar calendar), and up 22.84% YoY (lunar calendar).

[SMM Steel] The European Commission released a draft regulation clarifying how importers can deduct carbon costs already paid in third countries from CBAM certificate obligations. The draft outlines detailed rules covering carbon price calculation methods, verification procedures, supporting documents, and supply chain traceability requirements. Under the proposal, companies can offset carbon taxes, carbon fees, or ETS costs paid in the production country only if the costs are directly linked to product emissions, exclude government subsidies or rebates, and are supported by transparent and verifiable emissions data. The regulation is expected to become a key supporting framework for CBAM’s full operational phase.

The most-traded HRC contract fluctuated downward today, closing at 3,429 at the end of the session, down 1.04% intraday. HRC spot prices dropped 10-20 yuan/mt today. In terms of supply, some rolling lines resumed production after maintenance this week, and HRC production edged up WoW, but the pressure remained moderate. Demand side, spot transactions were lackluster today. As futures pulled back, demand from futures-spot arbitrage and speculation weakened, with the market dominated by low-price purchases. Cost side, iron ore was in a pattern of strong supply and demand, while coking coal and coke performed on the weaker side, and cost support remained weak. Looking ahead, the supply-demand imbalance in HRC was relatively small, but caution was still needed in the short term .....