Surging Copper Prices Suppress Consumption, Northern Copper Cathode Premiums Under Pressure

Today, #1 copper cathode spot prices in North China against the front-month contract were reported at an average discount of 250 yuan/mt to a discount of 170 yuan/mt, with the average discount of 210 yuan/mt down 20 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. The average transaction price was 108,325 yuan/mt, up 1,790 yuan/mt from the previous trading day.

[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Looking ahead to tomorrow, copper prices continue to fluctuate at highs, and downstream purchasing sentiment remains subdued. Both buying and selling sentiment pulled back during the day, with spot discounts continuing to widen. According to SMM, downstream orders continued to decline from the previous day, with procurement driven mainly by rigid demand and limited willingness to chase higher prices. In terms of market structure, the inter-month Contango price spread between futures contracts remained in the range of 90-20 yuan/mt. As the 05 contract delivery date approaches, suppliers are increasingly willing to ship to delivery warehouse, and the delivery logic is expected to provide bottom support for spot discounts, limiting further significant downside. Overall, Shanghai spot copper prices against the SHFE copper 2605 contract are expected to remain at a discount tomorrow, with a generally weak tone but limited downside room.