[SMM PV] Guotai Haitong: PV Entering a New Phase of High-Quality Development, Sector Allocation Opportunities Deserve Attention

GlobalData analysts report that solar energy is now the dominant driver of Egypt’s power sector. The shift is accelerated by aggressive tariff reforms, including an August 2024 price hike of up to 46% for commercial users and 40% for residents. These increases have significantly enhanced the economics of self-generation for energy-intensive industries, factories, and resorts. While utility-scale projects are expected to maintain over 60% market share, the C&I segment is rapidly gaining momentum, with the two segments combined projected to represent 98–99% of Egypt's total solar market in the coming years.

Scatec signed an agreement with the National Bank of Egypt (NBE) for a 20% equity stake in the 1.1 GW Obelisk solar-plus-storage project. This $590 million hybrid development features 1.1 GW of PV and 200 MWh of storage. The ownership now split includes Scatec (40%), NBE (20%), EDF (20%), and Norfund (20%). Simultaneously, AMEA Power’s $700 million Abydos project (1 GW PV + 600 MWh BESS) remains on track for a June 2026 commissioning, reinforcing Egypt's position as a hub for large-scale hybrid renewable assets.

Egyptian company Kemet recently finalized three landmark agreements with Chinese partners to localize solar manufacturing. The deal includes a $500 million integrated complex for 5 GW of solar cells and modules, a 5 GWh BESS factory ($200M investment), and the establishment of Egypt’s first-ever solar inverter plant. These initiatives, alongside the 2 GW ATUM Solar complex currently under construction, aim to reduce import dependency and support Egypt’s goal of reaching 42% renewable energy by 2030 through a robust domestic supply chain.