Sheng Raises 2026 Copper Price Forecast to $12,200/mt, H2 2027 to $12,000

[SMM Shanghai spot copper] During the day, copper prices pulled back, falling to around 104,800 yuan/mt, but remained at a relatively high level. Under the pressure of high copper prices, Shanghai spot copper trading was thin, and premiums widened slightly. Suppliers in Shanghai lowered their offers from a premium of 20 yuan/mt to parity, but transactions remained difficult. Available cargoes in Changzhou were tight, and some deals were done at a premium of 20 yuan/mt.

Surge Copper has released a prefeasibility study (PFS) for its Berg copper-molybdenum project in British Columbia, Canada. The study estimates a post-tax net present value (NPV) of C$4.6 billion at an 8% discount rate, more than double the C$2.1 billion outlined in the 2023 preliminary economic assessment (PEA). The project's internal rate of return (IRR) increased to 24%, while total copper production over the 28-year mine life is expected to reach 4.9 billion pounds, up 32% from the previous study. Initial capital costs are estimated at C$4.7 billion. The company said Berg is emerging as one of Canada's largest undeveloped copper projects and will continue advancing environmental assessments and development planning.

SMM Morning Meeting Minutes: Overnight, LME copper opened at $13,744/mt, dipped to $13,725/mt shortly after the opening, then its price center fluctuated upward to touch $13,822.5/mt, followed by wild swings and finally closed at $13,796.5/mt, up 0.61%. Trading volume reached 16,600 lots, open interest stood at 263,000 lots, a decrease of 3,509 lots from the previous trading day, manifested as bearish position reduction. Overnight, the most-traded SHFE copper 2607 contract opened at 105,490 yuan/mt, hitting a high of 105,700 yuan/mt right after the opening, then its price center fluctuated downward all the way, touching a low of 105,060 yuan/mt near the end of trading, and finally closed at 105,210 yuan/mt, down 0.14%. Trading volume reached 25,000 lots, open interest stood at 147,000 lots, a decrease of 1,715 lots from the previous trading day, manifested as bullish position reduction.