Decline in terminal production spreads: How is silver nitrate production expected to perform in June, following a decline in late May? [SMM Analysis]

Published: May 29, 2025 19:46
According to SMM, since mid-May, with the end of the domestic PV installation rush and poor order performance, the operating rate of silver nitrate production has declined. In May, silver nitrate production fell by 17% MoM. Entering June, the pessimistic outlook for orders in the PV sector remains unchanged, and silver nitrate enterprises have no short-term expectations of recovery. Some enterprises are still maintaining an operating rate of less than 50%, and silver nitrate production in June is expected to remain flat or decline slightly compared to May.

According to SMM, the performance of downstream consumer orders for silver nitrate enterprises was moderate in early May. However, since mid-May, with the end of the domestic PV installation rush, the operating rate of silver nitrate production has declined amid poor order performance. In May, silver nitrate production fell by 17% MoM. Entering June, with the pessimistic outlook for PV sector orders remaining unchanged, silver nitrate enterprises have no short-term expectations of recovery. Some enterprises still maintain an operating rate of less than 50%, and it is expected that silver nitrate production in June will remain flat or decline slightly compared to May.

 

In addition, while downstream consumption weakened in May, silver prices hovered at highs. To maintain production and operations, some enterprises reduced the processing fees for silver nitrate to expand the market. However, a few enterprises still expressed their reluctance to compete by cutting processing fees, despite the decline in orders. They have no plans to adjust prices in June and expect to maintain relatively high processing fee quotes of 25-30 yuan/kg. Affected by changes in macro risk appetite, the popularity of precious metals cooled briefly in May, and some enterprises took advantage of low prices to alleviate financial pressure. In June, silver prices have not yet broken out of the volatile range. Silver nitrate enterprises are significantly more concerned about fluctuations in silver prices than changes in processing fees. However, due to the decline in total downstream orders, silver nitrate enterprises have low enthusiasm for stockpiling, and there is a strong wait-and-see sentiment in the market.

》Check SMM's spot quotes for precious metals

 

 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Commerzbank is not giving up on metals, sees $4,800/oz gold, $80/oz silver by year-end
Jun 8, 2026 13:40
Commerzbank is not giving up on metals, sees $4,800/oz gold, $80/oz silver by year-end
Read More
Commerzbank is not giving up on metals, sees $4,800/oz gold, $80/oz silver by year-end
Commerzbank is not giving up on metals, sees $4,800/oz gold, $80/oz silver by year-end
Jun 8, 2026 13:40
Strong U.S. Jobs Data Boosts Dollar, Yields; Silver Slides Below $70/oz
Jun 8, 2026 09:10
Strong U.S. Jobs Data Boosts Dollar, Yields; Silver Slides Below $70/oz
Read More
Strong U.S. Jobs Data Boosts Dollar, Yields; Silver Slides Below $70/oz
Strong U.S. Jobs Data Boosts Dollar, Yields; Silver Slides Below $70/oz
[SMM Silver Express] U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by 172,000 in May, exceeding market expectations, while payroll gains for March and April were revised upward by a combined 93,000. Following the data release, the U.S. Dollar Index climbed above the 100 mark and the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to 4.52%, as expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts weakened. Meanwhile, U.S. technology and AI-related stocks broadly declined, with semiconductor shares leading losses and risk assets coming under pressure. Against the backdrop of a stronger U.S. dollar, higher Treasury yields, and weaker market risk appetite, precious metals experienced broad-based selling. Spot silver fell below the US$70/oz level during the session and ultimately closed down 8.11% at US$67.88/oz.
Jun 8, 2026 09:10
Fed Appoints Hawkish Advisors, Intensifying Rate Hike Expectations and Pressuring Precious Metals
Jun 3, 2026 09:46
Fed Appoints Hawkish Advisors, Intensifying Rate Hike Expectations and Pressuring Precious Metals
Read More
Fed Appoints Hawkish Advisors, Intensifying Rate Hike Expectations and Pressuring Precious Metals
Fed Appoints Hawkish Advisors, Intensifying Rate Hike Expectations and Pressuring Precious Metals
[SMM Precious Metal Express] Fed Chairman Warsh appointed two conservative advisors, reinforcing hawkish bias. Fed official Hammack stated that action may be needed soon to address high inflation. Market expectations for a rate hike this year have further intensified, putting near-term pressure on precious metal prices.
Jun 3, 2026 09:46
Decline in terminal production spreads: How is silver nitrate production expected to perform in June, following a decline in late May? [SMM Analysis] - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)