HRC Futures Decline Amid Strong Supply-Demand Fundamentals and Overseas Trade Frictions

Publicado: Feb 24, 2025 17:50
Today, HRC futures fluctuated downward, continuing Friday's decline, closing at 3,431 with a drop of 1.24%. Supply side, new maintenance plans for HRC rolling lines are scheduled this week, slightly easing supply pressure, though it remains at a high level. Demand side, manufacturing end-use demand continues to recover steadily. Looking ahead, the fundamentals of HRC are in a strong supply and demand pattern, with HRC inventory buildup stronger than seasonal trends. Domestically, as the Two Sessions approach, market expectations have not been disappointed, and market demand is gradually recovering. The biggest imbalance currently lies in overseas trade frictions, with Vietnam and South Korea imposing tariffs on China's sheet & plate products. In the short term, sentiment still needs to stabilize, and prices may see slight downward adjustments. However, in the medium and long-term, China's sheet & plate products, whether due to price advantages or re-exporting through other countries, will not see export volumes completely disappear. The market awaits sentiment stabilization and speculative activity around the upcoming meetings.

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