Polysilicon Production Schedule and Inventory Both Decline: Is the Market's Claim of Polysilicon Price Increase True? [SMM Analysis]

[SMM Weekly Review: Wafer and Solar Cell Prices Continue to Edge Down, Glass Production Cuts Support Price Increases] This week, the overall solar cell market remained subdued, with prices across all sizes generally edging down. Price divergence between upstream and downstream intensified, coupled with early signs of inventory buildup in futures, pushing the market into a phase of consolidation on a subdued note amid tug-of-war dynamics. This week, TOPCon prices across all sizes declined in tandem, with the overall market under pressure. The 210R price range was adjusted to 0.298-0.306 Yuan/W, 183 to 0.298-0.305 Yuan/W, and 210N down to 0.295-0.301 Yuan/W. Currently, mainstream quotations from solar cell plants are concentrated at 0.3-0.31 Yuan/W, but downstream module manufacturers are strongly pushing for lower prices, with procurement expectations continuing to decline and significant resistance to high-price transactions in the market. At this stage, orders below 0.3 Yuan/W generally face cash loss pressure, and solar cell plants are reluctant to take orders. The tug-of-war between upstream and downstream is evident, with overall sluggish transactions. Prices are expected to maintain a subdued consolidation pattern in the short term.

Los precios distribuidos siguieron siendo divergentes hoy, con algunas empresas especializadas en módulos continuando captando pedidos a precios bajos, mientras que los principales productores integrados mantuvieron en gran medida sus cotizaciones sin cambios debido a la presión de los costos. A corto plazo, se espera que las empresas aguas arriba y aguas abajo continúen negociando los precios, con una tendencia general que muestra una ligera estabilización. Hoy, el precio de los módulos distribuidos 210R se situó en 0,714-0,726 yuanes/W, temporalmente estable.

Los precios del vidrio en China se mantuvieron temporalmente estables hoy, con las empresas negociando con los productores de módulos intermedios según los resultados de precios fijados a principios de mes. El centro de precios de las transacciones de vidrio completadas hasta ahora es de 10-10,3 yuanes/m², mientras que los principales productores de módulos siguen regateando, con expectativas de nivel de precios psicológico por debajo de 10 yuanes/m².