Overnight, the most-traded SHFE 2307 aluminum contract closed at 17,940 yuan/mt, down 5 yuan/mt or 0.03%. LME aluminum closed at $2,228/mt, a drop of $7.5/mt or 0.67%.
It is estimated that the possibility of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 percentage points in June is about 66%, which would be the 11th consecutive interest rate hike.
Fundamentally, the domestic aluminum supply grew while demand weakened. But stockpiling by downstream producers driven by high aluminium liquid ratio and lower aluminium prices continued to reduce aluminium ingot inventories. Aluminum price may be under pressure and fluctuate around 18,000 yuan/mt.
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