[SMM Analysis] High Premiums on Spot Copper Cathode Provide Room for Maneuver, Why Can Some Copper Scrap Traders Raise Purchase Prices?
[SMM Analysis: High Spot Premiums for Copper Cathode Create Room for Maneuver, Why Are Some Copper Scrap Traders Able to Raise Purchase Prices?] Recently, spot supply of copper cathode in China has been tight, with spot premiums staying high, which has driven local copper scrap selling prices higher in tandem. For traders who already hold spot inventory, they can first sell their inventory at the higher local spot prices, then replenish it by purchasing copper scrap arriving later from outside China. The key point is that when traders sell bare bright copper locally, their prices mainly reference China's spot copper cathode prices, spot premiums, and the price difference between copper cathode and copper scrap; whereas copper scrap purchases from outside China are typically settled based on the LME 3M price multiplied by a payable indicator. When LME copper is in a backwardation structure, the 3M price is lower than the nearby Cash price, so traders are selling higher-priced local spot material while replenishing with forward-arrival cargoes priced off the relatively lower 3M futures. Traders can lock in procurement costs through pricing or hedging, completing the operation of "selling spot at high prices and replenishing inventory at the 3M price.