Rate Hike Expectations Disrupt, Coupled with Post-Holiday Inventory Buildup; Aluminum Prices Consolidate on a Subdued Note in the Short Term [SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Summary]
[Expectations for US Fed interest rate hikes and post-holiday inventory buildup weigh on aluminum prices, which consolidate on a subdued note in the near term] Macro-wise, elevated US Treasury yields and a strong US dollar continue to pressure valuations across the nonferrous metals sector, while shifting expectations for US Fed interest rate hikes this year repeatedly disrupt market sentiment. Industry-wise, China's aluminum ingot inventories have built up after the holiday, weakening price support. Coupled with softer demand for liquid aluminum and a rebound in casting ingot output, position adjustments around the long holiday have intensified the tug-of-war between longs and shorts. Overall, bullish and bearish factors are intertwined in the near term, and aluminum prices are expected to remain in the doldrums.