SHFE/LME price ratio rebounds and consolidates around 6.8, export window opens [SMM Zinc SHFE/LME Price Ratio Weekly Review]

Published: Sep 4, 2026 16:45
[SHFE/LME price ratio rebounds to around 6.8 and consolidates]: This week, the SHFE/LME price ratio rebounded slightly from lows to around 6.8, with the zinc ingot export window still open. Outside China, the escalating Middle East conflict pushed up oil prices, the US dollar weakened, and nonferrous metals rebounded across the board. Fundamentals side, LME inventory remains low in absolute terms, the 0-3 backwardation structure holds above $130/mt, spot supply outside China is tight, and LME zinc is showing relative strength.

SMM, September 4: This week, the SHFE/LME zinc price ratio rebounded slightly from lows to around 6.8, with the zinc ingot export window remaining open. Outside China, escalating Middle East conflicts pushed oil prices higher, the US dollar weakened, and nonferrous metals rebounded across the board. Fundamentals side, LME inventory remained low in absolute terms, the 0-3 backwardation structure held above $130/mt, overseas spot supply was tight, and LME zinc outperformed. In China, ore supply tightness persisted, domestic ore TCs continued to fall, and downstream users were cautious about buying at high prices during the off-season. Weekly social inventory fell by 37,100 mt, mainly due to export-driven destocking, providing some support for SHFE zinc. Overall, the SHFE/LME zinc price ratio is expected to consolidate at lows.

 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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