South Africa's high-carbon ferrochrome exports fell to 97,656 mt in July 2026, down 20.8% month-on-month from June's 123,310 mt, a sharper contraction than June's flat performance against May. China, the top destination, pulled back 27.2% to 28,337 mt, a move that lines up with Merafe Resources' August 11 half-year results flagging a potential H2 2026 ferrochrome glut driven by rising Chinese domestic output and weak stainless steel demand.
Japan bucked the trend, rising 31.8% to 23,716 mt to overtake Italy and South Korea as the second-largest destination, with the United States also up 29.0% to 11,415 mt. The broader decline reflects supply constraints as much as demand: the Wonderkop and Boshoek smelters only began restarting in late June following the finalized 62c/kWh Eskom tariff deal, leaving July as effectively the first month any incremental output could reach the export market.

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